Last night, I attended The Future of Legal Tech panel for LA Tech Week, hosted by Cooley LLP featuring Dori Yona, Rex Salisbury & Nick Hobson.
Some key takeaways:
• Venture capital firms have poured $𝟮.𝟰 𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗲𝗴𝗮𝗹 𝘁𝗲𝗰𝗵 𝘀𝗽𝗮𝗰𝗲 𝗶𝗻 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰 𝗮𝗹𝗼𝗻𝗲—nearly matching 2021's total of $2.6 billion.
So, what's driving this AI-led investment surge? The panel broadly gave two perspectives:
1️⃣ AI as Efficiency Booster
• AI will eat into labor-intensive tasks
• Makes knowledgeable lawyers more efficient
• Could increase demand (Jevon's Paradox)
2️⃣ AI as Industry Disruptor
• "𝗜𝗳 𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗹𝗮𝘄𝘀 𝗵𝗼𝗹𝗱," as Rex noted, AI could fundamentally change law
• Has the potential to replace traditional roles with AI-enabled tech
Most forward-thinking attorneys lean towards #1, while VCs are investing heavily in the legal tech industry as a bet on #2—where technology might replace traditional legal roles altogether.
🤔 Which camp are you in?
Both perspectives can be valid and true—but nuances matter when dealing with the superlinear.
Separately, José Ancer shared thoughts on this issue recently (which I will link to in the comments):
• "𝗙𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻: New LLMs will disrupt the legal industry, paving the way for entirely new organizational structures taking enormous amounts of business from the old guard."
• "𝗙𝗮𝗰𝘁: At the bottom end of the market, new legal AI will incrementally allow existing automation providers to move up-market, perhaps from the 40th percentile to something like the 50th or 60th, but nowhere near the elite firms that are most-often talked about... Elite firms will likely be smaller and more profitable, but still very much headed by elite legal mandarins wielding more powerful productivity tech."
🔮 Future Predictions:
• AI may help existing automation providers move upmarket
• Elite law firms and niche practices likely to adopt AI and/or excel at their practices despite adverse market impacts on the broader legal industry
• Companies will start to poach lawyers in-house, equipping them with AI tools and converting their labor into capital
Thanks to the panelists and host for an engaging and insightful discussion.