Rates to go up? What?! RBA decision day!
In the last few weeks, economists have been talking about multiple rate cuts heading into the end of this calendar year and boy, has the sentiment on that changed.
With data released by ABS, we are seeing a 1.0% CPI in the March quarter, and unemployment hovering at 3.9%. This points to a stubborn inflation rate that is not going down as fast as the RBA would like and it also highlights a stronger than expected labour market.
Keep in mind, to manage inflation, RBA has interest rates as it's weapon. Increasing or decreasing this will impact both the inflation and unemployment rates and it's a fine balancing act to cool the economy, but not so much so that we head into a recession.
So with the latest March quarter data, what do we expect the RBA to do? It'll all be speculation until they make the final decision but one this is for sure, rate cuts is looking more and more unlikely, which is a blow to struggling households and struggling businesses.
Let's wait and see.
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Disclaimer: This is general advice and does not consider your objectives, situations or needs. You should consider if this advice is suitable for you and your circumstances.