Carnegie India

We hosted a #SecurityStudiesSeminar with Avtar Singh Bhasin, where he discussed his latest book, 𝘕𝘦𝘨𝘰𝘵𝘪𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘐𝘯𝘥𝘪𝘢’𝘴 𝘓𝘢𝘯𝘥𝘮𝘢𝘳𝘬 𝘈𝘨𝘳𝘦𝘦𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵𝘴. The seminar explored the historical significance, diplomatic intricacies, and strategic decisions behind five pivotal agreements that have shaped India's foreign policy since Independence. Bhasin highlighted the critical role of political leadership and negotiation strategies in achieving successful outcomes.

Why has China sought to coerce India on the border? This paper by Saheb Singh Chadha examines the India-China border standoff, exploring China’s negotiation tactics and strategies, and the key moments that defined the 2020-2024 period. Read the full paper here: https://buff.ly/3BAlnUi

Charukeshi Bhatt, research assistant with the Technology and Society program at Carnegie India, presented her ongoing research on "AI in Nuclear Command & Control: Risks and Benefits" at the inaugural Interdisciplinary Nuclear Disarmament Symposium by University of Bradford & International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons (ICAN). The study is co-authored with Tejas Bharadwaj.

💥NEW PAPER FROM ME: A Comprehensive Analysis of AI Regulation in India💥 My paper captures the general sentiments on AI regulation in India and suggests a policy roadmap based on extensive consultations and research. Some of our findings were surprising — turns out government, industry and civil society agree on many aspects of AI regulation. That makes me hopeful that we can convert consensus into action. But there are some roadblocks — we don't yet have empirical evidence of harm in the Indian context to fully understand AI risks and frame new regulations. There's also the complex task of figuring out where the gaps lie in existing laws, and how to plug them in efficient ways (see Part 2). Another concern is the lack of state capacity. Expertise and enforcement is a challenge. We need to think up agile, flexible and innovative frameworks to supplement current capacity (an AI Safety Institute for India perhaps?). Overcoming these obstacles will require a multi-fold strategy. For a country like India, we recommend a targeted and iterative approach that blends capacity building, risk assessments and self regulation with some government oversight (see Part 4). We also identify key agencies that should be involved . This is the first comprehensive analysis of AI regulation in India, so we welcome your feedback and hope you find it informative, accessible and useful. Finally, please share this paper with anyone interested in AI policy - if nothing else, the 100+ footnotes are a treasure trove of resources. And if you're looking for someone to speak to a global audience about AI policy in India, please reach out. We want to ensure that AI regulations are interoperable and that we are engaged with our counterparts around the world. As always, many thanks to my co-author Shatakratu, the anonymous interviewees and reviewers, and to the entire Carnegie India team that helped put this paper together!

This morning, I had the honor of delivering the inaugural keynote at the first-ever Bangalore Security Dialogue (BSD). Thereafter also participated in the simulation exercise as part of the discussions. Organized by The Takshashila Institution and Dynamatic Technologies Limited, this event signifies a landmark collaboration between a premier think tank and a leading aerospace company in Bengaluru. As the cradle of India's defense, aerospace, and tech industries, Bengaluru stands at the forefront of innovation. BSD’s launch represents a vital step in strengthening the defence innovation ecosystem by fostering deeper engagement among all stakeholders. It’s a promising indicator of the city's future leadership in shaping national and global security frameworks.

🌏Snapshots fra en hæsblæsende studietur til Indien 🌏 Det er dag 2 i den hjemmelavede julekalender om The Danish Foreign Policy Society studietur til Indien... 🎁🎄 Her er det møde hos den anerkendte tænketank Carnegie India, der var en tour de force med et fantastisk imponerende hold af fellows, som er superspecialerede policyforskere, der har fingeren på pulsen på centrale geopolitiske strømninger i Indien... 💡Saheb Singh Chadha orienterede os om Indien-Kina relationer og grænsekonflikten i Ladakh regionen 🇮🇳🇨🇳 💡Shruti Sharma fortalte om det imponerende Global Tech Summit, som de afholder sammen med Ministry of External Affairs, India med fokus på samspillet med tech, tech policy og geopolitik 🖥🇮🇳. 💡Shatakratu Sahu & Amlan Mohanty orienterede om Indiens AI Mission policy prioriteringer og investeringer og nylige indisk-amerikanske partnerskaber med USA omkring Kvanteteknologi og semi-conductors mv. 🖥🇮🇳🇺🇸. 💡Tejas Bharadwaj gennemgik Indiens space programmer, månelandingen og de fleste af hørte termen 'astropolitical partnership' for første gang :) 🛰👨🏾🚀. Og sidst, men ikke mindst, gav fhv. indiske ambassadør Arun K Singh til USA en ultraskarp analyse af, hvordan han ser de globale forskydninger af Trump 2.0 og hvordan Indien positionerer sig. Han fik i den grad synliggjort en geopolitisk brændende platform, ikke mindst for Europa 🌍🇪🇺. Team Carnegie - thank you for hosting us and sharing your impressive and insightful deep knowledge with us 🙏🏾. *** Charlotte Flindt Pedersen Torben Möger Pedersen COBO CONSULT ApS #dkpol #dkbiz #studietur #udsyn #indsigt #netværk #incredibleindia #indiaonthemove #denmarkindia #europeindia #geopolitics #globalsouth

🔔 𝐍𝐞𝐰 𝐏𝐚𝐩𝐞𝐫  This paper by Saheb Singh Chadha provides a comprehensive analysis of the India-China standoff from 2020 to 2024. It traces its evolution, details the phases of negotiation, and highlights key takeaways and policy recommendations for future bilateral ties. Read more: https://buff.ly/3BAlnUi The India-China standoff began in April–May 2020 when Chinese troops moved toward the LAC in eastern Ladakh. What has followed has been a 4-year standoff involving 100,000+ troops, marked by clashes—including the first fatalities on the border since The paper divides the standoff into 3 distinct phases: 🔹 𝐏𝐡𝐚𝐬𝐞 1 (Apr 2020–Sept 2020): Crisis and management. 🔹 𝐏𝐡𝐚𝐬𝐞 2 (Sept 2020–Sept 2022): Disengagement from four friction points. 🔹 𝐏𝐡𝐚𝐬𝐞 3 (Sept 2022–Dec 2024): Differences & disengagement in Depsang and Demchok. It highlights the work of key negotiation channels: 🔹 𝐒𝐇𝐌𝐂𝐋 𝐭𝐚𝐥𝐤𝐬 (military-level; better known as the corps commander talks) 🔹 𝐖𝐌𝐂𝐂 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬 (diplomatic-level) 🔹 𝐏𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐨-𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐜 𝐭𝐚𝐥𝐤𝐬 (heads of state and ministers) These channels worked in tandem, with high-level talks playing a decisive role in achieving disengagement. The Oct 2024 agreement on patrolling, the subsequent meeting between PM Modi and President Xi, and the Dec 2024 disengagement are seen as significant progress and the beginning of a limited re-engagement. The paper investigates the reasons behind Chinese actions in the summer of 2020 and concludes that China has sought to coerce India at their border because China views India’s border infrastructure build-up as part of a plan by the U.S. to contain China in Asia. How did 4 years of negotiation shape India-China relations? What role did various diplomatic and military factors play in resolving the deadlock? This paper by Saheb Singh Chadha offers key insights into one of the most significant geopolitical standoffs between India and China in the 21st century. https://buff.ly/3BAlnUi

Recent events in West Asia have introduced new complexities to the region's stability. In this conversation, the experts discuss the conflicts' trajectory, the U.S. election’s impact, and India’s approach to securing its interests. Watch here ⬇️ buff.ly/4f4OtsM

I moderated a panel on India-US-Europe Trilateral Cooperation on Technology with panelists Nivruti Rai (MD and CEO, Invest India), Becky Fraser (VP, Global Government Affairs, Qualcomm), Asees Ahuja (Director EU Policy, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise), and Hitesh Garg (VP and India Country Manager, NXP Semiconductors) last week at the India Trilateral Forum led by Garima Mohan, PhD. We explored how the three geographies can diversify tech supply chains to reduce risks and dependencies—through trusted #G2G partnerships for long-term #B2B collaboration, rethinking policies on trade, investments, and incentive schemes, lessons from India’s success with #digitization, and understanding details on integrated #semiconductor supply chains. Personally, it was a great learning experience!

Ambassador Arun K Singh, Former Ambassador of India to US, Israel and France, will share insights on the global economy.  Join leading experts and visionary thought leaders from the Government and industry at the Global Economic Policy Forum 2024! Date➡️ 11-12 December   For details, visit ➡️ https://bit.ly/3OlUyGr  #CIIGEPF2024 #GlobalEconomicPolicyForum24 #EconomicGrowth #Development