Sibylline Ltd

THE ANNUAL FORECAST 2025 REPORT IS NOW AVAILABLE! Our Global Intelligence Team (GIT) has released the Annual Forecast 2025, a comprehensive strategic report designed to help you navigate the global landscape in the year ahead. The report focuses on various strategic risks that may impact your staff, assets and business operations.   We also outline five Global Themes in the report: 🔹Impacts of a Changing Climate 🔹Rising Tides of Conflict and Extremism 🔹Political Polarisation and the Erosion of Trust 🔹Competing Geopolitical Orders 🔹Global Economic Uncertainty The report provides a forecast for each geographic region (as well as cyber-related risks) and includes a timely assessment of the US election's domestic and international implications. It is essential reading for those looking to stay ahead of emerging threats and to navigate the evolving global risk environment. Request your free copy here: https://lnkd.in/ey62ZG92 or email info@sibylline.co.uk.   #RefinedInsight #GlobalIntelligence #RiskIntelligence #StrategicForecast #2025

DISCOVER THE TRENDS SHAPING OUR WORLD IN 2025 Our Global Intelligence Team (GIT) has released the Annual Forecast 2025, a comprehensive strategic report designed to help you navigate the global landscape in the year ahead. From global political shifts to cyber-related risks, our comprehensive Annual Forecast delivers strategic insights and data-backed analysis to help you navigate uncertainty and identify opportunities. The report also outlines five key global themes for the coming year and provides a practical assessment of the US election's domestic and international implications. This strategic analysis is essential for organisations looking to stay ahead of emerging risks. Download your free copy at https://lnkd.in/ey62ZG92 or email info@sibylline.co.uk. #RefinedInsight #GlobalIntelligence #RiskIntelligence #StrategicForecast

SYRIA: SIGNIFICANT SECURITY, CONFLICT RISKS WILL LIKELY CHALLENGE TRANSITIONAL GOVERNMENT IN Q1 2025 Following the ousting of the former Syrian president, Bashar al-Assad, and the mass surrender of the Syrian Armed Forces (SAF) on 8 December, the new HTS-led transitional government has started to consolidate its control over the former government’s territories. In our latest Special Report, we assess that the HTS-led transitional government will almost certainly continue to consolidate its control over Syria, though security challenges will drive crime and armed conflict risks through early 2025. It will also likely seek to bolster foreign support through the pursuit of moderate policies in Q1 2025, though this will drive the risk of Islamist backlash and radicalisation. These regional updates form part of Sibylline's World Risk Register (WRR) service, for which we are currently offering an extensive free trial until January 2025. If you would like to discuss a free trial, please get in touch with our Relationship Team by emailing info@sibylline.co.uk. Subscribe to our mailing list to get the latest events and updates from Sibylline: https://lnkd.in/gpVdNBF #RefinedInsight #Syria #HTS #MiddleEast

What an incredible evening at our Annual Forecast Launch Event! We were thrilled to host this year's Annual Forecast Launch Event at the historic Royal United Services Institute building in Whitehall, bringing together industry leaders, clients and colleagues for an evening of critical insights and strategic predictions for 2025. 🔹Justin Crump, our CEO, provided a comprehensive overview of our insights in 2024 and discussed our 5 Global Themes to watch in the coming year. 🔹Gareth W., our Head of Global Intelligence, offered a deep dive into our products and the work of our Global Intelligence Team. 🔹Sydney Stewart, our Lead Americas Analyst, delivered a timely reflection on the US election and its potential policy implications for the upcoming year. The launch was a fantastic opportunity to network, connect and engage with our wider professional community. Thank you to everyone who joined us. To those who couldn't make it, we are hosting online sessions on Wednesday 18 December, in which the Global Intelligence Team (GIT) will provide a full breakdown of the Sibylline Annual Forecast 2025. Download the Annual Forecast Report here: https://lnkd.in/ey62ZG92 #RefinedInsight #AnnualForecast #GlobalRisks #GlobalIntelligence #RiskIntelligence

We had an incredible time at the 8th CSO 360 Global Congress in Rome! As platinum sponsors of the event, we were thrilled to see Justin Crump, our CEO, join Frank Gardner OBE, Security Correspondent, BBC to deliver the opening keynote on the Global Security Landscape. The event brought together an incredible community of security leaders, investigating themes such as: 🔹 The evolving threats across geopolitics, technology, and business 🔹 AI's role in risk management and security 🔹 Global conflicts and their business implications 🔹 Approaches to operational resilience and security strategy Amidst rapidly evolving threat landscapes and the challenges they bring to decision-makers, we are delighted to be part of this trust-based global community of leaders. A huge thank you to the Pulse Conferences team for curating such a phenomenal event and bringing together the global security community. #RefinedInsight #SecurityLeadership #GlobalSecurity #RefinedInsight #CSO360 #SecurityInnovation

SPECIAL BRIEFING: INTRODUCING THE UKRAINE STRIKES DASHBOARD Please join us for a special extended Ukraine briefing where we will showcase our brand new Ukraine Strikes Dashboard. The dashboard is a new interactive product available to our clients that will visualise data on Russian and Ukrainian strikes, including long-range drone and missile attacks across the region. The dashboard aims to augment our existing qualitative analysis and assist clients in understanding the threat environment across Ukraine in ever more detail. Our customisable dashboard will allow users to track strike patterns across various time periods and geographic areas of interest, and help risk forecasting and security risk assessments for executive travel or market entry scoping. We are very excited to present our new Ukraine Strikes Dashboard and look forward to walking you through how this new innovative tool can assist your security and analytical requirements ahead of what is likely to be a highly challenging winter for Ukraine. Register here: https://lnkd.in/e2WNXwQA When registering for the event, please be aware that we do not accept personal email addresses. When registering, please use a corporate email address. If you are unable to register with a corporate email address, please email events@sibylline.co.uk. #RefinedInsight #Ukraine #Russia #UkraineRussiaWar

What Just Happened? Syria's Rebels Take Damascus In this Episode, Samuel McVicar is joined by Middle East and Africa Analyst Megan Sutcliffe to unpack how Syrian rebels managed to sweep through the country and take the capital city of Damascus. Megan lays out the major actors, their recent movements and what this will mean for the region in the coming days and weeks. Listen on Spotify: https://lnkd.in/e6iyadEG Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://lnkd.in/ehZCEghp Please note that we’re offering free trials of our industry-leading World Risk Register service until January 2025! For more information, contact our Relationship team at info@sibylline.co.uk #Syria #WhatJustHappened #Podcast  

BRIEFING: THE FALL OF AL-ASSAD RULE: WHAT’S NEXT FOR SYRIA AND THE REGION? On 8 December, the opposition forces led by the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group took control of the capital Damascus, only 11 days after launching an unprecedented offensive that swept through the Syrian government's territories. On the same day, former president Bashar al-Assad fled to Russia where he was granted asylum. Subsequently, Mohammed al-Bashir, the former Prime Minster of the Idlib-based government, was appointed Prime Minister-designate of the Syrian Transitional Government. The transitional government faces myriad security challenges following the collapse of Assad's rule. In the north clashes between Turkish-backed militias and the Kurds continue and will possibly escalate. In the south, Israel has launched a military incursion into the Quneitra governorate and is escalating airstrikes against key facilities associated with the former Syrian Armed Forces, while the US-led collation attacks tens of IS targets in central Syria. Join our analysts who will assess prospects for stability in Syria and implications for the wider region here: https://lnkd.in/eiMVzQj2 When registering for the event, please be aware that we do not accept personal email addresses. When registering, please use a corporate email address. If you are unable to register with a corporate email address, please email events@sibylline.co.uk. #RefinedInsight #Syria #MENA #MiddleEast

SOUTH KOREA: RISK OF STRIKES, UNREST REMAINS ELEVATED DESPITE LIFTING OF MARTIAL LAW At 0430hrs (local time) on 4 December, South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol lifted a martial law order that he had imposed hours earlier. The opposition has since started impeachment proceedings against Yoon. On the evening of 3 December, Yoon declared ‘emergency martial law’ in a televised broadcast to ‘eliminate anti-state forces. The order banned political activity and protests. At 0100hrs on 4 December, lawmakers who had managed to enter the National Assembly (NA) voted by a 190-0 margin to revoke the order. These regional updates are part of Sibylline's World Risk Register service, which we are currently offering an extensive trial to up until January 2025. If you would like to discuss a free trial, please get in touch with our Relationship Team by emailing info@sibylline.co.uk. Subscribe to our mailing list to get the latest events and updates from Sibylline: https://lnkd.in/gpVdNBF #RefinedInsight #SouthKorea #NorthKorea #MartialLaw

A huge thank you to Greta Ricci and the LSESU War Studies Society for hosting me on Friday 29th November, as I spoke about careers in intelligence and security. It was a privilege to meet such talented young people and I can confirm the industry is in safe hands!