In the report, "The Battery Mineral Loop," RMI presents a comprehensive strategy to tackle the rising demand for battery minerals. Contrary to popular belief, battery minerals are not the new oil. As battery demand escalates, the forces of efficiency, innovation, and circularity are set to drive peak demand for mined minerals within a decade — potentially avoiding mineral extraction entirely by 2050. This shift enables a transition from linear extraction to a circular loop, offering compounding benefits for climate, security, equity, health, and wealth.
- Efficiency and Innovation:
Improvements in chemistry mix, energy density, and recycling over the past decade have reduced lithium, nickel, and cobalt demand by 60–140%. Continuing this trend means peak virgin battery mineral demand will be reached by the mid-2030s.
- Six Key Solutions: Accelerating progress through new battery chemistries, increased energy density, enhanced recycling, extended battery lifetimes, improved vehicle efficiency, and better mobility efficiency can help achieve net-zero mineral demand in the 2040s.
- Circular Economy: By mid-century, end-of-life batteries will serve as the new mineral ore, minimizing the need for mining. Current reserves of lithium, cobalt, and nickel are sufficient to meet future demand, with announced mining projects almost fulfilling virgin demand needs.
- Economic and Environmental Benefits: Achieving circular battery self-sufficiency requires only 125 million tons of battery minerals, 17 times less than the annual oil extraction for road transport and about 20 times cheaper at today’s prices.
- China is leading the charge towards battery circularity, with projected mineral independence by 2042. However, with concerted efforts, the West and Global South can catch up and leverage this circular opportunity.
Countries can rapidly transition from oil dependency to circular energy independence. To accelerate this shift, stakeholders, from governments to corporate innovators, must collaborate and embrace the circular economy's potential.
Not covered in the report is where we should NOT use large amounts of batteries. We need them for mobility. Not for balancing the electrical grid. They cannot replace the need for power plants, even with cheap batteries and +80% wind power/PV.
Download the full report in link below
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President at Pan American Metals Ltd
8mo#whereisthecopper?