Elden Wiebe’s Post

A subject close to my own heart - with Brazil in the headlines we took a closer look at the future of its energy sector using our latest set of Scenarios. 

With Brazil hosting the G20 in the next few weeks and then COP30 next year, there is a growing global focus on the country’s climate plans. That has brought with it an increased focus on its expanding oil production sector, which may seem at odds with a country intent on leading on climate. So, can Brazil be both a climate champion and a major oil producer? Scenario analysis helps to think about such questions.

The 2035 deadline is too late to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees. “Many of these countries have already publicly committed to phase out dates ahead of 2030, and only have a small amount of coal capacity anyway,” Jane Ellis told CNN. It’s notable that a gas phase-out was not mentioned, Ellis added. “In the last decade, gas has been the largest source of the global increase in CO2 emissions, and many G7 governments are investing in new domestic gas facilities. This is absolutely the wrong direction to be heading in – both economically and for the climate.” G7 should make the transition to renewables faster, Ellis said. https://lnkd.in/efiNYkxr

https://lnkd.in/grFveech I am not sure if anyone working to make climate change, circularity and sustainability a priority actually thinks that COP does much to actually move the needle. Yet again it's taking place in a petrol nation where conglomerates are attending and clamoring to get concessions. So how can they expect to be taken seriously - 29 years later with little progress? I absolutely appreciate why smaller nations that are feeling the worst effects of climate change are there - trying to be heard. It's just hard to be heard above the interests of the oil industry and nations that profit from oil. The International Energy Agency (IEA) calculated that fossil fuel consumption subsidies stood at $620 billion in 2023 - substantially less than its peak but still a whole lot of money. Imagine if instead of giving it to oil and gas - it went to those very countries that are most affected by climate change? Or even half of that amount? Right now we are actually listening to an argument that we cannot possibly wean ourselves from oil and gas without destroying our economies - all while providing $620 billion to incentivize those very industries. They are certainly more than happy to take those incentives, keep record profits and maintain the status quo. If we actually want to address climate change we have to accept that WE have to change. A healthy planet is profitable for everyone. #HPRT #wecaretorepair

https://lnkd.in/gnV5E6g9 Given that NZ in total emits a minuscule percentage (something like 0.2% of the global total) of global carbon emissions, searching for a 'best' solution seems quixotic. Yes, the country must do what it sensibly can, but there are other goals that NZ can realistically achieve. Reducing global warming isn't one of them.

Read read this once for its brilliance and accuracy, read it again to move debate to action. “Exxon is not simply projecting a future in which millions of people are put at risk, but is actively working to deliver that outcome… it lies, lobbies and obstructs… Its outlook is nothing more than an exercise in signaling to govts that… it will be business as usual for as long as possible.” Absolutely brilliant and true. Here’s where I quibble: “Exxon’s outlook should be called out for what it is…” Called out? This brilliant post from Doug Sheridan and Mann’s article describe the #war that is being waged on #climateaction and the strategies being used to win it. We are not having a debate! Calling out those strategies in an article or post is a response that those strategies have already taken into consideration… and neutralized. Even worse, this vague non-response from academics sends young activists into the streets to harm themselves and their cause with generic protests against Big Oil, under the illusion that social media will develop a consensus for action against Big Oil. It hasn’t happened. It will never happen. Yet we continue to believe that it eventually will. “Lies, lobbies, obstructs.” Those are actions. In this context, they are acts of war. Academics give cover to corrupt politicians. Bring this fight to campuses where it is safer for activists, where the evidence is nearer to the surface. Stop the enablers to stop the crime. And start with the #1 enabler: #mit. Kamala Harris can only defeat fossil fuels if we fight with her. We have a real chance to start clean in 2025. MIT is Project 2025 for Democrats. The discussion is over. It is time to act. #JaneDoe3 Chloé Mikolajczak , Clover Hogan , Amy Westervelt , Alison Taylor , Erin Remblance , Roishetta Sibley Ozane, M.S. , Cindy Forde , Elin Bergman , Inez Aponte , Emily O. Weltman, M. Ed. , Roberta Boscolo , Antoinette Vermilye (she/her) .

With COP28, we're ushering in a new era of climate action. Even though it's not a total phase-out, it underscores the urgent need to cut emissions. Find out more about this pivotal moment in the fight against climate change in this full article by Jo Stephens, our Renewable Energy Business Manager. https://lnkd.in/ejSGyZqx

With COP28, we're ushering in a new era of climate action. Even though it's not a total phase-out, it underscores the urgent need to cut emissions. Find out more about this pivotal moment in the fight against climate change in this full article by Jo Stephens, our Renewable Energy Business Manager. https://lnkd.in/e6jM6TUX

With COP28, we're ushering in a new era of climate action. Even though it's not a total phase-out, it underscores the urgent need to cut emissions. Find out more about this pivotal moment in the fight against climate change in this full article by Jo Stephens, our Renewable Energy Business Manager. https://lnkd.in/e6jM6TUX

With COP28, we're ushering in a new era of climate action. Even though it's not a total phase-out, it underscores the urgent need to cut emissions. Find out more about this pivotal moment in the fight against climate change in this full article by Jo Stephens, our Renewable Energy Business Manager. https://lnkd.in/e_7dvUc8