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AbstractAbstract
[en] The ANCRE (National Alliance for Coordinating Research in Energy) proposes a new energy scenario for France for 2050 complying to the new law about energy transition for a green growth (LTECV) and including elements from the multi-year programming of the French energy policy (PPE) decided in 2016. About 30 objectives have been reported among which: the reduction by 40% in 2030 of greenhouse gas emissions when comparing to 1990, the reduction of the use of fossil energies by 30% in 2030 when comparing to 2012, or to bring the nuclear share in the electricity production mix below 50% by 2025. In this scenario the demand for electricity grows by 15% between 2015 and 2050 and in the industry the consumption of energy decreases slightly all along the period despite an economic growth of 1.7% per year. The progressive upswing of renewable energies and the planned decline of nuclear power make necessary (between 2020 and 2030) to commission new gas-fueled power plants to compensate the role of nuclear plants to cope with the intermittency of renewable energies, which will increase CO_2 emissions. A technical breakthrough in the possibility of storing electricity could change the scenario. However this scenario takes into account a storing capacity of 30 GW in 2050 while today this capacity reaches only 5 GW. (A.C.)
Original Title
Scenario 'loi de transition energetique pour la croissance verte' de l'ANCRE: focus sur le mix electrique
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Journal Article
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