Anton erklärt, wieso die treibenden Kräfte hinter der Kapitalrotation im Crypto Markt so verlässlich sind.
Partner & Co-Founder of Fountainhead Digital | Serial Founder | Venture Capital investor Web2 & Web3 | Speaker
This is not the time to hold Bitcoin Alright, I know this is a bold statement – and yes, it’s exaggerated. I wanted your attention. But hear me out. We still hold Bitcoin, of course. But in the last few weeks, we’ve significantly shifted our exposure toward quality Web3 assets. Why? The short answer: It’s all about capital rotation. Let me elaborate. The world keeps spinning. Markets evolve. So does the crypto market. From the time I joined 8 years ago, much has changed. Yet, in a market where change is touted as the only constant, one real, one very decisive constant is often overlooked: Human behaviour We humans are emotional creatures. Emotions are the driving forces behind most of our actions. For better and worse. The same holds true for our actions in the crypto market, where high volatility lets our emotions run high. These emotions come in the form of fear and greed and dictate the flow of capital. Here's how it plays out: When fear is the dominant emotion, most investors long for safety. Since Bitcoin is the largest and the oldest crypto asset it is also considered to be the safest. Hence, Bitcoin performs comparatively well in bear markets. But also in early bull markets, when people are still pessimitic and don't "trust" the upward trend, Bitcoin leads the market, while smaller crypto assets (aka web3 assets or simply "altcoins") struggle to gain traction. Once optimism spreads, however, altcoins take the lead. Investor appetite for risk grows, and capital flows toward smaller assets promising outsized returns - what investors commonly refer to as seeking higher "beta." This is the phase where the market goes from optimism to euphoria, and (some) altcoins deliver explosive growth. This dynamic is as old as the crypto market. See for reference the first graph. And it is happenning again. Right now (see the second graph) We’re still early. But the shift is underway. And it's just a matter of time when emotions will run high again. To navigate this, we rely on data-driven strategies to steer market exposure and stay level-headed when emotions dominate. But thats a post for another time. Until then: Stay sharp. Greed is coming. And as always, make sure you’re seated when the music stops.