Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) reposted this
Vietnam doubles down on their energy transition commitment - A new chapter for the Vietnam wind industry. On Monday, MOIT hold a consultation workshop on the draft PDP8 revised that they have just issued few weeks ago. The new draft PDP shows an even stronger commitment of Vietnam toward energy transition and net zero, in which wind and solar will be the key supplier of electricity for Vietnam's economy in the next 10 years. Some key points to note: 1/ MOIT proposed that Vietnam will follow the high scenario (KB5), in which the country will build more energy project to supply for a 9%GDP growth of 2025 and 10% GDP growth/year economy from 2026 - 2030. 2/ The target of installed capacity for the country by 2030 has been increased significantly to 211GW by 2030. 3/ Onshore wind and solar are the main source of energy of Vietnam from now until 2035, with a very ambitious targets for onshore wind of 28GW by 2030 and 49GW by 2035 and for offshore wind of 18GW by 2035. Solar makes a big comeback, with targets for solar of 34GW by 2030 and 126GW by 2035. The target for rooftop solar is increased to 16GW by 2030. This is a big win for solar. 4/ Battery (including pumped hydro) target has also been increase significantly, from only 2.7GW by 2030 in the original PDP8 to 15GW in this new version of the PDP. 4/ Even though the country keeps >22GW of LNG target by 2030, there is a big chance that only 3-4GW can come online by that time. Then the market will need even more wind and solar to make up for the delayed capacity. 5/ Big grid upgrade is also needed for the new PDP. Cross-region transmission has been brought back to the agenda, together with HVDC. 6/ Vietnam is expected to be needing from $27-34 bil investment/year from now until 2030 to meet these targets. The new draft PDP8 revised shows that Vietnam will need to come up with implementation policies to attract a huge amount of international investment. Recently, the government of Vietnam has announced that they are going to increase public spending, pumping more money to the economy, taking more government loan in order to help the country meet its GDP target. The country will be ready to have a higher inflation rates of 4.5-5% per year. Vietnam saw an impressive 7% GDP growth last year, and with the new ambitious target, the country expects to have >11% increase of electricity demand per year from 2025-2030. Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) and our members are commited to support the government meeting these targets, while also building up a huge market for wind industry in the process. The most difficult period of the energy industry in Vietnam has passed and a we are seeing the dawn of a new era. Long Nguyen Hoang, PhD Ben Backwell Rebecca Williams Liming Qiao Mark Hutchinson Trang Van Nguyen Esther Fang Wen Janice Cheong Weng Han T. Fatin Diana S Adam Bruce Amisha Patel Shoon S. Oo Jin Young Kim