Agere Energy & Infrastructure Partners’ Post

Reflecting on a recent webinar on Energy market outlook in Europe 2024-2025: The energy transition is unstoppable⚡, with over €110 billion in investments and ambitious goals set by the PNIEC and the European Union. While we continue to face market fluctuations—daily and seasonal volatility, price zero, or political factors—the long-term projection stays positive 📈. Risk mitigants like PPAs and the forecasted 22.5GW of installed storage capacity 🔋 by 2030 will play a key role in stabilizing the market and driving this transition forward. The BESS profitability in the Iberian market will improve quickly with the reduction of Capex and subsidies. Current IRR sensibilities for 15-year BESS show that with the achievable 200k€/MWh Capex, the daily spread and price 0s of the market would already allow for 6/7% Post-Tax Project returns. Below is a picture from Agere’s Battery Energy Storage Optimizer that allows for the simulation of intra-day arbitrage, in this case of an 80MW 2-hour battery. 📊 The lesson is that we will have to adapt to the uncertainty and know that the outlook is optimistic. #EnergyTransition #ElectricityMarket #Sustainability #Renewables #StorageCapacity

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