ENERGIES 2050

This time, the questions I usually get about why attending COPs or if those should be changed, are being asked by those that have shaped the process. But, do we share an understanding of what is the problem?

My reaction to COP29? A mix of relief and frustration. Relief that the process did not collapse, that important results were finalised, including on finance and carbon markets. Multilateralism is shaky but continues to function. Frustration that there was no agreement on several key decisions, including on how to follow up the global stocktake and on just transition. Frustration also that many decisions remain too weak, and that some parties sought to unpick past decisions, including on the need to transition away from fossil fuels. The management of the UNFCCC process was messy, the key decision on finance could only be adopted over the continuing opposition from some countries, including India. The conference delivered, but we really needed more confidence and a lot more ambition. That said, the UNFCCC has always been an uneven process. Decisions are always compromises, they are never enough, and there are always some issues that do not move forward as planned. Some COPs have taken major steps, others have stumbled or taken only baby steps. But it has always been possible to go further, pick up the pieces and correct setbacks a year or two later. We need to do the same after Baku. Agreement on the new collective quantified financial goal was central: sending a signal on the need to scale up climate financing to developing countries to 1.3 trillion USD by 2035, and the goal of at least 300 billion USD from developed countries on that timescale. Criticism that that goal is too little, too late is justified, but it is also the case that that figure was probably the maximum that was possible for developed countries at this time. Negotiations have to be ambitious, but they must also be realistic. There may be ways to raise more resources for climate finance, but we also have to work also with what is politically possible. This is similar in many ways to last year’s agreement on transitioning away from fossil fuels – a stronger language would have been preferable, but that message was possible. The challenge is to break through those constraints, focus on implementation and the next round of NDCs due in the coming months. Developing countries are going to need strengthened support to develop and implement stronger NDCs and may judge the signal from the NCQG is too weak. One option would be to focus on how to raise support for meeting ambitious conditional NDCs, as well as increased support for national adaptation plans. The Baku to Belém Roadmap to 1.3T may be little more than words on a page at the moment, but it needs intense follow-up to ensure that support is mobilised and delivered, work to strengthen the support provided by the MDBs, and to develop innovative financing. COP29 was not perfect, far from it, but it was not the end, but the starting point for the next round of strengthening action and delivery. The incoming Brazilian presidency of COP30 has a heavy task ahead.

Yesterday’s drafts from the COP29 presidency satisfied no-one but that was to be expected – work was unfinished, everyone recalled their priorities and objectives and stressed what they could not accept. A second iteration today will probably see parties pull them apart again – it is a negotiation, that is normal signalling. The question is how close they can get to the right balance to make it possible to make the adjustments needed to produce a final iteration that finds the sweet spot that everyone can accept. Finance is the big ask of developing countries at this conference – a strong and clear financial goal. The most difficult question is how big the central core of public financial support provided by developed countries should be in a context where their public budgets have almost no room for manœuvre. The conditions for that central core of public finance, and how that relates to the surrounding layers of finance mobilised by others and through other means matter also. Strengthening mitigation is a second major thread. It would be simplistic to present this as “cash for ambition” but strengthened mitigation action is rightly critical for developed countries and most developing countries – and at the heart of what all parties agreed in Dubai last year. Those reluctant to accept that will have to justify their position if a decent enough finance deal is on the table. The question of unilateral trade measures continues to raise challenges. It is perhaps a tactical play in opposition to calls on mitigation ambition. But there are genuine concerns in a world where trade measures are playing an increasing role. This question is not going to disappear and if it is not addressed further this year, it is likely to come back text time. There are other decisions still to finalise including on article 6, adaptation, just transition, response measures and some other finance points. Some have linkages to the wider package, others include some specific points that are critical for certain parties. These decisions are a necessary part of the overall deal too. At the end of the COP, the key question is whether any party is willing to block if the overall package is acceptable to most others. Usually, the answer is no. This time the decision is likely to depend on whether the overall wins, above all on finance, are sufficiently strong to overcome the reluctance of the least ambitious on other issues. A final risk for the presidency is timing. COPs usually overrun into the Saturday, but many will then start to leave. That sets the clock ticking to reach a deal whilst there is still a quorum. The COP29 presidency has a tough task ahead of it today, tonight and probably well into tomorrow, and deserves everyone's support in these final stages to deliver.

#COP29 | D’ici 2100, un pays comme #Cuba, responsable de 0,08 % des émissions de GES mondiales, pourrait perdre 10 % de son territoire à cause de la montée des eaux. La résilience climatique s’impose aujourd’hui comme une priorité et une urgence dans la région. Néanmoins, il ne s'agit pas de la seule menace qui pèse sur le pays. Le marabou, plante invasive originaire d’Afrique du sud occupe aujourd’hui 10% du territoire cubain. Pour lutter contre son développement, le gouvernement a mis en place le programme "Tarea Vida" (objectif vie) pour encourager les pratiques agricoles durables pour restaurer les écosystèmes. Une initiative présentée dans l’«Atlas Amérique latine et des Caraïbes », fruit de notre collaboration avec Observatoire Politique de l'Amérique latine et des Caraïbes (OPALC) et Sciences Po, qui offre pour chacun des #ODD, un exemple de programme ou de projet remarquable. #AtlasODD Pour lire notre publication ▶ https://lnkd.in/e-YXX_7v Marie-Pierre Bourzai Marie AVEILLAN Colombe Camus Laurie Servières Rémy Rioux Ministère de l'Europe et des Affaires étrangères Sciences Po - CERI FAO Green Climate Fund

Adaptation transformatrice : nouvelles perspectives du Programme d'accélération de l'adaptation en Afrique (AAAP) Avec la Banque africaine de développement (African Development Bank) découvrez les nouvelles perspectives offertes par le Programme d'accélération de l'adaptation en Afrique (AAAP) pour favoriser une adaptation transformatrice. À suivre ici : https://lnkd.in/ebX35BnH L'AAAP présente ses divers projets et initiatives et leurs impacts collectif sur l'amélioration des stratégies d'adaptation à travers l'Afrique. Les objectifs clés sont les suivants : 1. Sensibiliser et Informer les participants sur le travail de l'AAAP dans les domaines de l'agriculture, des infrastructures, de l'entrepreneuriat des jeunes et du financement de l'adaptation, en mettant en évidence les projets réussis qui présentent des résultats tangibles en matière de résilience climatique, 2. Encourager la collaboration et promouvoir les partenariats et le dialogue entre les pays francophones, les organismes régionaux et les parties prenantes afin de renforcer les efforts collectifs en matière d’action climatique, ce qui implique de créer des synergies entre les secteurs pour maximiser l’impact de l’adaptation, 3. Mobiliser le soutien et souligner la nécessité d’accroître les investissements et le soutien aux initiatives globales d’adaptation de l’AAAP, en insistant sur l’importance des solutions collaboratives pour intensifier les efforts d’adaptation au changement climatique sur tout le continent. Ce programme favorise la création d'emplois et soutient le renforcement de capacité des acteurs locaux et les agro-industriels et les AgTechs opérant dans des chaînes de valeurs agricoles sur toute l'Afrique. #banqueafricainededéveloppement #AAAP #OIF #ifdd #FinancementsInnovants #ActionsClimatiques #securitéalimentaire #resilienceclimatique #AdaptationClimatique #COP29Azerbaijan

Absolutely love this brand and new campaign. When football gets involved in climate you know it is not game over, but game on! ⚽️🏆💚🙌 Justin what an awesome start to the campaign to mobilise the world 🌍 on climate through football. Count Us In 💚👏

We present the COP29 #BlueZone Daily Programme for November 19, titled “Food, Agriculture and Water Day”. Please note that program details are subject to change, so it is recommended to check the schedules regularly for the latest updates. For updated agenda, please visit: https://lnkd.in/eFzxyaRM #COP29 #COP29Azerbaijan #BlueZone #BlueZoneProgramme

🌍 #COP29 | En 2023, le premier bilan mondial ("Global Stocktake", appelé aussi GST) de l’accord de Paris est adopté lors de la COP28 de Dubaï. La France s’engage pleinement dans l'application de ses recommandations, grâce à des politiques publiques ambitieuses et des initiatives concrètes. 👉 Le bilan détaillé des progrès réalisés souligne des avancées significatives, mais rappelle l’urgence d’accélérer nos efforts pour limiter le réchauffement à 1,5°C. 👉 Parmi les mesures phares : un appel renforcé à la sortie progressive des combustibles fossiles et à l’adoption massive des énergies renouvelables. #Climat

The results of the first week of COP29 are decidedly messy. Some thoughts after watching the conference from afar over the past few days. Work on setting a new collective quantified financial goal was never going to be wrapped up at this stage and continues directly under the CMA next week. However, the subsidiary bodies were supposed to deliver outcomes on most other items, and on many they have not done so. There are not even draft texts on the table for work on mitigation and just transition, and the drafts that have been forwarded to the governing bodies on the global goal on adaptation, the follow-up to the global stocktake, response measures, and several other topics either contain multiple brackets and options or are explicitly presented as not representing consensus. Other items were simply sent forward to the session in June next year. That leaves the presidency with a challenge – managing a complex set of interrelated issues in the second week but gives it one advantage – the large number of issues that are still open provide a broader palette for finding agreement than if the discussion were now only about “how much?” and “who pays?”. Bringing all those threads together will not be easy, and the presidency will need to make careful use of different formats to get there – inviting ministers to consult on the key political issues that have to be resolved, letting experts tidy up some of the more technical issues, whilst ensuring good coordination between all those processes. It will be interesting to see if the presidency tries to develop COP and CMA cover decisions next week. Cover decisions might provide a more readable outcome for the conference, highlighting the key results across the different workstreams so that everyone can see that the balance is there. Such decisions can also be valuable when key issues are not otherwise on the agenda. However, with almost all issues already on the table going into the second week, the risk is that a cover decision might encourage yet more issues to be brought forward, complicating matters further. And as we saw in Sharm el-Sheikh two years ago, negotiating a cover decision in parallel to finalising decisions on individual agenda items can add to the complexity and the risk of confusion. The success of the second week and the conference is now in the hands of the presidency. The COP29 president Mukhtar Babayev and his team led by Yalchin Rafiyev will have to gain and ensure they keep the trust of parties to manage that process, demonstrating their intention to play an impartial role and their determination to deliver ambitious outcomes that are acceptable to all and good for the planet.

Enjeux croisés entre le climat et la santé Les enjeux sont étroitement liés entre le climat et la santé, dans le cadre des problématiques PHED (Santé, Population, Environnement et Développement) : comment des défis de santé publique sont liés aux changements climatiques et à la préservation de l’environnement, et comment dégager des solutions? La recherche scientifique est essentielle et les moyens financiers doivent suivre. Plus de visibilité doit être donnée à cet enjeux pour que le sujet soit à l'ordre du jour des COP. La conférence est en direct ici : https://lnkd.in/eCCMHWta #PHED #energies2050 #JVE #reseauclimatetdeveloppement #francophonie #ifdd #COP29Azerbaijan #climatetsante #EndaEnergie #SaveTheChildren