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Andersen, P.D.; Fuglsang, P.
Risoe National Lab., Roskilde (Denmark). Test Station for Wind Turbines1996
Risoe National Lab., Roskilde (Denmark). Test Station for Wind Turbines1996
AbstractAbstract
[en] The report estimates the future advances of wind power technology. Two trajectories are considered and described: a normal (business as usual) trajectory and a technology trajectory. Two types of plants are considered: 1500 kW turbines on land (roughness class 1.5) in small groups and 2500 kW turbines in large off-shore wind farms. In both cases cost of energy (in DKK/kWh) is estimated to be approximately halved during the next 25 years. For wind turbines in flat terrain cost is estimated to decrease from an average in 1995 of 0.43 DKK/kWh to an average in 2020 of 0.26 DKK/kWh on a normal trajectory and 0.21 DKK/kWh on a technology trajectory. For large off-shore (near coast) wind farms cost is estimated to decrease from an average in 1995 of 0.51 DKK/kWh to an average in 2020 of 0.27 DKK/kWh on a normal trajectory and 0.23 DKK/kWh on a technology trajectory. Increase in the total market volume for wind turbines is estimated as the most important factor for cost reductions. The market is anticipated to follow the most conservative scenario of World Energy Council (180,000 MW by 2020). (au) 17 tabs., 7 ills. 25 refs
Original Title
Vurdering af udviklingsforloeb for vindkraftteknologien
Primary Subject
Source
Mar 1996; 48 p; ISBN 87-550-2083-6; ; Available from Risoe Library, P.O. Box 49, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark
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Report
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