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Climate Impact Assessment of Russia’s War Against Ukraine Military conflict is a significant driver of climate change and environmental damage. Russia’s war of aggression is a vivid example: In addition to human suffering, the invasion has had devastating climate and environmental impacts, with far-reaching consequences across Ukraine and beyond its borders. While estimates vary, analysts suggest that up to 175 million tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2 e) were released during the first 24 months of the war (see figure below).101 Wildfires caused by attacks on oil deposits, tankers, refineries, and other hostile activities have consumed fields and forests, releasing additional emissions into the atmosphere and reducing the ability of forests to act as carbon sinks.102 Concurrently, airspace restrictions over Ukraine (and Russia) increased the aviation sector’s carbon footprint from civilian aircraft flying longer and more fuel-inefficient routes. The total climate damage is estimated at more than USD 32 billion.103 Equally concerning is Russia flaring off natural gas, releasing approximately 9,000 tonnes of CO2 e per day, as a result of the market conditions created by its unprovoked invasion.104 It is estimated that post-war reconstruction might constitute the largest overall source of GHG emissions linked to Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.105 Ukraine’s recovery from the conflict will necessitate rebuilding critical infrastructure, homes, public buildings and industrial sites across the country – and, in the most devastated regions, entire cities. The scale of this necessary reconstruction, particularly concrete and cement production, may produce a substantial amount of additional emissions.106 Ensuring that postwar reconstruction and recovery follows a green direction will be essential for Ukraine’s economic recovery, as well as for its national and environmental security. Both Ukraine and its international partners share this vision.
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5moInteresting, massive change is going to be needed Just to work with the private sector?