Barclays Private Bank’s Post

March marks the fifth consecutive month of growth for markets, with gains spread across regions and capitalizations. The economy remains resilient despite stubborn inflation, leading the Fed to keep rates unchanged. In his latest monthly update, Phil Frattali reflects on the international markets and U.S. economy. https://lnkd.in/eFFEiQyk #capitalmarkets #economy

The paths of economic growth, the labor market, and inflation are far from clear, further complicating the FOMC’s efforts to properly calibrate monetary policy. As we noted last month, it seems that each and every economic data release is being interpreted as though it provides definitive evidence of where the economy is heading. Political tensions here and abroad add an additional twist to current market volatility. Our latest publication shares our view of the economy and the markets, as well as our house view on asset allocation. 

In our latest investment outlook, we examine how positive economic data has affected interest rates and the markets. We also consider the outlook for inflation and what that means for the economy, the markets, and portfolios. https://hubs.la/Q02tp1T20 #InvestmentOutlook #MarketView

Is the U.S. headed for recession in 2024? Discover the likelihood, risks and investment implications in our analysis of current economic conditions. We look at the data: https://amcen.co/3IuxSko. #USeconomy #recession #economicconditions

Another month, another update! Mpho Molopyane and Mandisa Zavala are here with the latest review 🌍 From a macroeconomic perspective, we saw some positive data this month! The world economic outlook update showed growth projections that keep the soft landing scenario we've been anticipating in play. In the US, third-quarter growth numbers were strong, and inflation continued to decrease across most regions. However, core inflation remains a bit sticky. Listen to the full episode with Mpho and Mandisa here: https://bit.ly/3Z78yd9 and access the report here: https://bit.ly/4frevY1

Markets have been quite volatile lately. What’s going on? For months, #investors have told a “Goldilocks” story of a strong economy, tamed inflation and interest rates that were soon to drop. However, stronger-than-expected economic data and sticky #inflation has now complicated the story, and investors have become wary. There are still plenty of reasons to be optimistic, but investors are being careful and taking in earnings data to gauge the upside potential of the next weeks and months. Don’t hesitate to reach out to the FCT with additional questions on the changing market. Take a deeper look with this recent article: https://lnkd.in/gDNU32S6

Interesting dilemma! The economy's rebound presents a challenge for the Federal Reserve, which responded to pandemic-induced inflation with aggressive rate hikes, aiming to achieve its 2% target. Despite characterizing its current policy as restrictive, economic indicators like GDP growth, low unemployment, and consumer spending suggest otherwise. Factors like technological advancements and increased investment are also boosting productivity, reshaping the U.S. economy…..

Inflation retreat, housing market help, a healthy outlook for a core competency in the U.S. economy and more from our August 29th Economy-at-a Glance. Economy-at-a Glance contains pertinent, simplified insights on market and economic factors that we are pleased to share.

3 key takeaways in May’s Macro Matters: 1️⃣ Growth: U.S. growth has slowed but is still outperforming international growth. 2️⃣ Inflation: Inflation momentum in the U.S. has been on the rise, while Europe is getting closer to their inflation target. 3️⃣ Rates: We expect monetary policy divergence ahead. Read the full report. https://allsprg.co/3yoZtlg

Thank you Mohamed El-Erian Who is to say we are not in a recession as we speak ? When it comes to the stock market it may be just the flow of funds directed each week to aggressulive style investing. Meaning how many individuals who are in pension funds or 401k plans reallocate funds quarterly depending on investing needs. I know plenty of people well into their 50s who are just 100% aggressive in their investing allocation. Also percentage of individuals who invest comparable to 20 years ago has increased dramatically. That means every month or quarter a mass flow of funds maybe just investing to aggressive style. There is no 60/40 allocation right now. Just a thought #economy #rhodeisland #pensionplans