HTS offensive escalates in Syria In just four days (27-30 November), HTS-led forces captured over 200 towns and villages across Syria’s northwest, gaining control of territory in Hama, Idlib, Aleppo, and Latakia. #ACLED also recorded an escalation in Syrian and Russian responses, with over 90 aerial and artillery attacks during the same period. These events build on weeks of intensifying strikes by regime forces, culminating in a volatile front reopening in the region. As ACLED’s latest analysis reveals, this offensive and broader developments — including intensified IDF attacks since October — highlight the growing complexity of Syria’s conflict landscape. Learn more: https://lnkd.in/eGk3ZVT4
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#Ukraine Conflict Update: 26 October – 1 November 2024 Russian forces launched near-daily attacks on Kharkiv city during the period, resulting in multiple civilian casualties. Between 27 and 30 October, aerial bombs and missiles killed seven civilians and wounded at least 49 in Kharkiv, damaging dozens of residential buildings, a regional hospital, and other infrastructure. As Ukraine's second largest city, Kharkiv has seen intensified targeting, with almost 100 civilian fatalities from Russian attacks recorded in 2024 alone—up sharply from seven in 2023. Each month, Russian forces deploy around 3,000 aerial bombs against frontline areas, devastating the region’s population and infrastructure. Read the full report: https://lnkd.in/dMw7xYHe
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NEW: ''After the unprecedented Iranian drone and missile strikes on Israel, in apparent retaliation for the Apr. 1 bombing of Iran’s embassy complex in Syria, there are two key questions to consider: what the operation truly conveys, and what may unfold next. The seeming driving factors behind the high-profile assassinations of Quds Force commanders in Syria in past months are manifold. But one motive stands out: to elicit an Iranian reaction. Whether the latter may drag the United States into war is unclear. As things stand, President Joe Biden is not inclined to join offensive operations against Iran. However, the prospect of a regional war is very real, and entirely dependent, informed Iranian sources told Amwaj.media, on Israel’s immediate next steps. More broadly, Iran’s declaration that “the era of strategic patience is over” and that any Israeli assaults will be met with a “direct” response suggests a shift that heightens risks. At the same time, Tehran has also been careful to signal that its newfound assertiveness does not equate to aggression.'' Via Amwaj.media #iran #israel #syria #irgc #qudsforce #security
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In a recent statement to the United Nations, Iran has justified its drone and missile strike on ‘Israel’ as a lawful act of self-defense under Article 51 of the UN Charter. The attack, which came as a direct response to ‘Israel’s’ April 1 bombardment of the Iranian embassy in Damascus, Syria, resulted in significant casualties. With this retaliation, Iran declares the incident ‘concluded,’ signaling an attempt to curb further escalation in the region. This strategic move by Iran aims to counter ‘Israeli’ Prime Minister Netanyahu’s push towards regional conflict. By positioning the attack as both a lawful and measured response, Iran challenges ‘Israel’ to acknowledge the legitimacy of their actions or risk further international discord. As tensions mount, the global community watches closely, with the onus now on ‘Israel’ to either de-escalate the situation or continue a course that could lead to widespread war.
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Breaking News: Iran Launches Massive Missile Strike on Israel 🚨 The Middle East is on high alert as Iran has launched a massive ballistic missile strike against Israel. Here are the key points: • Iran fired over 180 missiles from its territory • Most missiles were intercepted by Israel's air defenses • The attack was a retaliation for recent Israeli actions against Iranian proxy groups • Israel has vowed a strong response, including a ground invasion of southern Lebanon • The situation is rapidly escalating, raising concerns about a wider regional conflict As professionals in international relations, it's crucial to stay informed about these developments. The potential for further escalation and regional instability is high, and it's essential to understand the strategic objectives of both Iran and Israel. Read our in-depth analysis and stay up-to-date on this rapidly evolving situation: https://lnkd.in/g_xd-E8E #IranIsraelConflict #MiddleEastTensions #InternationalRelations
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„To win a long-term, intensive multifront war, Israel would have to increase defense budgets; open new production lines for munitions; harden its critical national infrastructure, such as energy and communication; and expand the IDF’s pool of recruitment to additional parts of Israeli society. Most critically, however, it will have to resolve the country’s political crisis, which has undermined its resilience, encouraged its enemies, and prevented Israel from developing the broader strategy it needs. The war’s most vital front is the eighth one: the home front. Israel’s national security begins at home, and until the government can pull its divided house together and restore Israeli unity, it will be impossible to restore security and peace in Israel and in the region.“ #israel #nationalsecurity
Israel and the Coming Long War
foreignaffairs.com
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• The main problem with the IDF's assertion is that it ignores the strategic logic of Hezbollah's operations. Hezbollah isn't attacking in response to any specific Israeli operation. It is attacking to achieve its strategic goals. Hezbollah isn't simply abusive; it is waging a strategic war with clear long-term and intermediate strategic objectives. • Under Hezbollah's control, Lebanon is not an actual country. It is Iran's forward military base against Israel that happens to have 5.5 million residents. The job of the residents is to deny that they live in an Iranian missile base. • Then-prime minister Ehud Barak's decision to surrender the security zone in Southern Lebanon to Hezbollah in May 2000 is the reason that the terror organization was able to build its forces to the point where it poses an existential threat to Israel's survival. By committing itself to reversing his move, Jerusalem will place itself on the road to victory. —𝐂𝐚𝐫𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐆𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐤
Responding to Hezbollah's Strategic Offensive
gatestoneinstitute.org
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Question of the Week (QoW): Tensions are soaring in the region with Iran threatening a retaliatory attack on Israel. With each passing day, the threat of a regional war is becoming more and more likely. Western powers are urging Iran not to strike back, all the while sending more forces into the region. The ‘axis of resistance’ has also ‘picked up the pace’, with Hezbollah firing missiles into Israel and the Houthis attacking US destroyers in the Red Sea. What is happening today is no longer a small-scale conflict, as more and more players are entering the playing field. So, our question to you this week is: What would a regional war look like? Let us know what you think in the comments below. #iran #israel #gaza #middleeast #war
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Today, Kyiv faced one of the heaviest bombardments in recent months as Russia launched a massive missile strike against multiple #Ukrainian cities. The attack, which included the use of #Kinzhal hypersonic missiles, saw a missile land within close proximity to the Ohmatdyt children's hospital, Ukraine's largest, causing significant damage and numerous casualties. So far its reported at least 20 deaths and 50 injuries from the strikes across #Kyiv, Kryvyi Rih, and other cities. This escalation in violence coincides with heightened international diplomatic activity, including a visit by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor #Orbán to Kyiv, where he advocated for a ceasefire, and the announcement of new military aid from the United States. ❗The #Ohmatdyt children's hospital in Kyiv, the largest children's hospital in Ukraine, was hit by a Russian missile. ❗Russian missile strikes on July 8, 2024, killed at least 20 people across Ukraine. ❗The attacks targeted five cities including Kyiv and Kryvyi Rih, with apartment buildings and public infrastructure being hit. ❗Around 50 people were injured, including 31 in Kryvyi Rih. ❗The attack included the use of Kinzhal hypersonic missiles. ❗President Volodymyr #Zelenskyy and Interior Minister Ihor Klymenko updated the public on the situation through social media and official channels. ❗ The attacks come amid heightened military aid and diplomatic activities, including Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's visit to Kyiv and the announcement of the US supplying cluster munitions to #Ukraine.
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🔍 IDF Ground Invasion in Lebanon - Strategic Update: Analysis by Thomas Graham 🔍 The Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) launched a ground invasion of Lebanon on 1 October 2024, aiming to displace Hezbollah from the border. While further advances are expected, Israel seeks to avoid a protracted conflict like the 2006 Lebanon War, where Hezbollah used guerrilla tactics to inflict heavy losses. 📌 Key Points: 1. Siege Warfare Strategy: Israel focuses on containment, using airstrikes and artillery to weaken Hezbollah before launching smaller ground incursions, minimising casualties. 2. Neutralising Guerrilla Tactics: Israel’s approach in Lebanon, similar to Gaza, limits Hezbollah’s use of urban combat and tunnels. Israel’s Iron Dome and David’s Sling systems effectively counter Hezbollah’s rocket artillery. 3. Hezbollah’s Weakened Capabilities: Hezbollah’s fighting strength is reportedly diminishing, especially after the recent explosive communication devices incident. 4. Potential Iran Escalation: Following Iran’s 1 October missile attack, Israel plans retaliation. However, U.S. efforts may prevent an all-out war, with strikes likely focused on military infrastructure. Iran may attempt to overwhelm Israeli defences with missile barrages. 👉 Learn more here: https://lnkd.in/dE65qzNz 💬 How do you think this conflict will evolve? #IDF #Lebanon #Hezbollah #Iran #MiddleEast #WarStrategy #IronDome #Israel #Geopolitics
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#Ukraine Conflict Update: 19 – 25 October 2024 Russian forces continued to target rescue workers across Ukraine. On 19 October, guided aerial bombs destroyed a fire and rescue unit in Shostka, injuring five rescue workers and damaging six vehicles. A double-tap missile strike on the same day injured 18 civilians, including a rescuer, in Kryvyi Rih, while also damaging residential areas, administrative buildings, and 30 vehicles. #ACLED recorded 19 Russian long-range missile and drone strikes targeting multiple regions, including Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhia, and Kyiv, with Ukrainian forces intercepting at least 47 strikes. Russian attacks killed at least 42 civilians. Get the full insights on these critical events: https://lnkd.in/dMw7xYHe
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5dVery informative