GWUP e.V. | die Skeptiker’s Post

Medienspiegel: Unser diesjähriger Prognosen-Check im Skeptical Inquirer. 📰 "The yearly #GWUP forecast check once again confirms that forecasters’ predictions do not demonstrate prophetic abilities. Important events were predicted rarely (Trump’s re-election) or not at all (the fall of Syrian ruler Assad). Many predictions, such as the attack of a giant giraffe or the collapse of the Eiffel Tower, were more amusing than serious. The few accurate predictions, such as snake attacks in Florida or seaquakes in the Pacific, can easily be explained by statistical considerations and the regular occurrence of the predicted events. Scientifically based methods (such as so-called “superforecasting” and prediction markets) perform better than clairvoyants and fortune tellers." Mehr im "Skeptical Inquirer", siehe Link in den Kommentaren.

To view or add a comment, sign in

Explore topics