Decisio Advisory

Over half of the world’s countries, which represent two-thirds of the global population, now have fertility rates below the replacement level of 2.1 children per woman. This trend signals a significant demographic shift, where populations are not reproducing at a level that sustains their size. As a result, many nations are beginning to face challenges due to a declining working-age population, leading to potential economic slowdowns and a heavier burden on social support systems. The ratio of retirees to workers is increasing, which puts additional strain on public finances, particularly with rising costs for pensions and healthcare. In response to these demographic shifts, some countries are exploring innovative policies to encourage higher birth rates. For example, Nordic countries offer generous parental leave and subsidized childcare, while Singapore provides financial incentives to encourage families to have more children. Additionally, nations like Japan are investing in technology and automation to boost productivity, helping to offset the effects of a shrinking workforce. These efforts reflect a growing recognition that without action, the economic and social costs of demographic decline will continue to rise. However, this demographic decline is not universal. In contrast, regions like sub-Saharan Africa are experiencing high fertility rates, creating challenges in terms of providing education, healthcare, and job opportunities for a growing young population. Despite these challenges, the youthful demographics of these areas also present potential for economic growth if managed well. By investing in human capital and infrastructure, these regions could leverage their growing populations to drive future prosperity, offering a different but complementary dynamic to the global population trends. #DemographicTrends #EconomicGrowth #AgingPopulation

The article, a summary from Yanis Varoufakis, explores the interplay between U.S. economic strategies under Trump and China's potential responses in reshaping the global monetary order. It highlights the contradictions inherent in Trump's approach to balancing a strong dollar with trade competitiveness while analyzing China's strategic considerations regarding the Yuan and BRICS integration. #Trump #USA #China #BRICS #GeoPolitics #GlobalEconomy #Foresight

A visualisation from Visual Capitalist of the top 30 countries by the number of automobiles they manufacture, offering a comprehensive look at global production trends in the automotive industry. It highlights key players, such as China, the United States, and Japan, while shedding light on the shifting dynamics of manufacturing power across different regions. With data and visuals that display the scale of automobile production, this ranking serves as a valuable resource for understanding the economic and industrial forces shaping the automotive sector worldwide. The article provides insight into how global trends, technological advancements, and market demands are influencing the future of car manufacturing. #GlobalTrends #Innovation #EconomicInsights #IndustryAnalysis https://lnkd.in/eEe8_FzD

An exploration of the increasing vulnerability of global supply chains to espionage and strategic manipulation. As geopolitical tensions rise, countries are increasingly targeting supply chains as key battlegrounds for economic and technological advantage. With critical industries like semiconductors, energy, and pharmaceuticals under threat, nations are ramping up efforts to safeguard their most sensitive technologies and trade routes from both state-sponsored and corporate spies. This new phase of economic warfare highlights the growing intersection of cybersecurity, geopolitics, and global commerce. https://lnkd.in/g4e2nriD Foreign Policy #supplychain #risk #resilience #volatility #geopolitics

In an era marked by rapid technological change, geopolitical instability, and economic fluctuations, business leaders must embrace agility, data-driven insights, and adaptive leadership to thrive. This article provides practical strategies for navigating volatility by building organizational resilience, strengthening risk management, leveraging partnerships, and embedding sustainability into business practices. By anticipating change, fostering innovation, and aligning purpose with profit, executives can transform uncertainty into opportunity and lead their organizations confidently through turbulence. #Leadership #Resilience #Risk #CrisisManagement #Innovation #Agility #Strategy

In an era increasingly marked by rapid technological advancements, shifting global markets, and unpredictable financial shocks, central banks are tasked with an increasingly complex role. Traditionally focused on maintaining price stability and overseeing financial institutions, these institutions now find themselves on the frontlines of global economic stability, especially during periods of crisis. Whether responding to the sudden collapse of a major financial institution, navigating volatile markets, or managing unprecedented global disruptions, central banks must strike a delicate balance between preparedness and adaptability. For executives in the financial sector, understanding the dynamic role of central banks in crisis management is paramount. The ability to anticipate regulatory changes, respond to shifts in policy, and align risk management frameworks with central bank strategies can significantly influence organizational resilience. In times of crisis, it’s not enough to simply react—leaders must have the foresight to act decisively, guided by a robust risk management plan that accounts for both known and emerging threats. Patrick Honohan Central Bank of Ireland Stephen Cecchetti Ceyla Pazarbasioglu Nicolas Veron Peterson Institute for International Economics #crisis #resilience #foresight #banking #centralbank #strategy

The EU Institute for Security Studies examines lessons the #EU can learn from the U.S.'s strategies against foreign electoral interference in the 2024 presidential election. It highlights how Russia, China, and Iran sought to undermine democracy through disinformation, deepfakes, and cyberattacks. The analysis identifies five key lessons for Europe to bolster its defenses against similar threats by adopting coordinated, multi-agency approaches and enhancing public resilience. #EUISS #FutureOfDemocracy #DemocracyInCrisis #GlobalDemocracy #ElectionSecurity #Disinformation #ForeignInterference #CyberThreats #CyberResilience #ElectionInterference #Russia #China #Iran #Geopolitics #US #EuropeanSecurity #EUSecurity #EUResilience #Deepfakes #AIAndDemocracy https://lnkd.in/eE-2HHCA

Bill Clinton's post-presidential reflections offer a deep dive into the evolving landscape of global politics. In a recent interview with Rory Stewart and #AlastairCampbell, the former U.S. president discusses the rise of populism, the challenges of progressive politics, and his personal experiences with leaders like Vladimir Putin. He candidly shares his thoughts on the 2016 election, the Middle East peace process, and his ongoing philanthropic efforts through the Clinton Global Initiative. Clinton’s insights highlight the intersection of political history, leadership, and the ongoing quest for progress in an increasingly complex world. #BillClinton #Populism #ProgressivePolitics #Leadership #GlobalPolitics #MiddleEastPeace #HillaryClinton #PoliticalReflections #Geopolitics #ClintonGlobalInitiative #PoliticalInsight #LeadershipReflections #PublicService #Democracy #SocialImpact #therestispolitics

Young people who are neither in employment nor in education or training are at risk of becoming socially excluded. Investing in more and better-quality jobs, as well as guaranteeing labour rights and adequate pay is necessary to foster better labour outcomes for young people. OECD’s Youth Policy Toolkit provides practical guidance and inspiring policy examples of how to support young people in their transition into the labour market. Learn how countries are promoting better employment outcomes with the OECD Youth Policy Toolkit: https://brnw.ch/21wPrhk | #OECD4Youth

Why are autocrats thriving in the 21st century? In The Revenge of Power, Moisés Naím reveals how modern autocrats use Populism, Polarization, and Post-Truth to erode democracy. Combining digital manipulation, networked authoritarianism, and exploiting democratic weaknesses, these leaders are reshaping politics. This analysis dives into Naím’s key insights on the strategies autocrats use and the urgent need for democratic renewal. #Democracy #Leadership #Politics #MoisésNaím #Autocracy #populism #polarization #posttruth