South Koreas nuclear power and defense industries are facing mounting uncertainty amid concerns over potential disruptions to state-backed projects following the National Assemblys vote to impeach President Yoon Suk Yeol.
According to industry sources on Sunday, the Korean nuclear sector is increasingly worried about the potential fallout of the Dukovany nuclear power plant project in the Czech Republic due to Koreas domestic political crisis, with the signing of the main contract scheduled for March 2025, as nuclear power projects typically worth tens of trillions of won often involve strong state-to-state negotiations. The industry is uneasy due to the uncertainties surrounding the Czech project, with nothing finalized and no contingency plan in place, an industry insider said, adding that companies are focused on managing their ongoing projects in the meantime.
Despite the political instability, some analysts believe the nuclear power industry will not face significant setbacks. LS Securities Co. analyst Kim Yun-jeong noted that while government support may weaken, a complete nuclear phase-out is unlikely, citing nuclear powers economic advantages and its critical role in reducing carbon emissions.
The government has also reaffirmed its commitment to the Czech project. Korea Hydro & Nuclear Power Co. (KHNP) stated that all schedules related to the final contract are proceeding as planned.
Chung Bum-jin, a professor at Kyung Hee University, echoed this sentiment, emphasizing that the Czech Republics urgent need for electricity and KHNPs superior project timeline compared to its competitors would mitigate any impact from Koreas domestic political situation.
However, the broader plan to expand the nuclear power sector could be delayed. The Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy was expected to submit the 11th Basic Electricity Supply and Demand Plan to the National Assembly by the end of 2024. With opposition parties now dominating the political landscape, it seems unlikely that the plan, which includes proposals for the construction of three new nuclear reactors and small modular reactors (SMRs), will be approved without revisions. The governments long-term nuclear roadmap to 2050 is also expected to face hurdles.
The defense industry, another key sector that was strongly supported by the Yoon administration, is facing similar challenges. Delays are expected in major weapons procurement and development decisions, following a potential void in government-backed export marketing efforts. Kyrgyzstans president even recently canceled a visit to the Korea Aerospace Industries Ltd. (KAI) facilities due to the martial law situation, underscoring the potential fallout of the current political instability.
Heightened competition from foreign defense contractors is further compounding concerns. Even during routine government transitions, foreign competitors exploit brief slowdowns in export negotiations. This time, the disruption feels far more significant, an industry expert said.
The Koreas next-generation destroyer (KDDX) project, previously delayed by disputes between Hanwha Ocean Co. and HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., now faces further setbacks. The contractor was originally scheduled to be selected this year, with construction beginning in the second half of 2025. However, with the governments role in mediating between stakeholders effectively absent, the project remains at a standstill.
Defense exports, which have gained significant momentum, are also likely to be impacted. Hyundai-Rotem Co. was expected to finalize a second contract for K2 tanks with Poland by the end of 2024. However, the recent political emergency in Korea has introduced uncertainties, although Hyundai-Rotem clarified that the delays are unrelated to any government issues.
202412 16 ( 11 16)
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