Capitol Associates Inc.’s Post

Trump's Strong Support and Democratic Challenges: Implications for His Re-election #Democraticcandidates #DemocraticPartychallenges #DemocraticPartysefforts #generalelection #GOPnomination #JoeBiden #oppositionfromRepublicans #reelectioncampaign #Republicanapproval #Republicanprimaryelection #Senateimpeachmenttrial #significanttraction #SouthCarolinaprimaryelection #Trumpspopularity #Trumpsreelection #Trumpsstrongsupport #TrumpsstrongsupportamongRepublicans #TrumpsvictoryinSouthCarolina #winningthepresidency

An insightful examination of the dynamics of the upcoming 2024 presidential election. Swing voters are poised to play a pivotal role in this closely contested race between familiar contenders, underscoring the significance of individual participation in the democratic process. It's noteworthy that many people today may not perceive the impact of every single vote, possibly influenced by bipartisan politics and the repetitive profiles of the candidates. Nonetheless, I look forward to witnessing the unfolding of this historic rematch. #ElectionInsights #DemocracyAtWork

The 19th #Updated21July2024 : "It’s unusual for a presidential candidate and presumptive nominee to drop out so soon before the election. But it’s not totally unprecedented and doesn’t necessarily spell chaos for how the 2024 election will be run and administered, #election #experts #said #Sunday. A major party’s presumptive nominee stepping down months before Election Day is #not an #ordinary event, #but it is #also #not #a #crisis,” #Trevor #Potter, #president of the #nonpartisan #Campaign #Legal #Center and a #former commissioner of the #Federal #Election #Commission, said in a #Sunday #statement." [The 19th #newsletter #21July2024] "Because Biden withdrew before Democratic delegates were set to cast their votes in a virtual roll call, #delegates are #now #free #to #cast #their #votes #for #other #candidates #at the #Democratic #National #Convention. 👉#Twice, #Biden’s #decisions #not #to #seek the #Democratic #nomination #for #president #have #paved the #way #to #Democratic #women #to #go #toe-#to-#toe #with #Trump."

With little more than a week to go in what could be the closest presidential election in American history, the nation is on edge. Partisans on both sides are paralyzed with suspense and apprehension as they look to white-knuckle it through the coming days. The candidates have amped up their appeals to an apocalyptic degree as the campaigns frantically work to turn out the vote. As Donald Trump and Kamala Harris both campaigned in this crucial swing state, voters broadly said this election feels different than those that came before—less a regular democratic exercise than a national panic attack, a twilight clash that could end democracy for good. “I can remember elections where it felt like things would be OK regardless of the outcome,” Phillip Appiah, a 50-year-old contractor from Stone Mountain, said at a Harris rally in Clarkston, Georgia where Bruce Springsteen performed. “That feeling is absent this time.” The angst is widespread across the political spectrum. In a Wall Street Journal poll released last week, 87% of voters said they believe America will suffer permanent damage if their candidate loses. Among Harris’s voters, 57% said they would feel “frightened” if Trump is elected, while 47% of Trump voters said they would feel frightened if Harris wins; smaller percentages expected to feel the milder reactions of anger or disappointment. At least half of voters said they think violence is likely if either Trump or Harris wins, and 53% say America’s divisions will keep growing regardless of the election’s outcome. The same poll found Trump narrowly ahead within the margin of error—essentially a tie, similar to the results of numerous other recent national and swing-state polls. Even the polling guru Nate Silver, who rose to fame on predicting the outcome of elections, says he can’t predict which way this one will go (though his “gut says Donald Trump”). It is anybody’s guess, as if the nation’s deep divisions had come to rest in a tense and unstable stalemate. The political professionals don’t know what to think. In interviews, Democratic and Republican strategists oscillated between confidence and uncertainty as they considered the many factors that could shift the result of a race on a knife’s edge. Many Republicans are projecting confidence, but privately admit they can’t be sure. “It wouldn’t shock me if there’s some kind of sleeping giant out there,” said one Republican strategist—an under-the-radar electoral force that polls aren’t picking up. “It wouldn’t shock me if Trump ends up overperforming expectations in key voter groups. I also wouldn’t be shocked by Harris winning every swing state.” Harris this week called Trump a fascist and called a news conference to draw attention to his former chief of staff’s comments describing the former president as a would-be dictator. Trump has called Harris a communist, a fascist, and a threat to democracy who is “trying to destroy our country.”

What will happen if America’s election result is contested? Can you step into the same river twice? As we approach the 2024 U.S. election, echoes of 2020’s chaos resurface. Mistrust in the electoral process remains high, driven by the refusal of a candidate to accept the defeat last time. The Economist highlights concerns about potential challenges to this year’s election, especially as Donald Trump and his allies prepare to contest any unfavourable results. Election officials are better prepared, and legal safeguards have been strengthened since 2020, but public trust has eroded. If candidates can’t play fair and admit when they lose, how can the public trust the system? No matter how well-designed the electoral process is, without integrity and good faith, democracy’s foundation weakens. https://lnkd.in/gWFJpJHR #Leadership #Election2024 #TrustInDemocracy #FairPlay #TheEconomist

I had the opportunity to pen some thoughts for WV Weakly on what the West Virginia primary means for the general election and our future. Thanks to Dave Mistich and Giles Snyder for giving me the space to think for a bit about what this all means for us. If you are interested in, or a watcher of West Virginia politics, policy, and governance, definitely check out WV Weakly. #Election2024 #election #WestVirginia #publicpolicy #politics #governance https://lnkd.in/ewEbD3Sm

French Snap Parliamentary Election: National Rally Party Poised for Victory The upcoming final round of the French snap parliamentary election on July 8, 2024, is expected to see the far-right National Rally (RN) party, led by Jordan Bardella and Marine Le Pen, receive the most votes. However, they may fall short of an absolute majority. The RN faces opposition from President Emmanuel Macron's "Together" alliance and the New Popular Front, who have formed a "republican front" to thwart the RN's advance and urge voters to reject them, even if it means supporting rival candidates. The "republican front" strategy, while aimed at halting the RN's progress, raises concerns about voter compliance and potential confusion due to conflicting messages from political leaders. For instance, former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe advises voters to reject both RN and far-left France Unbowed candidates, while current Prime Minister Gabriel Attal calls for everyone to vote against RN. The possibility of a hung parliament stands at 35%, according to Teneo's political analysis. In this scenario, forming a government would be uncertain and challenging. The analysis also estimates a 35% chance of the RN coming close to an absolute majority, with Marine Le Pen likely to court MPs from the center-right The Republicans (LR) and independent right-wing lawmakers. # Thank you Isabelle Dubois for your submission!

This lesson plan from PBS Teachers for grades 9-12 aims to explain voting procedures, address concerns about election results, and provide a timeline for students to further understand the process. ✍️ Includes common core and C3 framework standards! https://hubs.ly/Q02X_nq40

What is vote splitting? It's a simple principle - every new candidate that jumps in a race pulls away support from others. This dilutes the voters' power and can throw the election to the least liked candidate. But, we can stop it. Learn how:

https://lnkd.in/edc9APKP Illegal migrants cannot be validly counted in the census for seats in Congress. Why? 1. they are in the United States illegally; 2. they have not applied for citizenship, nor been granted application for citizenship; 3. they are not citizens, and therefore, under the Constitution and Bill of Rights, not subject to representation in Congress. Therefore, they may sit in any state and be subject to the cost of that state because that state permits them to sit there. However. their cost cannot and should not be the subject of cost to other states/citizens, because those citizens did not agree to admit them to the US. As a consequence, the migrant must be deported as illegal and not included in the census for representation. Count them, however, they are not eligible to impact for seats in Congress. Furthermore, any Executive Order by the President and/or any agency cannot over-rule the Constitution and Bill of Rights. Obiden, Schumer, Pelosi, Majorus are on a fools errand. God bless America, our families and communities. Let's straighten it out and clean it up. What these people have been doing and planning is not who we are. These truths are self-evident...we are endowed by our Creator.