Allan Fogwill’s Post

So much for the energy transition

John F. Kerry, former US Senator and Secretary of State, declared at Gastech 2024 that the global energy transition is unstoppable, driven by remarkable advances in climate technologies. Speaking before industry leaders, Kerry emphasized the critical role of decarbonization and the need for governments and companies to prioritize the adoption of emerging technologies. Looking to understand why John Kerry believes the energy transition is unstoppable? Read the full article on Energy Connects. #Gastech2024 #EnergyConnects #energynews #energyindustry #news #oott #energytransition

Is it possible to summarise an 80+ page energy transition report in just one sentence? Probably not, but let’s try: The energy transition can’t be stopped, but it’s pace can be delayed. That is the essence of our Green Transition Scenarios 2024 (formerly Low Emissions Scenario), launched today by Statkraft. To go into some more detail, though, here are some projections I think may or may not suprise some: 1. Eg. The projected 13x growth of collective power output of wind and solar by 2050 in the Green Transition Scenario is truly massive, explained by significant cost declines amongst other drivers 2. And even in a less climate optimistic scenario, where geopolitical tension and political fragmentation are factors delaying the transition, renewables grow manyfold the coming twentyfive years 3. The report also shows how electrification in transportation, buildings and industries not only can reduce emissions, but also provide more affordable energy and reduce total energy use. It goes without saying that reports of this detail and thoroughness don’t appear from thin air. My colleague Mari Grooss Viddal deserves huge credit for her diligent and professional work as lead author. I’d also like to thank Arne Lind, Elen Alstadheim, Espen Bakken Waagø-Wiborg, Heidi Pegill Haugstad, Manus Pandey, Tord Hustveit and Yuyu Chen in addition to many other colleagues who have contributed their deep expertise from across the company, and across the world. And after all that, I would obviously strongly encourage you to read the report for yourself, and of course make up your own mind on whether you agree or disagree with our projections: https://lnkd.in/dMKvja9n.

If you seek pragmatic and data-driven insights on the global energy transition, this article is a must-read. The piece highlights the importance of embracing real-world perspectives and avoiding idealistic approaches that lack alignment with global energy realities. The article refers to real data to support it's arguments. A wake-up call for the UK's 'Energy Security & Net Zero' team to reevaluate their strategies and timelines. An imperative shift from ideological to practical solutions is crucial to avoid inevitable chaos. Poorly informed, wistful / wishful thinking (& related sound bites) is not the basis upon which we should be moving forward. Time to reassess and realign for a more realistic, practical and genuinely sustainable future ... Please 🙏 #EnergyTransition #GlobalRealities #UKEnergySecurity 🌍🔌

#Energy #IndependenceDay 2024 is a significant event that emphasizes the transition towards a sustainable and resilient future. It’s a day dedicated to raising #awareness about the importance of energy diversification and the adoption of #renewableenergy sources. The celebration marks a commitment to #technologicalinnovation and international cooperation to achieve energy independence and tackle the challenges posed by climate change. Read this full article by: Kajal Mehra. #electronicsnews #technologynews

Here are more thoughts on the "green energy" transition that is not happening. Thanks to Hal Stevens for finding this gem. Here is the last paragraph of the article. When politicians tell you the green transition is here and we need to get on board, they are really just asking voters to support them throwing more good money after bad. We need to be much smarter. https://lnkd.in/ewduZMmZ

The UK government has committed £22 billion to carbon capture and storage projects, aiming to usher in a "new era for clean energy." While this significant investment is a step towards reducing greenhouse gas emissions, experts emphasize that a multi-faceted approach is necessary to effectively combat climate change. Carbon capture alone cannot solve the complex challenges we face; it must be combined with other solutions such as renewable energy development, energy efficiency improvements, and changes in consumer behavior. As we work towards a sustainable future, it is crucial to explore and implement a diverse range of strategies to mitigate the impacts of climate change and achieve net-zero emissions targets.

More hurdles ahead for transportation’s energy transition ambitions

The discussion addresses the importance of the energy transition, highlighting innovations and challenges faced by countries such as China and Brazil. Experts emphasize the need for global collaboration, investments in sustainable technologies, and the reduction of carbon emissions, as well as the importance of a model for sharing resources and knowledge. Highlights: The energy transition is a crucial topic that requires constant attention. Recently, a slowdown in progress has been identified, raising concerns about a sustainable future. - The 2024 report highlights the performance of the energy systems of 120 countries, addressing issues such as equity and energy supply security. This analysis is vital for understanding global trends. - China and Brazil have made significant progress in the energy transition, prioritizing innovations and practices in key sectors. These efforts are essential for achieving a low-carbon economy. - China's installed capacity for renewable energy generation has reached a significant milestone, with 50% coming from renewable sources. This demonstrates progress in building a sustainable energy system. The energy storage system is in constant innovation, focusing on reducing costs and improving sustainability. Battery recycling is a priority, aiming to protect the environment. - Research and development in batteries is receiving significant investments, with nearly £20 billion invested in the last year. This has resulted in new products with better performance and efficiency. - Sodium batteries are emerging due to their independence from lithium and their good performance at low temperatures. This represents a significant advancement in energy storage technology. - Safety in handling and producing batteries is the top priority. Recent incidents highlight the need for thorough analyses to ensure safety at all stages of the process. Innovation in batteries and decarbonization are essential for a better energy future. - The importance of innovation in batteries is crucial for effectively storing renewable energy. This will ensure a more stable and reliable energy supply in the future. - The energy transition impacts the labor market, requiring new skills and training. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for economic growth. - The shift to renewable energy sources can generate new wealth through critical minerals like lithium and cobalt. The economic future depends on adapting to these new realities. Collaboration between countries is essential for sustainable development and the energy transition. Working together can help overcome geopolitical obstacles and promote local growth. - The importance of sharing resources and technologies between countries to promote balanced and sustainable economic growth. - The private sector, exemplified by CATL, plays a vital role in advancing technology and market competitiveness. This is crucial for achieving energy transition goals. #energytransition #climatechange

A sign of good research is that the results are often not what you would wish for. As the decarbonisation of the economy gains pace, it is the responsibility of the climate coalition to not just present a bold vision for an emission-free future, but also work on all of the practical challenges along the way. The solutions might be uncomfortable, but still better than the alternatives. We often mention the case of the heat pumps in households - they are at the moment among the most cost effective ways to curb Polish GHG emissions, replacing inefficient, polluting coal boilers. Our heat pump fleet will be usually powered by abundant wind capacity we should urgently build… but not always, as the wind drought in the first half of November demonstrated. So if we want to go that way, we have to be even more cautious about our dispatchable capacity, and keep a mix of existing coal units and new gas installations for years to come. Their overall utilisation, and thus GHG emissions, will fall rapidly, but they still have an important role to play. In our new Fundacja Instrat report authored primarily by Patryk Kubiczek, now fully available in English, we use our advanced energy model to explore some of the challenges on our road to net zero. - How can we limit the use of imported natural gas in the transition period, and is the curb of the new power plants build-up the right way to think about it? And what would it mean for the coal sector? - To what extent can the large deployment of batteries mitigate the need for firm generating capacity?  - What mixture of technologies can compliment wind and solar power on our way to a net zero economy by 2050?