¿Cuál es la forma más eficaz de basar sus decisiones en un razonamiento y una evidencia sólidos?

A Step-by-Step Guide Are you struggling to make a decision? Follow these steps to ensure that you make a rational choice: Define the problem and goal Gather relevant information and explore options Make a decision based on established criteria Consider both short and long-term consequences, risks, and constraints Use decision-making tools Remain rational, objective, and flexible Finally, take action and monitor progress to evaluate the outcome of your decision.

To make decisions based on sound reasoning and evidence, gather relevant information, critically evaluate sources, consider different perspectives, and prioritize empirical data over assumptions or biases. Establish a logical framework for analysis and be open to updating your decision based on new evidence.

Here are a few ways you can follow to identify problem and goal 1) Observation: Observe surroundings for anomalies or inefficiencies 2) Could you define the Issue? you can explain the problem or opportunity 3) Ask Questions: Challenge assumptions and explore the root cause. 4) Goal Setting: Establish specific, measurable, and time-bound goals. 5) Prioritize: Evaluate and prioritize based on urgency and impact. 6) Research and Information Gathering: Collect relevant data and conduct thorough research. 7) Implementation Planning: Develop a detailed plan for effective implementation. 8) Reflect and Learn: Reflect on outcomes and identify lessons for improvement. 9) Iterate as Necessary: Be open to revisiting steps based on new information.

We cannot talk about problems, especially about identification and prioritization, without a predetermined and carefully planned contextual frame. Differentiate strategy from tactics. A sad example is the imagined front line between two sides in a war. If the strategy is known, we will adjust the tactics to the parameters that can open up an opportunity for success. Therefore, we do not jump on opportunity as soon as it appears. It is good to wait for its full potential. If at one point a company of ten men working to take over some small stronghold from opposite side, we need to how that fits to wider picture, exactly how many resources we used, how the situation developed during the implementation and whether it fulfilled its purpose.

Start with the mindset that often decision making, even though desiring sound reasoning and evidence, one is still looking into a cloudy crystal ball so life experience and judgments are still also a part of the decision making. Two examples: economist projecting interest rates or GDP. Majorities are wrong; the investment community projecting how the 3 broad market indices will perform or how a stock will perform and most do not do better than S&P 500. A monkey has a really good chance of throwing darts and does better. So there is no most effective way to make decisions that need to look into the cloudy crystal ball. The most effective way is to establish a path, monitor, and adapt and adjust along the way vs. looking for magic.

In my experience, the most effective way to base your decisions on sound reasoning and evidence is to eliminate bias as much as you can. One of the most common biases is emotional response to the topic. Except if we are a total pshiopat we have emotional responses to each topic. Try to identify this and other biases and if it makes sense use logic to decide.

Reunir e avaliar informações no mesmo contexto é essencial para a tomada de decisões informadas. Ao reunir dados de fontes diversas, é crucial garantir que todas as informações estejam alinhadas com o contexto específico do problema ou da situação em questão. Isso significa não apenas coletar uma variedade de dados, mas também garantir que esses dados sejam relevantes e aplicáveis ao problema em análise. A avaliação das informações deve ocorrer considerando o contexto, identificando conexões e relevâncias específicas para os objetivos estabelecidos. Essa abordagem integrada assegura que as informações coletadas sejam pertinentes e úteis, permitindo uma análise mais holística e efetiva no processo decisório.

Even while you use real data for validating and analysing the situation at hand, data quality is absolutely critical. Especially when the data points are qualitative in nature, they are often subject to information asymmetry, agency effects, and vested interests. Hence the most critical part in gathering field data, especially qualitative, is to get the model of inquiry right.

It is important to use the CRAAP test with information from peer review sources, scientific journals, international articles and in my experience non profits as well as university professors can assist providing that. The purpose behind gathering information should also include learning new scholarly information at the same time to teach peers.

Here a process to gather and evaluate information: - 1. Collect and Assess Information: Gather relevant data, critically evaluate its reliability, and build a comprehensive understanding of the problem. 2. Generate Alternatives: Foster creativity by brainstorming a variety of alternatives, both conventional and unconventional. 3. Objective Evaluation: Objectively assess each alternative, weighing risks, benefits, and potential consequences. 4. Decisive Action: Make informed decisions based on the most suitable alternative, ensuring clear communication. 5. Adaptability and Iteration: Embrace an iterative approach, remaining open to revisiting steps based on evolving the information and adapting as necessary.

A geração e comparação de alternativas são estágios cruciais no processo de tomada de decisões informadas. Ao considerar várias opções, é possível explorar diferentes abordagens para resolver um problema ou atingir um objetivo. A geração de alternativas requer criatividade e pensamento inovador, buscando soluções que possam abordar eficazmente os desafios identificados. Uma vez geradas, as alternativas devem ser avaliadas de maneira abrangente, considerando critérios como viabilidade, impacto, custos e benefícios. A comparação sistemática permite identificar a melhor opção com base nas metas estabelecidas. Esse processo contribui para a robustez das decisões

The most challenging alternatives to consider are the ones we feel emotionally opposed to. To make the best informed decisions we must be willing to research from opposite perspectives, step outside our mental comfort zone, and admit that we may be wrong. Comfort is not as safe as it seems.

Generate and compare alternatives: the academic approach is to make long lists of everything, while the other way is a deep critical analysis and to reject as many weak ideas as possible so the final solution of the timed period comes up quickly. The longer the list, the more the delay. There are dozens of large lists at the early stages, but they must graduate to top issues very quickly. The fitting teams with the right ideas and experienced skill sets come into play. Decision-making is an executive function, and trained and experienced entrepreneurs have excellent skills; using AI and software to make decisions is passing the buck and a clear sign of critical weakness.

Here are some techniques: - 1. SCAMPER Technique: Apply the SCAMPER technique to generate innovative alternatives by Substituting, Combining, Adapting, Modifying, putting to another use, Eliminating, and Reversing elements. This method will encourage creative thinking. 2. SWOT Analysis: Conduct a SWOT analysis to assess the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats of each alternative. 3. Decision Matrix: Utilize the decision matrix to quantitatively evaluate alternatives against pre-established criteria. Assign weighted scores to different factors, facilitating a systematic and objective comparison that considers both qualitative and quantitative aspects, ultimately aiding.

The emphasis on creativity through techniques like brainstorming and the structured approach offered by tools like SCAMPER resonates with my belief in a holistic problem-solving approach. Personally, I've seen how this step not only fosters innovation but also ensures a comprehensive evaluation of options. The combination of creative thinking and analytical tools strikes a balance that aligns with my approach to making well-informed and innovative decisions.

A etapa de escolha e implementação da melhor opção representa o ápice do processo de tomada de decisões. Nesse estágio, é crucial sintetizar as informações coletadas, as alternativas geradas e as avaliações realizadas para selecionar a solução mais adequada aos objetivos e às circunstâncias. A escolha deve ser fundamentada em critérios previamente estabelecidos, considerando não apenas o desempenho imediato, mas também as implicações a longo prazo. Além disso, é vital envolver todas as partes interessadas relevantes para garantir uma implementação bem-sucedida e mitigar possíveis resistências. A efetiva implementação da escolha exige um planejamento detalhado

Choose and implement the best option: Why do 99% of new ideas fail despite large teams, big budgets, and endless resources? The prime reason is a line of command and leadership; ideas needed for business and commerce should be entrepreneurially driven; engineers come with the best solutions, but the entrepreneurial mindsets the design, price, global points of view, and strategies... if the team is fully aware of this, then every stage goes thru an audit so when the final stage comes it is not a zebra done by a committee... but a well thought out value.

All the previous steps are a must. Then, we need to take a big-picture view. Validate against the North Star. Think through what else could resonate with your north star. Why is the option you are choosing the best among all of them? Trust your gut!

The definition of choice is the act of selecting or making a decision when faced with two or more possibilities. When evaluating viable options to reach the goal and resolve the the problem, extenuating circumstances should be taken into consideration in order to arrive at the best solution that will deliver the maximum successful results.

Here are a few ways :- 1. Cost-Benefit Analysis: Conduct a thorough cost-benefit analysis for each potential option. Evaluate the financial and non-financial implications, considering not only immediate costs but also long-term benefits. This approach provides a quantitative basis for decision-making, ensuring that the selected option maximizes value while aligning with the established criteria for success. 2. Pilot Testing: Implement a pilot test for the top contenders. This involves implementing each option on a smaller scale to assess real-world feasibility and identify potential challenges. It allows for practical insights, helping to validate assumptions and refine the chosen option before full-scale implementation.

Após a escolha e implementação da melhor opção, é crucial realizar uma revisão reflexiva do resultado obtido. Essa etapa envolve a avaliação dos impactos reais da decisão no contexto prático, comparando os resultados alcançados com as expectativas iniciais. A reflexão pós-decisão permite identificar lições aprendidas, entender os fatores que contribuíram para o sucesso ou as áreas que podem exigir ajustes. Avaliar o processo de tomada de decisões em retrospectiva proporciona insights valiosos para aprimorar abordagens futuras, refinando estratégias e refinando a compreensão do processo decisório. Além disso, essa revisão contínua contribui para a construção de um ciclo de aprendizado organizacional

I would also recommend to keep track of analysis, alternatives, decisions, and outcomes. Reviewing this kind of notes from time to time may bring new perspectives and insights that may be useful for new assessments and decisions.

Adaptive Decision-Making: Embrace an adaptive mindset. Recognize that decisions are not static and can be refined based on evolving circumstances. Being open to change ensures continuous improvement, fostering resilience and agility in navigating dynamic environments. Adaptive decision-making acknowledges the iterative nature of the process, enabling continual refinement for future challenges and opportunities.

It’s important to review the information you gathered and the ways of using it properly to solve your issues and the outcomes of your perceptions of the causes and clues. Also reviewing your results and evaluating the ways that helped you to complete your tasks reaching your goal and solving the problems

The most effective way to base your decisions on sound reasoning and evidence involves a multi-step process. Initially, it’s important to gather as much relevant information as possible. This includes understanding the context, identifying all available options, and weighing their potential outcomes based on evidence and past experiences. Critical thinking plays a key role here, allowing you to analyze and evaluate information without bias. After gathering information, it’s essential to review and reflect on the outcome of past decisions in similar situations. This retrospective analysis helps in understanding what worked well and what didn’t, providing valuable insights for current decision-making.

Here's what else to consider: The gift of the universe is the mind, a timeless, ageless, and borderless imagination machine that liberated us from the caves. Critical Thinking is a joy ride, as it carefully measures and adjusts all aspects, from data to features and applications, and figures out options. All calmly, rationally, and from others' opinions, formulate a logical solution and engage in cross-discussions to improve into exceptional new thinking. Study more on Google and acquire mastery.

All solutions to all problems will eventually give rise to newer situations. Anticipating such potential issues while solving the problem at hand will go a long way in choosing the right solution.

Consider the opinions and experiences of those around you. As leaders it's easy to fall into the trap that we always know the best way. I can attest that up and coming leaders, can really put a fun and interesting spin on something you've been doing for years.