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How to Exploit Myopic Western Cost Cutting
Divisions and cheeseparing in the Western alliance are playing into the Kremlin’s hands. Walter Clemens imagines its celebrations.
Fantasyland: Russian General ‘Assassinated by the British’
The Kremlin and its mouthpieces are struggling to swallow a terrible truth — Ukraine’s agents regularly penetrate Russia’s security state.
Changing the Rules of NATO’s Numbers Game
Emerging plans for new and higher NATO defense spending risk fixating on inputs (spending) rather than measuring outputs (effectiveness).
Up North: Confronting Arctic Insecurity Implications for the United States and NATO
Geopolitics and strategic competition mean the Arctic security landscape is changing fast.
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An Urgent Matter of Drones
Russia’s war in Ukraine has revealed how important drones are in today’s warfare. NATO needs to adapt rapidly.
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December 20, 2024
How to Exploit Myopic Western Cost Cutting
Divisions and cheeseparing in the Western alliance are playing into the Kremlin’s hands. Walter Clemens imagines its celebrations.
December 19, 2024
Fantasyland: Russian General ‘Assassinated by the British’
The Kremlin and its mouthpieces are struggling to swallow a terrible truth — Ukraine’s agents regularly penetrate Russia’s security state.
December 18, 2024
Changing the Rules of NATO’s Numbers Game
Emerging plans for new and higher NATO defense spending risk fixating on inputs (spending) rather than measuring outputs (effectiveness).
December 18, 2024
What Finland and Sweden Bring to NATO
The two countries are settling in as NATO’s newest members, and the alliance is already feeling the benefit.
December 15, 2024
Vortex: Stand-Off at Sea
Russia, China, and the West are at odds over the Yi Peng 3.
December 13, 2024
Why Is Turkey’s Erdoğan Not Ecstatic?
There is huge uncertainty over what happens next in Syria, but while the losers are clear enough it’s too early to judge the winners.
December 10, 2024
Kicking Russia Out of Syria
The rapid fall of the Assad regime in Syria has created opportunity for the West, but it will need to be nimble to exploit the moment.
December 9, 2024
Russian Incursions Expose NATO’s Frail Air Defenses
Russian breaches of NATO airspace have exposed gaps in the alliance’s defenses and could encourage Moscow to push further.
December 9, 2024
The Best Way to Boost Ukraine’s Security
Ukraine is unlikely to join NATO anytime soon, but granting it Major Non-NATO Ally status would strengthen its ties to the West and enhance its security.
December 8, 2024
End Game: Putin and Assad
The Syrian regime fell fast. Surprised? Don’t be.
December 6, 2024
Security in the Arctic and High North
Geopolitics and strategic competition are fast changing the Arctic security landscape, a trend compounded by climate change.
December 5, 2024
Up North: Confronting Arctic Insecurity Implications for the United States and NATO
Geopolitics and strategic competition mean the Arctic security landscape is changing fast.
December 4, 2024
Russia’s Weakness Illuminated by Syrian Collapse
Rebel advances through the cities and hinterland of Syria reveal a Russia that’s strong on rhetoric and short of hard power.
December 3, 2024
How to Stop Putin’s Winning Streak
The West need not be mesmerized by Russia’s slow advances in Ukraine.
December 2, 2024
Baltic Triumvirate Bring a ‘Typhoon’ to Brussels
The nomination of Kaja Kallas as European Union foreign policy chief promises a heavyweight and eastern-centered reworking of the bloc’s foreign policy.
November 27, 2024
Can Trump Deliver his Overseas Agenda?
Donald Trump’s second term will need to steer a course between his desire to withdraw from global entanglements and the geopolitical reality.
November 26, 2024
Ukraine Should End its Kursk Gamble
Kyiv has dealt the Kremlin a salutary lesson with its Kursk offensive, but now it’s time to bring back the invading units to home soil.
November 25, 2024
European Defense: Close the Finance Gap
The new European Defense Commissioner’s priority should be boosting private finance for European defense companies.
November 25, 2024
Stakes Rise in Baltic ‘Sabotage’ Standoff
The West once again faces a choice after the latest apparent attack on its critical infrastructure. Any response will come at a high price.
November 25, 2024
Fogged Up: The Muddle in the Gray Zone
The real target of Russia’s sub-threshold attacks is our decision-making.
November 22, 2024
The European ‘Herbivore’ Must Change its Diet
What if American protection for Europe vanishes, and Europe cannot replace it?
November 15, 2024
The Classrooms That Made Ukraine’s Generation of Dignity
Educational reforms have been key to creating the men and women who fight and innovate with such flair.
November 15, 2024
Making Russia Pay for Hybrid Attacks
There is a range of actions the West can take to counter Russia‘s malign activities. With the problem worsening, they need to be swiftly considered and implemented.
November 13, 2024
What Does Trump Mean for the Baltics?
There is uncertainty about what Trump II might mean, but the essentials of Baltic state security are unchanged.
November 12, 2024
Is Russia’s New Felon Fighter a Fraud?
There are significant and so far unanswered questions about Russia’s troubled fifth-generation Sukhoi 57 combat aircraft (NATO codename Felon.)
November 12, 2024
Russia and China: Two Countries, One Threat
Since the outbreak of all-out war in Ukraine, debate has raged in the US on whether the Russian and Chinese threats can be separated. They can’t.
November 8, 2024
The Trump Ukraine Victory Fund: A Proposal
If Europe is smart enough, the Trump presidency can be made a success.
November 8, 2024
Trump’s Election Must Wake Europe from its Complacency
It has taken the re-election of Donald Trump to make the political conversation about Ukraine relevant again. The UK and Europe must urgently work for Kyiv’s victory.
November 7, 2024
Caveat Emptor: Putin’s Misadventures in Trumpworld
Donald Trump’s re-election may have been cheered in Moscow, but it is unlikely to be the gift the Kremlin was hoping for.
November 6, 2024
Trump’s Victory Celebrated in the Other Georgia
With Donald Trump returning to office, a reset in ties with Washington are among the hopes harbored by the illiberal government in Tbilisi.
November 6, 2024
Europe’s Trump Problem
Europe will have its plate full dealing with the return of Donald Trump. It needs a clear vision and rapid, unified action.
November 6, 2024
Trump Cards: A Survival Kit
How Europe should prepare for four bumpy years.
November 5, 2024
Is Western Sea Power Adrift?
The decision by German warships to avoid the Red Sea so they don’t come in range of Houthi rebels is a sign of the alarming decline of Western sea power.
November 3, 2024
Game Plan: After Ukraine
Russia is preparing for war in the Baltic.
November 1, 2024
Iron Will: Ferrexpo Reinforces Ukraine’s Economic Backbone
Big Ukrainian companies not only help to keep the economy alive, they also provide a sense of stability.
November 1, 2024
EU Halloween Message: The Russian Ghoul Is Right Behind You
The Niinistö report is the latest in a series of EU blockbusters warning the bloc must get its act together and quickly.
October 31, 2024
The High North: NATO Confronts Russian and Chinese Ambitions
The Arctic region, once an isolated expanse of ice and silence, is rapidly transforming into a key geopolitical focal point.
October 29, 2024
Putin Overcomes the Humiliation of Kursk
The ever-narrowing freedoms of Russian society have squeezed out space for citizens to talk or complain. Most now do and think as instructed.
October 29, 2024
Europe 2029: Eight Policy Priorities for the New European Commission
The Commission will need to navigate a complex set of tasks, from financing the war effort and preparing for Ukraine’s reconstruction to defending against Russian hybrid aggression and embedding a strategy to withstand long-term conformation, all while pursuing difficult but necessary internal political and fiscal reforms.
October 28, 2024
Rain Rockets on North Korea’s Adventure in Ukraine
If the West is to defend its interests, we must ensure that authoritarian adventurism is smashed by force of arms.
October 28, 2024
Memo to Trump or Harris — Focus on NATO’s Steadfast Eastern Members
Regardless of the US election winner, any new administration must re-center NATO on the most reliable and committed members in its eastern heartlands.
October 27, 2024
Deathbed Eulogy: Pax Americana
Neglect, not violence or illness, will be the likely cause of its demise.
October 25, 2024
A Sobering Moment in the Ukraine War
If Ukraine remains on its current strategic trajectory, Kyiv could lose the war sometime in 2025. This is an avoidable outcome if action is taken now.
October 22, 2024
Ukraine Can Go Nuclear — Should it?
Western nations are being naïve if they expect Ukraine to quietly acquiesce to its own eradication.
October 21, 2024
BRICS Summit
The BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia brought together leaders from across the global south to expand regional influence.
October 21, 2024
Grayzone Warfare Intensifies as the West Dithers
The warnings have been ignored for years. Now, authoritarian states routinely attack the West because there’s no price to be paid.
October 20, 2024
Trick Question: Who Will Defend Europe?
A scathing new book outlines the continent’s defense crisis and its consequences.
October 18, 2024
Mystery Ships from Russia Dock in Moldova
The Kremlin’s ambition to make the Black Sea a Russian lake is undimmed. Ships with unknown cargo are raising suspicions.
October 18, 2024
Shameless — North Korean Troops Join Putin’s War on Ukraine
The Russian despot’s desperation-driven descent into the arms of North Korea’s dictator begs the question of how low he will go. Even further, in all likelihood.
October 17, 2024
NATO’s Southern Front — Malign Influence and Extremism in North Africa
North Africa has become a cauldron of tension, with Islamist extremism and the expanding influence of Russia and China driving significant challenges to NATO’s southern flank.
October 10, 2024
Many Nations, Many Strengths
Moving from burden-sharing to capability-based specialization ushered in a new, more effective era of transatlantic security.
October 10, 2024
No, Russian Gas is Not Europe’s Solution
Europe is still hypnotized by the prospect of cheap Russian energy. It’s time to break the spell and move on.
October 9, 2024
European Commission Names Robust New Defense Chief
Former Lithuanian Prime Minister Andrius Kubilius’s nomination for the new European Union defense portfolio creates a good chance of progress.
October 6, 2024
Fortress: Best of the Rest
Northern Europe is a bastion. Southern and Western countries, less so.
October 4, 2024
Israel’s Decapitation Strikes Leave Russia Trembling
Russians fear the country may be vulnerable to the sort of attacks employed by Israel against Hezbollah. Their proposed responses are unsubtle.
October 4, 2024
Counterfeit Cossacks Lured by Putin’s Lethal Bait
The battlefield exploits of the Cossacks are at the forefront of East European military folklore; now, the Kremlin is using their reputation to help feed the “meat grinder” in Ukraine.
October 3, 2024
Ukrainian Lessons: Civilian Tech Transforms the Battlefield
The war in Ukraine has become a laboratory for deploying civilian high-tech. Europe should take note.
October 2, 2024
West Needs a Rapid Rethink as Russia Inches Forward
With Russian forces continuing to grind forward in Ukraine, the West needs a new approach to shore up its embattled ally.
October 2, 2024
Putin Wants America to Be Afraid, Very Afraid
Russia’s latest efforts to menace the West with discussion of nuclear-weapons use is paradoxically dramatic, and also less novel than it may appear.
October 2, 2024
Russia’s Satanic Failure Opens the Door to NATO Rethink
Russia’s supposedly city-ending Satan missile failed to launch when tested, leaving a huge hole in the ground. What should the West conclude?
October 1, 2024
Ukrainian Lessons for the Age of Automated Warfare
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has highlighted the continued relevance of massed combat power and new technologies on today’s battlefields. The West must adapt to meet the challenge.
September 30, 2024
The Armenian Paradox: Further From Russia and Closer to Russia
There is a plethora of worthy analyses suggesting Armenia is loosening ties with Russia. The reality is otherwise.
September 27, 2024
Is Serbia the West’s Friend? Take a Fresh Look
The government of Aleksandar Vučić is playing a much cannier game than is widely understood.
September 27, 2024
Floating Megabomb Heaves to Near the English Coast
The MV Ruby, a ship carrying a highly explosive Russian cargo, is damaged and looking for a port. Whether or not this is hybrid warfare, the threat is clear.
September 27, 2024
Tsikhanouskaya: Western War Fatigue is a Luxury
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, whose 2020 campaign against Aliaksandr Lukashenka helped spark an uprising in Belarus, says it is no time for supporters of freedom to talk of “fatigue.”
September 27, 2024
Transatlantic Tech: How to Revive Flagging Cooperation
At CEPA’s Inaugural Tech Conference, talk centered on reviving flagging European competitiveness and blunting protectionism. It’s an ambitious agenda.
September 27, 2024
Boris Johnson: A Putin Victory “Will Make America Weak Again”
Former UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson called on the US to massively increase support for Ukraine or risk being weakened as freedom is undermined around the world.
September 27, 2024
Inside Ukraine’s Drone High Command
The author visited the highly secret building where Ukraine’s drone operations are coordinated to see the pilots and ground crews at work.
September 24, 2024
Ukraine’s Frontline Units Fight the Russians, and More
Ukraine’s frontline mortar teams are exhausted, underequipped, and under constant threat of Russian attack, but they fight on.
September 19, 2024
The Soldier Shortage — It’s Time to Conscript
European militaries are facing a growing crisis: a lack of people.
September 18, 2024
Is Ukraine’s Offensive Working? Perhaps
Ukraine’s invasion of Russia’s Kursk region is now six-weeks old. Despite early criticism, there are signs it might be working.
September 18, 2024
Dragon Drones: Ukraine’s Night Hunters
Night after night, Ukraine’s drone pilots dig in on the frontline to rain explosives and fire on Russian forces.
September 17, 2024
German Warships Run the Chinese Gauntlet
German politicians have long hesitated to upset the Beijing government by sailing vessels through Chinese-claimed waters. They have finally bitten the bullet.
September 17, 2024
Praise the West But Pass the Ammunition
There is a lot of noise about Ukraine and weapons and financing. But words alone do not indicate progress, and key elements of what’s needed are being forgotten.
September 17, 2024
Bosnia’s Rising Echoes of War
Thirty years after the war, Bosnia and Herzegovina remains deeply divided. It hopes to join the EU, but how will rising ethnic tensions and the risk of conflict affect the process?
September 17, 2024
It’s (Still) Costing Peanuts for the US to Defeat Russia
The leading financial analyst Tim Ash sparked a major debate in 2022 with a cost-benefit analysis showing US aid to Ukraine is cheap at the price. Has anything changed?
September 16, 2024
Nerves Fray as Russia’s Military Prepares for Western Missile Attacks
The military is bracing for new strikes that it says can’t be stopped.
September 16, 2024
Fractious Opposition Puts Georgia’s Future in the Balance
Georgia’s divided opposition could hand Vladimir Putin a victory in October if their disunity enables the Kremlin-favored Georgian Dream to retain power.
September 16, 2024
The Draghi Dilemma — Europe’s Arms-Makers Must Swallow Reality
The continent needs to accept that it cannot do everything alone and should instead seek to work with much bigger US defense companies.
September 16, 2024
Italy Selects Key Player for Europe’s Future
Italy’s nominee for the European Commission is an established expert who could heal the rifts between Rome and Brussels.
September 13, 2024
The Era of the Cautious Tank
David Kirichenko speaks to Ukrainian tank personnel and discovers they no longer act as the armored spearhead of military operations. It’s just too high-risk.
September 13, 2024
Spain: NATO’s Laggard
NATO requires members to spend at least 2% of GDP on defense. At 1.28%, Spain is dead last, and Madrid’s path to hitting the target is littered with obstacles.
September 13, 2024
It’s Not All Laughs as a Russian Colony
The Kremlin offers a lyrical vision of Russki Mir, or Russia world. The reality is very different.
September 12, 2024
Angry God Made Ukraine Invade, Russia Tells Citizens
Vladimir Putin’s propagandists have new orders: To explain the losses in the Kursk region and prepare Russians for more suffering and loss.
September 12, 2024
Behind the Lines: Echoes of Torture as Ukraine Fights to Free Doctors
Russia is holding Ukrainian combat medics, using them as bargaining chips and subjecting them to mistreatment and torture in breach of the Geneva conventions.
September 12, 2024
Dig for Victory — Ukraine Must Fortify in the East
Ukraine is slowly being forced back in the eastern battlefields — it needs a new approach and its frontline soldiers agree.
September 10, 2024
Romanian Patriot Missiles for Ukraine — A Great Day in Our Lives
September 5, 2024, will forever mark one of the best days of my life as a Romanian and as a European citizen.
September 9, 2024
‘Three Wars’ Warriors Muted by Tentative US-China Detente
There are signs US diplomacy and economic pressure are deterring radical autocracies from turning their common loathing for free societies into a formalized, hostile axis.
September 9, 2024
Bolstering NATO’s Naval Deterrence in the High North
The alliance needs a standing naval group to face the rising threat in the Arctic. Sweden and Finland’s accession gives a perfect opportunity for a strategic rethink.
September 9, 2024
Looking Both Ways: Balkan Weapons in Ukraine
The impact of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has reverberated through the Western Balkans and opened opportunities for the region’s arms companies.
September 6, 2024
Czech Schoolchildren Targeted, Russia Suspected
When Czech children returned to school after their summer holidays, they were greeted with something unexpected and unwelcome — a sustained flurry of bomb threats.
September 6, 2024
Reaction: Ukraine Government Shake-up
On Tuesday, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced the most wide-ranging overhaul of Ukraine’s government since the beginning of Russia’s full-scale invasion, promising the changes would bring “new energy” to his administration.
September 4, 2024
Russian Desertions Multiply
Despite Ukraine’s invasion of Russia’s Kursk region and substantial financial incentives, the Kremlin is struggling to recruit soldiers and others are deserting.
September 4, 2024
NATO’s Baltic Build-Up
As NATO rearms and integrates new members, the Baltic is rapidly becoming a fortified front line, with growing alliance forces to counter the Russian threat.
September 4, 2024
Ukraine’s Nerds Join Rambos to Repel Russia
On the frontlines of Eastern Ukraine, digital-savvy technicians are engaged in combat against the invader. David Kirichenko reports from the frontline.
September 4, 2024
Courting Season in the South Caucasus
Azerbaijan and Georgia are flirting with Eurasian powers amid tensions with the West.
September 3, 2024
Five Lessons From Ukraine’s Kursk Offensive
The West needs to carefully assess what Ukraine has achieved in Russia and (finally) craft a strategy for victory. There’s no alternative when battling the authoritarian axis.
September 3, 2024
Filling NATO’s Deterrence Gaps
The alliance needs to demonstrate progress in three areas of its conventional deterrence of Russia.
August 28, 2024
Putin’s Most-Punished Minority
After 80 years of Kremlin persecution, Vladimir Putin’s war on Ukraine has turned the screw once again on Russia’s Ahiska Turks, making them flee for their lives.
August 27, 2024
There’s No Point Talking Peace With Putin
Proposals for a negotiated settlement in Ukraine ignore Russia’s history of broken promises and the enormous damage caused by its war.
August 26, 2024
If Ukraine’s Not a Proper Country, Nor Is Russia
Russian efforts to question Ukrainian statehood have not developed as intended.
August 26, 2024
Hungary’s Foreign Affairs Summit
Péter Krekó, Marija Golubeva, Sam Greene and Tamás Matura discuss Hungary’s strategy for its EU presidency, Hungary’s reputation in the EU, the EU’s decision to boycott the summit, and the prospects for European foreign-policy cohesion going forward.