0nchained

🚀 Bitcoin Sniper II: A Systematic Bitcoin Trading Strategy 📈💡 The Bitcoin Sniper II Strategy represents a sophisticated approach to Bitcoin investing, leveraging the power of on-chain data to identify market tops and bottoms with precision. It’s not just about buying and selling Bitcoin—it’s about navigating market cycles strategically while protecting investor capital. What Makes the Bitcoin Sniper II Strategy Stand Out? ✅ Data-Driven Decisions: Harnesses the insights from advanced on-chain metrics to time entries and exits intelligently. ✅ Capital Preservation Focus: The strategy is designed to deploy and recycle initial capital across Bitcoin’s market cycles, effectively managing risk while allowing gains to compound. ✅ Cycle-Aware Execution: Identifies pivotal moments in Bitcoin’s market cycle, taking advantage of undervaluation and capitalizing on overvaluation with a systematic approach. Why It Matters to Institutional Investors: The Bitcoin Sniper II Strategy delivers a balanced mix of growth potential and risk management, attributes that resonate strongly with professional investors, including: • Institutional Investors: Seeking alpha from innovative, data-backed strategies in digital assets. • Family Offices: Interested in long-term capital growth with downside protection. • Asset Managers: Looking for a systematic approach to incorporate Bitcoin into diversified portfolios. • Crypto Companies: Aiming to optimize treasury management through Bitcoin market cycles. Vision for the Future: I’m actively building a systematic Bitcoin fund, combining my deep expertise in on-chain analytics with cutting-edge technologies like machine learning. This fund is tailored to meet the needs of sophisticated investors, offering a unique blend of performance, innovation, and reliability. 💬 Are you interested in exploring how this strategy can enhance your Bitcoin investments? Let’s connect to discuss its potential in more detail. 📩 Reach out today to learn more about this exciting opportunity. Together, we can redefine the standards of Bitcoin investing.

Revolutionizing Bitcoin Investment with the Delta Accumulation and Realization Framework Institutional investors face significant challenges in navigating Bitcoin’s dynamic and volatile market. The Delta Accumulation and Realization Framework (DARF) is a transformative evolution of traditional dollar-cost averaging (DCA), tailored specifically for institutional needs. This sophisticated strategy combines the simplicity of DCA with the precision of real-time blockchain analytics, turning Bitcoin investment into a data-driven process that maximizes returns, minimizes risk, and instills confidence. A Strategy at the Core of a Visionary Fund As part of this innovation, I am proud to announce the upcoming launch of my own fund, which will embody the principles of DARF as its cornerstone strategy. This fund will take DARF to the next level by continuously tweaking and optimizing the framework to deliver peak performance. By leveraging institutional capital, advanced analytics, and deep expertise, the fund will position DARF as the ultimate solution for achieving sustainable, risk-managed growth in the Bitcoin market. The Essence of DARF At its heart, the Delta Accumulation and Realization Framework combines DCA’s time-tested principles with cutting-edge on-chain insights. By dynamically guiding both accumulation and liquidation phases, DARF ensures that every decision is not only data-driven but also perfectly aligned with the market’s realities. This framework will form the foundation of the fund’s strategy, offering investors a unique blend of stability and innovation: • Capital Deployment: DARF strategically accumulates Bitcoin during optimal on-chain conditions. • Efficient Exits: The framework ensures precise and profitable exits, protecting portfolios while locking in gains. • Scalable Execution: Designed to handle significant capital inflows without disrupting market stability. On-Chain Data: The Backbone On-chain data lies at the heart of DARF and the fund’s strategy. This transparent and unfiltered blockchain intelligence provides a unique competitive edge by: • Identifying Market Patterns: On-chain metrics reveal trends invisible to traditional market indicators. • Ensuring Objectivity: Decisions are rooted in tamper-proof, blockchain-verified data. • Enhancing Agility: Real-time network monitoring ensures the framework adapts instantly to market changes. The fund will employ advanced analytics to refine DARF further, incorporating new on-chain metrics and proprietary indicators to continuously enhance decision-making. We’re in the process of raising capital for an exclusive opportunity. If you recognize the potential here and you’re ready to take action, reach out. Let’s make it happen.

🚀 Exciting Opportunity for Bitcoin Investors 🚀 I’ve been working on a cutting-edge Bitcoin trading strategy that combines on-chain data and algorithmic precision to execute optimal buy and sell decisions in real-time. This Bitcoin Sniper Strategy is designed to identify key moments for capital deployment based on a refined, data-driven approach that leverages market indicators. 🔍 How It Works: • Data-Driven: The strategy analyzes real-time on-chain data to determine the best times to buy and sell Bitcoin. • Precision: It leverages critical levels to execute tactical buys and sells, ensuring profitability in both bull and bear markets. • Risk Management: The algorithm not only tracks the market but also focuses on capital preservation through systematic sell signals, making it an optimal strategy for active investors. 📈 Why It Matters: • The strategy has shown impressive results, allowing for efficient asset management in volatile Bitcoin markets. • I am currently preparing to launch a systematic Bitcoin fund that will apply this strategy at scale, providing an opportunity for both new and experienced investors to benefit from the incredible potential of Bitcoin. 🔑 Future Vision: As I work towards finalizing this fund, I am seeking like-minded investors passionate about digital assets and looking to explore high-performance Bitcoin strategies. 💬 Let’s Connect: If you are an investor or someone with a keen interest in Bitcoin and digital assets, I would love to discuss how this strategy can work for you. 📩 Reach out to me to get involved in this exciting project, and let’s talk about the future of Bitcoin investment!

Long-Term Holders Inactivity Spectrum Overview 🔎 The Long-Term Holders Inactivity Spectrum (LTHIS) is a proprietary metric designed to track Bitcoin long-term holder behavior. It focuses on the aging of UTXOs (Unspent Transaction Outputs) in different age bands—1 year, 2 years, 3 years, 5 years, 7 years, and 10 years. This metric helps gauge changes in the supply held by long-term holders and provides insights into potential selling or accumulation behavior. Key Components: 1. UTXO Aging Bands: • 1-Year UTXOs: Represents UTXOs held for over a year. • 2-Year UTXOs: Represents UTXOs held for over two years. • 3-Year UTXOs: Represents UTXOs held for over three years. • 5-Year UTXOs: Represents UTXOs held for over five years. • 7-Year UTXOs: Represents UTXOs held for over seven years. • 10-Year UTXOs: Represents UTXOs held for over ten years. 2. Metric Calculation: • Weekly Percentage Changes: Calculated for each band, these changes reveal shifts in the relative supply within each aging category. • Profit-Taking: Negative percentage values in each band indicate profit-taking by long-term holders, as coins stored in those UTXOs are spent. Why This Metric Matters: 1. Selling Pressure & Market Sentiment: • A decline in LTHIS values suggests long-term holders are spending or profiting from their Bitcoin holdings, which can introduce selling pressure and potentially bearish sentiment. • A flat or declining trend in LTHIS values suggests a cooling of selling pressure, indicating stability or accumulation behavior by long-term holders. 2. Market Cycles & Investor Behavior: By examining shifts in the LTHIS, investors can gain a more nuanced understanding of long-term holders’ behavior, allowing them to discern whether these holders are actively distributing or maintaining their positions. Long-term holders across all age bands are showing signs of cooling their selling pressure. This shift suggests that instead of actively distributing their holdings, these holders are holding onto their positions, reducing the likelihood of increased selling pressure. The following charts visually reinforce this trend, showcasing the stabilized negative values within the relevant bands. These charts emphasize how long-term holders are preserving their positions, offering crucial insights into shifts in market sentiment and the behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders. This development marks a significant turning point, suggesting that a renewed Bitcoin price rally may be imminent. With long-term holders reducing their selling pressure and holding onto their positions, we could see increased market stability and accumulation. As a result, the likelihood of Bitcoin trading at higher levels than the previous ATH of $108K becomes more pronounced, with potential targets reaching toward $120K in the mid-term. Follow: 0nchained

🌟 The 0nchained Dashboard – A Game-Changer for Institutional Bitcoin Investors 🌟 Over the years, Bitcoin has emerged as the cornerstone of digital asset investment, and as the crypto space matures, institutions need more granular insights and actionable data to make informed decisions. That’s where the 0nchained Dashboard comes in – a product of my expertise and passion for on-chain analysis, powered by CryptoQuant’s industry-leading data. 🚀 💼 Tailored specifically for institutional players – hedge funds, family offices, fund-of-funds, and Bitcoin-focused funds – this dashboard equips you with the metrics that matter most: ✅ Exclusive Indicators: Leverage proprietary metrics I’ve personally designed to identify market trends and opportunities. ✅ Actionable Visualizations: Clear, insightful charts crafted with precision for real-time decision-making. ✅ Macro Analysis Meets Micro Insights: Understand the big picture while uncovering granular movements on-chain. ✅ Institutional-Grade Reporting: Trusted by top players, including asset managers like Grayscale. 💡 Whether you’re hedging risk, optimizing portfolios, or scouting for market inflection points, the 0nchained Dashboard is your ultimate analytical edge in the Bitcoin ecosystem. ✨ Check out the Bitcoin Dashboard today! I’ve updated all the data to ensure you get the most accurate and timely insights – explore it in its best version yet: https://lnkd.in/ekE8FbmR 🔗 If you’re looking for a tailored walkthrough or wish to learn how these insights can enhance your strategy, feel free to connect with me or drop a message. Let’s 0nchain your Bitcoin journey! 🚀 #Bitcoin #OnChainAnalysis #InstitutionalInvesting #CryptoAnalytics #0nchained

Bitcoin Market Outlook: Insights from On-Chain Data and Price Action 🚀 As Bitcoin investors, understanding the market’s key indicators and their implications is critical to anticipating future price movements. This analysis provides a comprehensive overview of pivotal metrics, historical trends, and a data-driven price trajectory prediction. I. Key Metrics and Current Market Dynamics Bitcoin has achieved a major milestone, hitting a new price peak ($99,660) and aligning with the Vaulted Realized Price (VRP) for the second time in this bull cycle. This metric, currently at $91,888, exclusively tracks Bitcoins actively engaged in network transactions. Historically, reaching this level has been a definitive signal of bull market confirmation. The importance of the VRP lies in its ability to gauge the “potential energy” of long-term holders within the network. When Bitcoin consistently trades above this threshold, it historically signals a period of sustained price appreciation, with the market building momentum for significant upward movement. II. Historical Context and Price Action Patterns Analyzing historical trends, such as those from 2020, reveals that surpassing the VRP often acts as a catalyst for sharp price increases. During previous cycles: • Above the VRP: Prices surged, confirming bullish sentiment. • Below the VRP: Retracements to the Active Realized Price (ARP) or even to the Realized Price (RP) occurred, reflecting temporary bearish corrections. These dynamics are particularly relevant now as Bitcoin’s price firmly holds above the VRP, suggesting further upside potential. Data: 0nchained Keep reading in the comments for the full breakdown! 🤷🏻♂️

Analyzing market participants’ on-chain activity has become essential to understanding investor behavior, market cycles, and potential trends. Through comprehensive on-chain analysis, we can identify specific patterns that reflect how different types of addresses—whether large accumulators, high-value retail holders, or smaller retail investors—are engaging with Bitcoin. This segmentation, or cohort analysis, provides us with a deeper look into various investor profiles and their potential influence on Bitcoin’s market dynamics. In this post, we introduce two distinct cohorts of Bitcoin addresses, each exhibiting unique characteristics that contribute to our understanding of the broader market. By focusing on these cohorts, we can assess the behavior of key participants and identify activity that may signal shifts in sentiment, long-term holding patterns, or emerging trends. 1. Accumulating Addresses These addresses are significant long-term holders with a consistent pattern of accumulation, substantial balances, and no history of outflows. By isolating addresses that meet specific criteria—such as a balance threshold, a history of transactions, and the absence of links to institutional or mining operations—we can observe the behavior of high-stake investors who exhibit strong, long-term commitment to holding BTC. 2. Accumulating Retail Addresses This cohort highlights retail participants, typically smaller holders, who display steady accumulation patterns without any history of liquidation. Monitoring these addresses provides valuable insight into how smaller, retail investors are approaching Bitcoin, especially in terms of their long-term confidence and resilience during periods of volatility. In understanding these cohorts, we can derive and interpret a range of on-chain indicators that reflect broader market trends, potential price movement, and shifts in investor sentiment. By linking specific on-chain indicators with these cohorts, we aim to provide a more nuanced picture of Bitcoin’s supply dynamics, investor confidence, and potential market signals. For a comprehensive understanding of this analysis, please read the comments provided. ⬇️ Data: CryptoQuant

Whale Watch: Analyzing Bitcoin’s Price Surge and Whale Accumulation Trends 🔭 🙏🏻 In today’s trading session, Bitcoin has experienced a notable price surge, rising from $59,000 yesterday to $63,000, marking an increase of approximately 6.5%. This significant price movement is intricately linked to the shifts in on-chain dynamics among various whale cohorts, particularly those holding substantial quantities of Bitcoin. Daily Supply Changes Across Cohorts Recent data reveals compelling trends in the supply changes of Bitcoin across different address cohorts: New Whales: The daily supply change for new whales—defined as addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC with an average holding period of less than six months—demonstrated substantial increases. Two days ago, this cohort saw an uptick of 153,491 BTC, escalating to 83,510 BTC yesterday, with an additional 1,705 BTC acquired today. This heightened accumulation signals a significant influx of capital as new investors seize favorable market conditions. Such aggressive buying behavior aligns closely with the recent price increase, suggesting that these new participants are entering the market with a bullish sentiment. Addresses Holding Over 10K BTC: In contrast, this cohort exhibited a minor reduction of -373 BTC two days ago, followed by a slight accumulation of 943 BTC today. Their relatively subdued activity, compared to the aggressive accumulation by new whales, indicates a more cautious approach. This conservative stance may hinder their ability to capitalize on the current market uptrend. Realized Capitalization Changes The changes in Realized Capitalization (RC) provide further insight into market sentiment. Realized Capitalization assigns value to each unspent transaction output (UTXO) based on the price at which it was last transferred. For instance, if a Bitcoin was last moved at a price of $30,000, that UTXO contributes to the realized cap at that value, regardless of the current market price. New Whales have seen a significant increase in their realized capitalization, with changes amounting to $9,584,016,638 two days ago and $5,167,027,607 yesterday. This surge indicates robust valuations of newly acquired assets, highlighting the confidence that new market entrants have in Bitcoin’s continued appreciation. In contrast, certain addresses with balances exceeding 10,000 BTC have seen a decrease in their realized capitalization, indicating a potential trend of profit-taking amid the recent price volatility. Notably, the changes in their realized cap have been minimal when compared to the significant increases noted among emerging whales. This dynamic highlights the dual influence of both selling and acquisition activities on their portfolios, as demonstrated in the accompanying charts. The premier leader in directional on-chain data analytics, 0nchained. Data: CryptoQuant #bitcoin

I couldn’t sleep last night because I kept thinking about how I could refine my new analytical framework for valuing Bitcoin’s Unspent Transaction Outputs (UTXOs). It led me to develop The Mourad Framework—a unique approach for analyzing UTXOs, which are fundamental to Bitcoin's transaction model. By diving deep into unspent transactions, we can now unlock new insights about market sentiment, liquidity, and unrealized profitability in the Bitcoin network. Introducing a few key metrics: - Mourad Current Transaction Value (MCTV): Measures the active value of unspent UTXOs in the network. - Mourad Realized Transaction Price (MRTP): The average acquisition price of all unspent transactions. - Mourad Average Unspent Tx Output Unrealized PnL (MAUTOUP): Helps us understand whether unspent transactions are sitting in profit or loss. - Mourad Average Unspent Tx Output Profitability Index (MAUTOPI): A normalized metric to gauge overall profitability. These metrics provide new signals for market phases, and what’s fascinating is that the current levels of MAUTOPI suggest that we’re not yet in a full bull market, but rather in a pre-bull run phase. While things are heating up, the framework indicates there’s still potential for more upside ahead! For instance, MAUTOPI should reach at least 10% to indicate we’re approaching a market top. With rising interest and institutional demand for Bitcoin, I believe it could even surpass 12% this cycle! 🚀 I've created some charts to visualize these insights, and I’m excited to share more as I keep refining the framework! This is just the beginning—more charts and insights to follow soon. Stay tuned! 🔍📊 Data: CryptoQuant #Bitcoin #OnChainAnalysis #CryptoAnalytics #UTXO #BlockchainData #MarketInsights #MouradFramework #BullRun

🚨 Bitcoin Investors & On-Chain Enthusiasts – Big Updates Alert! 🚨 In light of recent geopolitical events, including the ongoing conflicts between Iran and Israel, we’ve witnessed significant price action in Bitcoin, dropping from $66,000 to $60,000. 📉💥 📊 I’ve just updated my 0nchained Bitcoin Dashboard to reflect the latest market shifts and provide deep insights into what’s really happening beneath the surface. 🔍 Curious to know: • Who’s selling their Bitcoin amid this turbulence? • Which cohorts of holders are driving these moves? • How are long-term vs. short-term holders reacting? • What key on-chain metrics are signaling about the future price action? These are all questions answered by the real-time insights on my dashboard. 💡 Here’s a glimpse of what you’ll get by subscribing to the CryptoQuant Premium Plan: • Access to exclusive on-chain data showing who’s behind the recent Bitcoin sell-offs • Insights into market sentiment based on advanced indicators • Actionable data that lets you stay ahead of the curve in volatile market conditions To see the full picture and really understand what’s driving Bitcoin’s recent price drop, head to CryptoQuant and subscribe to the Premium Plan. 🚀 Why Subscribe? • Get access to my updated on-chain data reflecting this critical moment in the market • Understand the real reasons behind Bitcoin’s performance during major global events • Make informed decisions in this highly uncertain environment using data professionals rely on Don’t miss out on these timely insights—your portfolio depends on understanding what’s really happening behind the headlines. Join me on CryptoQuant to unlock the dashboard and navigate this market volatility like a pro! 🏆 #Bitcoin #OnChainAnalytics #CryptoQuant #MarketInsights #BlockchainData #DataDrivenInvesting