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Maigne, Yves; Cornut, Pierre; Bineau, Virginie
Systemes Solaires, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2003
Systemes Solaires, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2003
AbstractAbstract
[en] In order to give some flexibility to the quota system for the reduction of carbon emission, the Kyoto Protocol notably introduced the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM). This guide aims at precisely assessing the possible use of the CDM to fund projects of decentralised rural electrification which are implemented in developing countries. In its first part, it presents this type of electrification (principles, technical, organisational or financial modalities) and the use of renewable energies in order to meet, while respecting the environment, demands and needs in electric power services in places which cannot be reached by power transmission networks. It also presents the CDM, its principles, associated procedures for the validation and control of their results, with a focus on small size projects. In its second part, this guide describes how to assess the possible use of the CDM to fund decentralised rural electrification projects in developing countries. A theoretical example addresses the replacement of pumping systems based on power generators by pumping systems based on solar energy in ten villages of Madagascar. Possible carbon credits associated with such a project are assessed, and implications regarding the project financial balance are analysed
Original Title
Acces a l'electricite en milieu rural et reduction des emissions de carbone. Le mecanisme de developpement propre: quelle contribution financiere a l'exploitation des installations de production d'electricite d'origine renouvelable?
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Dec 2003; 36 p; ISBN 2-913620-23-X; ; 7 refs.; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
Record Type
Miscellaneous
Report Number
Country of publication
AFRICA, AIR POLLUTION ABATEMENT, CARBON DIOXIDE, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, ECONOMICS, ELECTRIC POWER, EMISSIONS TRADING, ENERGY SOURCE DEVELOPMENT, ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS, ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION, FINANCING, MULTILATERAL AGREEMENTS, POWER DEMAND, POWER DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS, POWER GENERATION, RECOMMENDATIONS, RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES, RURAL AREAS
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Liebard, Alain; Civel, Yves-Bruno; Maigne, Yves
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observatoire des Energies Renouvelables - Observ'ER, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2008
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observatoire des Energies Renouvelables - Observ'ER, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2008
AbstractAbstract
[en] For each of ten developing countries (Mali, South Africa, Morocco, India, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Kenya, Philippines, and Senegal), this publication proposes a sheet which contain a presentation of the context of rural electrification, indications of the evolution until 2006 of the conventional rural electrification and of the number of concerned households, an assessment of the use of photovoltaic energy (evolution of household electrification, of community electrification, of photovoltaic pumping, of professional applications), a discussion of perspectives of evolution by 2007 and 2011 in terms of electrification per application type and of number of households equipped with photovoltaic equipment
Original Title
Inventaire de l'electrification solaire photovoltaique dans dix pays en developpement - Scarabee No. 22 - Novembre 2008
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Secondary Subject
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Nov 2008; 44 p; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
Record Type
Miscellaneous
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Country of publication
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Maigne, Yves; Celerier, Isabelle; Munzer, Solange; Delacloche, Remy; Laffargue, Claire; Dangaix, Denis
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Arene Ile-de-France, 94 bis, avenue de Suffren, 75015 Paris (France)2007
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Arene Ile-de-France, 94 bis, avenue de Suffren, 75015 Paris (France)2007
AbstractAbstract
[en] A first booklet presents various aspects of the providing of access to electricity services through the use of local energies in countries of the South: objectives (to solve the problem of access to electricity for billions of people, a major stake for a sustainable development, an unexploited potential), institutional, organisational, technical, and financial aspects, energy sources, possible applications, ways to develop a project, examples in different countries, a stake for decentralised collaboration. A second booklet proposes an overview of actual impacts of an electrification based on renewable energies for rural populations: social advances (health, education, daily life), economic development (revenue increase, decrease of energy expenses, job creation), protection of the environment (struggle against climate change, preservation of natural resources, reduction of energy dependence). The third booklet outlines the numerous expertises and opportunities of the profession of rural electrification operator: technical and financial requirements (equipment maintenance, service financial balance, user information, compliance with regulations), choice of an exploitation structure (private operator or user cooperative). The fourth booklet is a guide which describes actions to be performed by local rural authorities to develop electrification of their community: information from authorities, population awareness, study of the different possibilities (technical options, distribution mode), examples, analysis of the local situation, how to proceed
Original Title
Acces aux services de l'electricite - Energies locales et developpement rural. L'electrification grace aux energies renouvelables - De reels impacts pour les populations rurales. Energies renouvelables dans les pays du Sud - Exploitant en electrification rurale, Un metier d'avenir. Vous etes elu-e d'une commune rurale d'un pays du Sud, Vous souhaitez l'electrifier, Vous pouvez utiliser avec succes les energies renouvelables de votre territoire
Primary Subject
Source
Sep 2007; Dec 2009; 60 p; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
Record Type
Miscellaneous
Report Number
Country of publication
AFRICA, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT, ECONOMIC IMPACT, ELECTRIC POWER, ENERGY CONSERVATION, ENERGY SOURCE DEVELOPMENT, ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS, FINANCING, POLITICAL ASPECTS, POWER GENERATION, PROGRAM MANAGEMENT, PUBLIC INFORMATION, PUBLIC RELATIONS, RECOMMENDATIONS, RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES, RURAL AREAS, RURAL POPULATIONS, SOCIAL IMPACT, TECHNOLOGY IMPACTS
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Maigne, Yves; Madon, Gerard; Sauvage, Etienne; Vignoles, Sarah; Jacques le Seigneur, Vincent; David, Romain; Guillier, Alice; L'escale, Charlotte de; BORLOO, Jean-Louis; Zinsou, Lionel; Tennenhaus, Shula
Fondation Energies pour le Monde - Fondem, 146 Rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observ'ER, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2019
Fondation Energies pour le Monde - Fondem, 146 Rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observ'ER, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2019
AbstractAbstract
[en] How come the most destitute people pay the world's top prices for electricity? Can this be reversed? Rural electrification efforts have been trialing renewable energies for fifty years, primarily in Sub-Saharan Africa. The time has come to draw on this wealth of experience for the future, make an audit and suggest useful recommendations to all stakeholders. This book has been written on the basis of the thirty years' expertise built up by Fondation Energies pour le Monde, specialists who are mindful of rural populations' demands and who seek sustainable solutions. It enjoys the benefit of their knowledge of the role of project manager delegate, directing the whole spectrum of players, from users to ministries, including financial backers, operators, equipment suppliers and local authorities. So many voices who express their opinions in the book and who need to work more closely together to make a difference.
[fr]
Les plus pauvres du monde paient l'electricite la plus chere du monde. Pourquoi? Est-ce irreversible? L'electrification rurale par energies renouvelables est riche de cinquante ans d'experiences, notamment menees en Afrique subsaharienne. Il est aujourd'hui possible et utile d'en tirer des lecons pour l'avenir, de poser un diagnostic et de formuler des preconisations d'action pour toutes les parties prenantes. S'appuyant sur trente ans d'expertise de la Fondation energies pour le Monde, cet ouvrage a ete ecrit par des praticiens soucieux de la demande des populations rurales et de la perennite des projets. Il beneficie de leur connaissance du role de maitre d'ouvrage delegue, orchestrant toute la palette des acteurs, des usagers aux ministeres, en passant par les bailleurs de fonds, les operateurs, les fournisseurs de materiel et les autorites locales. Autant de voix qui temoignent dans l'ouvrage et sont appelees a travailler davantage a l'unisson pour changer la donne.Original Title
Electrifier l'Afrique rurale. Un defi economique, un imperatif humain
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Oct 2019; 660 p; ISBN 978-2-913620-63-6; ; 180 refs.; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
Record Type
Miscellaneous
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Country of publication
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Liebard, Alain; Maigne, Yves; Le Jannic, Nolwenn; Zebboudj, Idir; Baldos, Raphael; Marandet, Laure; Houot, Geraldine
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observatoire des energies Renouvelables - Observ'ER, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2008
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observatoire des energies Renouvelables - Observ'ER, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2008
AbstractAbstract
[en] After an interview which addresses the global problematic created by the situation of food crisis and the production of biofuels, the articles of this publication address the following issues: sustainable development (how to make biofuels sustainable), applied research (optimisation of biofuels of first generation), the new herbarium of biofuels, prospective (biomass gasification as a sector to be developed, development of the enzymatic process). Other articles address programmes and studies related to decentralised rural electrification
Original Title
Numero special recherche biocarburant - Scarabee No. 21 - juin 2008
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Jun 2008; 28 p; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
Record Type
Miscellaneous
Report Number
Country of publication
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Courillon, Michel; Maigne, Yves; Bonneviot, Hubert; Louis, Veronique
Systemes Solaires, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2004
Systemes Solaires, 146, rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2004
AbstractAbstract
[en] A first publication proposes an overview of the state-of-the-art of technologies and equipment of solar pumping manufactured in Europe, by reviewing available equipment, their characteristics, assets, limitations, fields of application and costs. After some generalities on solar pumping (history, general principles, the two categories of solar pumps), it addresses domestic solar pumps (construction, operation, installation types, performance), solar pumps for villages (offer evolution, components and performance of submerged centrifugal pumps and of submerged volumetric pumps), and system prices. Appendices recall the main notions of hydraulic and pumping, and propose a list of manufacturers. The second publication reviews all the components of a solar pump. Based on field observations, it addresses the design and dimensioning of components (aspects related to the water resource, need assessment, storage tank, photovoltaic pump, network, standposts), the installation of the system, its commissioning, reception, and performance measurement, its exploitation and maintenance
Original Title
Technologies europeennes du pompage solaire photovoltaique: acces a l'eau potable, irrigation maitrisee, respect de l'environnement, reduction de la pauvrete. Adduction d'eau potable avec pompe photovoltaique - Pratique et recommandations de conception et d'installation
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Dec 2004; Oct 2005; 79 p; ISBN 2-913620-25-6; ; ISBN 2-913620-33-7; ; 24 refs.; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
Record Type
Miscellaneous
Report Number
Country of publication
AFRICA, BEST AVAILABLE TECHNOLOGY, CALCULATION METHODS, COST, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, DRINKING WATER, ECONOMIC IMPACT, ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS, ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION, IRRIGATION, PRICES, RECOMMENDATIONS, RURAL AREAS, SOCIAL IMPACT, SOLAR WATER PUMPS, SPECIFICATIONS, TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT, TECHNOLOGY IMPACTS
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Ankri, Jeremy; Aubry le Comte, Aude; Giraud, Tanguy; Maigne, Yves; Jacques le Seigneur, Vincent; Gromard, Christian de; Peretti, Corinne de; Richard, Dominique; Cathelineau, Emmanuelle; Lena, Gregoire; Sabathie-Akonor, Helene; Nicomedi, Iris; Darlu, Juliette; Samson, Marie; Vignoles, Sarah
Fondation Energies pour le Monde - Fondem, 146 Rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observ'ER, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Universite de Grenoble Alpes, Laboratoire de sciences sociales Pacte (France); Agence de Developpement de l'Electrification Rurale - ADER, Logement 12, Cite des Travaux Publics, Alarobia, Antananarivo 101 (Madagascar); Agence Senegalaise d'Electrification rurale - ASER, Ex Camp Lat Dior, BP 11 131, Dakar (Senegal); Association Fimifa (Madagascar); Groupe de recherche et de Realisations pour le Developpement rural - GRDR, 66/72 Rue Marceau, 93100 Montreuil (France); Agence francaise de developpement - AFD, 5, Rue Roland Barthes, 75598 PARIS CEDEX 12 (France); Agence de l'environnement et de la maitrise de l'energie - ADEME (France); Synergie solaire, Arteparc de Meyreuil, Batiment A, Route de la Cote d'Azur, 13590 Meyreuil (France)2020
Fondation Energies pour le Monde - Fondem, 146 Rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Observ'ER, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Universite de Grenoble Alpes, Laboratoire de sciences sociales Pacte (France); Agence de Developpement de l'Electrification Rurale - ADER, Logement 12, Cite des Travaux Publics, Alarobia, Antananarivo 101 (Madagascar); Agence Senegalaise d'Electrification rurale - ASER, Ex Camp Lat Dior, BP 11 131, Dakar (Senegal); Association Fimifa (Madagascar); Groupe de recherche et de Realisations pour le Developpement rural - GRDR, 66/72 Rue Marceau, 93100 Montreuil (France); Agence francaise de developpement - AFD, 5, Rue Roland Barthes, 75598 PARIS CEDEX 12 (France); Agence de l'environnement et de la maitrise de l'energie - ADEME (France); Synergie solaire, Arteparc de Meyreuil, Batiment A, Route de la Cote d'Azur, 13590 Meyreuil (France)2020
AbstractAbstract
[en] This methodological guide aims at improving the synergy between electric power demand and supply in rural areas, notably in Sub-Saharan Africa. For each step, it identifies objectives, keys to success and activities to be undertaken. The various steps of action are how to study the context, the selection of locations and the development of population awareness, the selection of project holders, the collection of co-funding and equipment installation, and how to support and to follow-up actors.
Original Title
Accelerer le developpement rural grace aux energies renouvelables. Methode de valorisation des usages productifs de l'electricite en Afrique subsaharienne
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Secondary Subject
Source
Oct 2020; 78 p; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
Record Type
Miscellaneous
Report Number
Country of publication
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Liebard, Alain; Civel, Yves-Bruno; Maigne, Yves; Guichard, Nicolas; Rigaud, Charlotte; Thevenon, Emmanuel; Le Jannic, Nolwenn; Delacloche, Remy; Bourg, Catherine; Laskar, Rachel; Toulors, Amin; Sauget, Lucie; Cazeres, Ana; David, Romain; Decombe, Annabelle; Sauvage, Etienne; Baratte, Lucie; Duchossoir, Amandine; Darlu, Juliette; Holt, Sarah; Canlet, Josselin; Wendling, Alban; Rousseau, Clement; Le Tourneur d'Ison, Cyril; Michaud, Elise; Fossati, Carole; Rigal, Fabienne; Durieu, Cyril; Vignoles, Sarah; Trognon, Julie; Cubizolles, Marion; Coureau, Alice; Ashraf, Mehrin; Petit-Goffi, Tiffanie; Guichard, Marie Agnes; Guillier, Alice
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Ministere de l'energie et des Mines, Madagascar (Madagascar); Ministere de l'Industrie, des Mines et de l'energie, Cambodge (Cambodia); Ministere de l'energie et des Mines, Laos (Lao People's Democratic Republic); Ministere des Mines, des Carrieres et de l'energie, Burkina Faso (Burkina Faso); Ministere delegue charge de l'energie du Senegal (Senegal); Agence Guineenne d'Electrification Rurale (Guinea)2011
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France); Ministere de l'energie et des Mines, Madagascar (Madagascar); Ministere de l'Industrie, des Mines et de l'energie, Cambodge (Cambodia); Ministere de l'energie et des Mines, Laos (Lao People's Democratic Republic); Ministere des Mines, des Carrieres et de l'energie, Burkina Faso (Burkina Faso); Ministere delegue charge de l'energie du Senegal (Senegal); Agence Guineenne d'Electrification Rurale (Guinea)2011
AbstractAbstract
[en] Mainly illustrated by maps and graphs, several documents precisely presents various programmes projected and implemented in rural areas of different African (Senegal, Burkina Faso, Madagascar, Guinea) and Asian (Laos) countries (documents are in English and French) for the development of electric power production based on renewable energies. Each document comprises presentations of the concerned countries (key data, decentralisation policy, household way of life, energy assessment, access to electric power, power sector, situation of renewable energies), and areas (several regions or rural communes in each country), project objectives, implemented means (solar, wind, micro-hydraulic, foreseen applications), project costs (initial investment), and project time planning. A synthetic assessment of some projects in terms of population density, accessibility, economic development, and budget is sometimes proposed
Original Title
De l'electricite verte pour un million de ruraux a Madagascar. De l'electricite verte pour cent mille ruraux au Cambogde. De l'electricite verte pour trente-cinq mille ruraux au Laos. De l'electricite verte pour 15 villages dans la Province de Luang Prabang (Laos). De l'electricite verte pour cent mille ruraux au Burkina Faso. 10 centrales solaires pour 40 000 ruraux dans la region nord du Burkina Faso. De l'electricite verte pour trente-cinq mille ruraux au Senegal. Electrifier plus de 40 000 guineens a partir du solaire
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Source
2011; 2021; 370 p; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
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Miscellaneous
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Country of publication
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Liebard, Alain; Civel, Yves-Bruno; Maigne, Yves; Raynal, Florence; Baratte, Lucie; Guillier, Alice; Cazeres, Ana; Sauvage, Etienne; Talpin, Juliette; Seigneur, Vincent Jacques le; Duchaine, Sandrine; Forestier, Segolene; David, Romain; Decombe, Annabelle; Guichard, Marie Agnes; Darlu, Juliette; Ragot, Marc-Antoine; Mimault, Anne; Delacloche, Remy; Lacourtiade, Alexandre; Munzer, Solange; Bizeau, Sylvain; Le Borgne, Maxence; Creff, Celia; Guillier, Alice; Durieu, Cyril; Coureau, Alice; Cubizolles, Marion; Petit Goffi, Tiffanie; Sanson, Franck; Borloo, Jean-Louis; Andre-Bataille, Camille; Livache, Nicolas; Ranzanici, Andrea
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2010
Fondation Energies pour le Monde, 146 rue de l'Universite, 75007 Paris (France)2010
AbstractAbstract
[en] Several returns on experience (some of which are bilingual, French/English) are reported which concern developments of electric power production in rural areas of different African (Madagascar, Burkina Faso, Senegal) and Asian (Laos) countries. The documents present the main characteristics of the projects, involved actors, technical choices and issues (notably maintenance, good practices), financial aspects (funding and pricing), ways to sustain projects are presented and commented. These projects are mainly based on solar and wind energy, and also concern the development and use of mini-networks among rural communities (in Madagascar and Guinea) which, in the case of Madagascar with the ENVOL (New Energies and Valorisation of communities) project, is a matter of a detailed assessment study which addresses design, technical and technological choices, management and exploitation, economic performance and revenues, and impacts
Original Title
Electricite renouvelable dans le sud de Madagascar - L'eolien: un souffle nouveau a Ambondro. A Madagascar, l'avenir s'annonce lumineux. Au Laos, l'electricite solaire ouvre une nouvelle ere. Electrification rurale decentralisee dans le sud de Madagascar - Retour d'experience du projet Resouth. Au Senegal, un service durable d'electricite solaire. Au Burkina Faso, de l'electricite solaire pour tous. A Madagascar, la Fondem change d'echelle. Un projet pionnier pour une electricite durable et inclusive en milieu rural - Retour d'experience sur les premiers mini-reseaux solaires decentralises en Guinee. Etude de capitalisation de 16 projets d'electrification rurale par mini-reseaux a Madagascar - Envol - Energies Nouvelles et Valorisation de Localites du Sud-Ouest de Madagascar. A Madagascar, l'electricite renouvelable renforce le bien-etre collectif
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Dec 2010; Mar 2020; 147 p; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
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Miscellaneous
Report Number
Country of publication
AFRICA, DEVELOPING COUNTRIES, ECONOMIC IMPACT, ECONOMICS, ELECTRIC POWER, ENERGY SOURCE DEVELOPMENT, FINANCING, LAOS, POWER GENERATION, PROGRAM MANAGEMENT, RECOMMENDATIONS, RURAL AREAS, SOCIAL IMPACT, SOLAR ENERGY, SOLAR POWER PLANTS, TECHNOLOGY IMPACTS, TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER, WIND POWER, WIND POWER PLANTS, WIND TURBINE ARRAYS
Reference NumberReference Number
INIS VolumeINIS Volume
INIS IssueINIS Issue
Caseau, Paul; Causse, Jean-Pierre; Castillon, Pierre; Charentenay, Francois de; Dhers, Jean; Fillet, Pierre; Frybourg, Michel; Guillaumont, Robert; Jarry, Bruno; Maigne, Yves; Mongon, Alain; Mudry, Francois; Pelegrin, Marc; Pouchard, Michel; Ruelle, Gilbert; Tardieu, Bernard; Tissot, Bernard; Babusiaux, Denis; Bacher, Pierre; Bauquis, Pierre-Rene; Beraud-Dufour, Patrice; Bourrelier, Paul-Henri; Choux, Gerard; Claverie, Maurice; Darthenay, Alain; Decroocq, Daniel; Debiais, Louis; Ducroux, Rene; Equer, Bernard; Girard, Michel; Orselli, Jean; Andre, Jean-Claude; Bamberger, Yves; Borde, Christian; Boudet, Alain; Candel, Sebastien; Galle, Pierre; Gaset, Antoine; Giraud, Pierre-Noel; Grunblatt, Gerard; Jeanbaptiste, Philippe; Lunel, Jean; Marsily, Ghislain de; Masse, Roland; Minster, Jean-Francois; Mordchelles-Regnier, Georges; Panet, Marc; Poulain, Michel; Quinet, Emile; Rondreux, Michel; Slodzian, Georges; Benech, Michel; Douaud, Andre; Hourcade, Jean-Charles; Jancovici, Jean-Marc; Morin, Xavier
Academie des technologies, Le Ponant, 19, rue Leblanc, 75015 Paris (France)2008
Academie des technologies, Le Ponant, 19, rue Leblanc, 75015 Paris (France)2008
AbstractAbstract
[en] We are some forty years away from 2050. To appreciate the modesty with which we must approach energy forecasts for this date, a look back at the energy landscape of the 1960's sheds light on the power of the changes that can occur in less than half a century in the fields of energy and society: the world's population has doubled, its energy consumption has tripled, and the nature of physical and geopolitical risks has profoundly changed. In 1960, coal was still the world's leading source of energy, while oil, at only half its current level of consumption, was already beginning to equal coal with the development of transport. Natural gas was in its infancy, and nuclear power in its infancy too. Hydropower was the only renewable energy, but the word was not yet in use. The big absentee from the landscape was climate change, that giant parameter that now dominates our energy future and introduces the new constraint of the necessary reduction in carbon emissions. Today's energy landscape has profoundly changed and has taken on a global geopolitical dimension: coal still exists for another 200 years (outside Europe), but pollutes too much; oil and gas have a much more limited horizon, but have taken the lead in terms of convenience of use; the potential of hydropower is fully exploited in developed countries; nuclear power is the only mature carbon-free energy and the most economical, but still raises fears among the public. Energy savings are required everywhere, and renewable energies remain at a low level. The carbon constraint will force us to halve global emissions by 2050, and will be the essential determinant of energy choices. This update of the 2004 edition of the 'Prospective on energy in the 21. century', the fruit of three years of additional work within the Academy of technologies, aims to provide the public with objective scientific information, enabling them to become aware of the real energy issues facing us within this century
[fr]
Une quarantaine d'annees nous separent de 2050. Pour apprecier la modestie avec laquelle nous devons aborder les previsions energetiques pour cette date, un regard en arriere sur le paysage energetique des annees 1960 nous eclaire sur la puissance des changements qui peuvent intervenir en moins d'un demi-siecle dans les domaines de l'energie et de la societe: la population mondiale a double, sa consommation energetique a triple, et la nature des risques physiques et geopolitiques a profondement change. Le charbon etait encore en 1960 la premiere source d'energie, le petrole, qui n'etait pourtant qu'a la moitie de sa consommation actuelle, commencait deja a egaler le charbon avec le developpement des transports. Le gaz naturel n'etait qu'a ses debuts et le nucleaire embryonnaire. L'hydraulique etait la seule energie renouvelable, mais ce mot n'etait pas encore employe. Le grand absent du paysage etait le changement climatique, ce parametre geant qui domine maintenant notre futur energetique et introduit la nouvelle contrainte de la reduction necessaire des emissions de carbone. Aujourd'hui le paysage de l'energie a profondement change et pris une dimension geopolitique mondiale, le charbon existe encore pour 200 ans (hors d'Europe), mais pollue trop, le petrole et le gaz ont leur horizon beaucoup plus limite mais ont pris la tete par leur commodite d'emploi, le potentiel de l'hydraulique est entierement exploite dans les pays developpes, le nucleaire est la seule energie mature sans carbone et la plus economique, mais souleve encore des craintes dans le public. Les economies d'energie sont partout requises et les energies renouvelables restent a un faible niveau. La contrainte carbone obligera a diviser par deux les emissions mondiales d'ici a 2050 et sera le determinant essentiel des choix energetiques. Cette mise a jour de l'edition 2004, fruit de trois annees de travail supplementaire au sein de l'Academie des technologies, a pour objectif de livrer au public une information scientifique objective lui permettant de prendre conscience des vrais problemes de l'energie qui vont se poser au cours de ce siecleOriginal Title
Prospective sur l'energie au XXIe siecle - Communication a l'Academie des technologies, Octobre 2008
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5 Oct 2008; 176 p; 56 refs.; Available from the INIS Liaison Officer for France, see the INIS website for current contact and E-mail addresses
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Miscellaneous
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CARBON SEQUESTRATION, ENERGY CONSERVATION, ENERGY CONSUMPTION, ENERGY POLICY, ENERGY SOURCE DEVELOPMENT, ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS, ETHICAL ASPECTS, FOSSIL FUELS, FUEL SUBSTITUTION, GREENHOUSE EFFECT, INTERNATIONAL AGREEMENTS, NEGOTIATION, NUCLEAR ENERGY, PUBLIC ANXIETY, RADIOACTIVE WASTE MANAGEMENT, RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES, RESEARCH PROGRAMS, RISK ASSESSMENT
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