Guillaume Boisseau’s Post

Macron Promises to Appoint New French Prime Minister Amid Political Crisis French President Emmanuel Macron is set to name a new prime minister “in the coming days” following the resignation of Michel Barnier. This comes after a historic no-confidence vote in parliament, where MPs overwhelmingly voted to remove Barnier from office, just three months after his appointment. Macron, addressing the nation in a 10-minute speech on #France #Macron #PMBarnier >>> Read more

Keir Starmer's Historic Victory: New Era for the UK Keir Starmer has been appointed as the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom after a historic landslide victory in the 2024 general election. This monumental win for the Labour Party marks a significant change in the nation's leadership, bringing an end to Rishi Sunak's tenure and the Conservative Party's dominance. Key Highlights: Labour Party secured 412 seats in the 650-member Parliament. A remarkable 170-seat majority. Liberal Democrats projected to secure 61 seats, overtaking the SNP. Keir Starmer's Journey: Former lawyer, knighted for services to criminal justice. Emphasizes pragmatism and public service. Focuses on practical policies and centrist approaches. Starmer's Vision for the UK: Clamping down on tax avoidance. Reducing NHS patient waiting lists. Recruiting more teachers and neighborhood police officers. Negotiating a better deal with the EU post-Brexit. Implications for U.S.-U.K. Relations: Potentially strong relationship with President Biden. Uncertain dynamics if former President Trump returns to office. Swift Transition of Power: Rishi Sunak vacated 10 Downing Street. Starmer installed as Prime Minister after meeting with King Charles III. Addressed the nation from Number 10, outlining his vision. Keir Starmer's leadership promises a hopeful turn for Britain's future, focusing on stability, growth, and renewed international relationships. 📖 Read our full blog post for a detailed analysis: https://lnkd.in/esbyNezm #UKPolitics #KeirStarmer #LabourParty #NewPrimeMinister #HistoricVictory #PoliticalChange

Keir Starmer Becomes Britain's New Prime Minister After Landslide Election Victory Keir Starmer has been officially appointed as the new Prime Minister of the United Kingdom following a decisive victory in the 2024 general election. This landmark victory for the Labour Party signals a significant change in the nation's leadership, ending Rishi Sunak's tenure and the Conservative Party's hold on power. A Landmark Victory for Labour: Labour Party secured 412 seats in the 650-member Parliament. Surpassed the majority mark of 326 seats. Achieved a 170-seat majority, one of the most substantial victories in recent history. The New Political Landscape: Liberal Democrats projected to secure 61 seats. Scottish National Party (SNP) expected to win only 10 seats. Nigel Farage's Reform UK party likely to gain 13 seats. Plaid Cymru and the Greens could secure four and two seats, respectively. Keir Starmer's Rise to Power: Former lawyer and knighted for services to criminal justice. Emphasizes pragmatism and commitment to public service. Distanced Labour from extreme socialist elements, making the party more electable. Starmer's Policies and Vision: Clamping down on tax avoidance. Shortening NHS patient waiting lists. Recruiting more teachers and neighborhood police officers. Negotiating a better deal with the European Union post-Brexit. Implications for U.S.-U.K. Relations: Potential for a close working relationship with President Biden. Uncertainty if former President Donald Trump returns to office. The Transition of Power: Rishi Sunak vacated 10 Downing Street. Starmer installed as Prime Minister after meeting with King Charles III. Addressed the nation from the steps of Number 10, outlining his vision for the future. Keir Starmer's appointment marks the beginning of a new era in British politics, focusing on stability, growth, and renewed international relationships. 📖 Read our full blog post for an in-depth analysis: https://lnkd.in/e883TQtj #UKElections #KeirStarmer #LabourVictory #PoliticalChange #NewEra #UKPolitics #UKElections2024

Sir Keir Starmer has assumed the position of the United Kingdom's next prime minister after a decisive electoral triumph by his Labour Party. The Conservative Party, which had held power for a duration of 14 years, saw a substantial decline. The departing Prime Minister, Rishi Sunak, acknowledged responsibility for the outcome and announced his resignation. This is a significant turnaround compared to the 2019 election, during which Labour had its worst severe electoral loss in over a hundred years. The Conservative Party's recent electoral outcome is its most unfavourable in over two centuries, prompting an anticipated ideological conflict on its future trajectory in the next weeks. #UKElections #GlobalAffairs #InternationalRelations #Geopolitics

https://lnkd.in/dDKU8xcB UK Politics: Tory Party Leadership Other than 'Westminster wonks' and the Tory Party itself not too many people will be particularly interested in the Tory Party leadership contest, the process for which has just been announced with the new leader due to be unveiled on 2 November. But it is important. In particular, where the party comes down stands to be a significant factor in determining whether Labour wins the next general election, thereby getting the (minimum?) ten years in office which Keir Starmer has consistently claimed it needs to realise its programme. Back in 1997 in not dissimilar circumstances the Conservatives first tried a young and untested William Hague (who would, I think, have made a very good leader a decade or so later) and, after losing the 2001 election, swung rightwards (Iain Duncan-Smith, who was kicked out by his own party before he could lose and election, and Michael Howard, who led the party to defeat in 2006). Even heading back towards the centre thereafter in the form of David Cameron left them short of an outright majority in the 2010 election despite Tony Blair's departure as Labour leader and the GFC. All the signs are that, utterly spooked by Nigel Farage and Reform UK, they could make the same mistake, ie swinging further to the right, again. However, this is by no means a given, depending on the outcome of what amounts to a tussle between what is, on balance, a more moderate Parliamentary Conservative Party (PCP, now reduced to 121 MPs) and the more rightwing membership at large which will get to have the final say after the PCP has whittled down to two up to eleven possible candidates (the maximum the new rules permit). In other words, the backbench 1922 Committee - which sets the rules for leadership elections on behalf of the party and whose new chair, Bob Blackman, is a moderate - appears to have done everything it reasonably can to tilt the leadership contest away from the party's right-wing by maximising the PCP's ability to winnow out its candidate(s) before the grassroots gets its say. This may or may not work. And either way, the Tories still have problems. If a moderate prevails, it plays to Reform UK which, as Mr Farage has already made clear, will also be pitching hard for Labour voters especially in the 100 or so constituencies in which it came second to Labour earlier this month. If a right-winger wins, it makes it easier, in principle at least, for Labour - together with the LibDems - to continue to dominate the centre-ground. But keep in mind that all his has to be seen in an overall context of a far more volatile UK electorate than was the case between 1997 and 2010, meaning that Sir Keir really has to set about winning the next election rather than (largely) relying on the Tories to lose it.

The Uncertainty Surrounding Prime Minister Barnier’s No-Confidence Vote: What’s Next for France? French Prime Minister Michel Barnier, appointed just 90 days ago by President Emmanuel Macron, is facing a no-confidence vote that could spell the end of his short tenure. The vote, expected to pass with opposition from both left-wing and far-right factions, highlights the political instability that has marred his time in office. As Macron seeks #EmmanuelMacron #France #PMBarnier >>> Read more

Angela Rayner, the Deputy Prime Minister, has announced plans for a sweeping devolution initiative aimed at transferring significant powers from Westminster to local authorities across England. In a move described as a "new devolution revolution," Rayner is reaching out to regions currently without devolved powers, inviting them to partner with the government in what she calls "the most #CouncilofNations #devolutioninitiative #Economicgrowth #industrialstrategy #localdecisionmaking #LocalGrowthPlans #localpower #mayoralpowers #regionalautonomy #thxnews

So lots of people are speculating about the federal Liberals and whether Trudeau should go or stay before the next election. Now personally, I’d be happy as a clam to see him gone tomorrow. However, I think there is something here that has been missed. While my political experience may be less than some others, I have been living and breathing politics for the past 22 years since I was 16. I have connections at all three levels of government, and this is my take on the situation. The polls are in a really bad place for the Liberals. This is not new information. What might be new however is the thought that things are so negative for the Liberals that a new leader won’t turn this around. I am sure that any Liberal strategist worth their salt understands this. If they don’t, they should. It is my view that they do understand this. What does that mean? It means that no other credible leaders for the Liberals, including Mark Carney, would risk throwing their hat in the ring if Trudeau did resign now. Remember that Liberals and Conservatives are not forgiving of leaders that lose elections, and typically demand a failed leader’s resignation. That is likely because they have both had the opportunity to form government, unlike the NDP who are used to losing and are typically happy with the same leader regardless. Anyone with a hope of becoming the next Liberal Prime Minister won’t risk putting their name in the ring just to fail and be forced to resign. That being the case, there really is nothing for the Liberals to do but to accept it and brace themselves for the likely upcoming political whomping that they will take in 2025. With that perspective, I would say Trudeau is likely to stay where he is, and become the party’s electoral sacrifice in exchange for the years of leadership they have allowed him; however ill advised that may have been. And so, nothing is likely to change. The Liberals will keep bowing to the NDP’s demands in exchange for as much time as they can buy themselves to the 2025 election. This is politics however… anything could happen.

In a seismic shift in UK politics, Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has made the unprecedented and potentially catastrophic move of calling a snap general election for July. This decision has sent shockwaves through his party and the political landscape, leaving many to ponder the motives behind this high-stakes gamble. Having recently met with well-placed sources in SW1, I can confidently say that the mood within the Conservative Party is one of confusion and concern.  "It's amateur hour," confided one insider, who pointed out Sunak has never had to navigate the treacherous waters of a competitive general election campaign. Worse still, he appears to be surrounded by a team of "political softies" who lack the necessary experience and grit to steer the ship through the coming storm. It's worth noting that these alarming revelations came to light a whole week before Sunak's fateful decision to call the election. The writing, it seems, was already on the wall. The campaign reveals the stark reality of Sunak's inexperience and questionable judgment. By making himself the focal point, he has left the Conservative Party in a perilous state, with candidates reportedly left to fend for themselves and party unity at an unprecedented low. The harsh reality of politics is that the smartest and most intelligent candidates rarely come out on top. Instead, success often hinges on a complex mix of charisma, timing, and sheer luck. Sunak, having failed to secure victory over Liz Truss in the party leadership contest, should have been acutely aware of this fact. As the Conservatives face the prospect of a potentially devastating defeat, the party is scrambling to secure a minimum of seats while also preparing for a future beyond this election. This future is shrouded in uncertainty, potentially necessitating a complete rebranding and reshuffling of the party's leadership. In the end, the adage holds that you either win or lose in politics. There is no middle ground, no consolation prize. By calling this ill-fated election, Rishi Sunak may have sealed his fate and that of his party. Only time will tell if the Conservative Party can dry out from this soaking and rebuild or if this soaking mistake will haunt them for a decade. -- Marc Marc A. Ross | Chief Communications Strategist @ Caracal Marc A. Ross is a geostrategist and world-class communications executive with a proven ability to shape public affairs and increase cause awareness for global business issues using global street smarts coupled with holistic, high-frequency, and high-low communications. Geopolitics is disrupting every business and industry. Caracal is here to help. Let's get to work.