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Wiser, Ryan; Mai, Trieu T.; Millstein, Dev; Barbose, Galen; Bird, Lori A.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States). Funding organisation: USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Office of Strategic Programs (United States); USDOE (United States)2017
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States). Funding organisation: USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Office of Strategic Programs (United States); USDOE (United States)2017
AbstractAbstract
[en] In this study, renewable portfolio standards (RPS) exist in 29 US states and the District of Columbia. This article summarizes the first national-level, integrated assessment of the future costs and benefits of existing RPS policies; the same metrics are evaluated under a second scenario in which widespread expansion of these policies is assumed to occur. Depending on assumptions about renewable energy technology advancement and natural gas prices, existing RPS policies increase electric system costs by as much as 31 billion dollars, on a present-value basis over 2015-2050. The expanded renewable deployment scenario yields incremental costs that range from 23 billion to 194 billion dollars, depending on the assumptions employed. The monetized value of improved air quality and reduced climate damages exceed these costs. Using central assumptions, existing RPS policies yield 97 billion dollars in air-pollution health benefits and 161 billion dollars in climate damage reductions. Under the expanded RPS case, health benefits total 558 billion dollars and climate benefits equal 599 billion dollars. These scenarios also yield benefits in the form of reduced water use. RPS programs are not likely to represent the most cost effective path towards achieving air quality and climate benefits. Nonetheless, the findings suggest that US RPS programs are, on a national basis, cost effective when considering externalities.
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NREL/JA--6A20-70355; OSTIID--1404879; AC36-08GO28308; Available from http://www.osti.gov/pages/biblio/1394683; DOE Accepted Manuscript full text, or the publishers Best Available Version will be available free of charge after the embargo period; Country of input: United States
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Journal Article
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Environmental Research Letters; ISSN 1748-9326; ; v. 12(9); vp
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