Daniel Ghali, CFA’s Post

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Senior Commodity Strategist

This just isn't the same #gold market as a few short months ago. Gold does not hedge against liquidity and deleveraging dynamics, which are now counterintuitively weighing on prices despite the risk-off trading environment and meltdown in yields. Listen into this great conversation with andrew bell on BNN Bloomberg, where we discussed how the positioning landscape under the hood is also concerning. Not only are macro funds well positioned, but flows following the considerable miss in jobs data tell us they are also tapped out for the time being. Systematic funds are 'max long', with a low bar for outflows. Asian speculators are also vulnerable, with near-record positions held in precious metals as a currency-depreciation hedge, the driver of which is now unwinding. In this context, gold markets are vulnerable to a rise in yields that could potential morph the recent risk-off trading activity into a widespread #deleveraging event. TD Securities #TDCommodities #TDStrategy

- BNN Bloomberg

- BNN Bloomberg

bnnbloomberg.ca

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