Ash Belur’s Post

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Student / Investor / Explorer

As we move towards Independence Day - for those in the UK - think carefully as to what each party may do for the country, for the infrastructure, and for yourself. Knowing what they say and the actual impact of what they do may be quite different! These estimates suggest that #Brexit had already reduced UK real GDP relative to the baseline by just under one per cent in 2020 as consumers and businesses adapted their expectations even before the TCA came into force. Our estimates further suggest that three years after the transition period, UK real GDP is some 2-3 per cent lower due to Brexit, compared to a scenario where the United Kingdom retained EU membership. This corresponds to a per capita income loss of approximately £850. Source: National Institute of Economic and Social Research

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