James Forr’s Post

Winning an election is about more than policy. It’s about resonance. The 2024 campaign may have missed this memo, echoing mistakes from 2016. Key missteps seem to have reemerged: failing to emotionally connect with voters, unclear messaging and lack of band recognition to name a few. Could stronger communication have turned the tide? This article breaks down 5 crucial strategy mistakes that may have cost the Democrats and what we can learn for the future: https://lnkd.in/e6sS7RDe #LeadershipNavigation #CommunicationStrategy #Election2024

Reporting on media bias relating to U.S. elections “Broken down by paper: 80% of the Los Angeles Times articles were focused on just Biden’s age or mental acuity but not Trump's while no articles were focused on just Trump's age or mental acuity and not Biden's. 20% of articles were focused on both candidates' ages or mental acuities. 78% of The New York Times articles were focused on just Biden’s age or mental acuity but not Trump's while only 6% — 2 articles — were focused on just Trump's. 16% of articles were focused on both candidates' ages or mental acuities. 73% of The Wall Street Journal's articles were focused on just Biden's age or mental acuity but not Trump's while 3% — a single article — were focused on just Trump's age or mental acuity but not Biden's. 25% of articles were focused on both candidates' ages or mental acuities. 51% of The Washington Post’s articles were focused on just Biden's age or mental acuity but not Trump's while 9% were focused on just Trump's age or mental acuity but not Biden's. The Post had the highest proportion (40%) of articles focused on both candidates' ages or mental acuities. USA TODAY had far fewer articles focused on either or both of the candidates' ages or mental acuities: 9 total. Of those, 5 were focused on just Biden's age or mental acuity and not Trump's while 3 articles were focused on just Trump's age or mental acuity and not Biden's.” https://lnkd.in/exR796yB

📉 𝗪𝗵𝘆 𝗽𝗼𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗺𝗼𝘀𝘁 𝗹𝗶𝗸𝗲𝗹𝘆 𝗳𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘀𝗵𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝗶𝗻 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗯𝗲𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗼𝗿 - 𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻-𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗴𝗮𝗽 𝗼𝗻 #𝗨𝗦𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗱𝗮𝘆 The intention-behavior gap often appears in political polling, where individuals state voting intentions that do not always align with actual voting behavior. 🚪 𝗦𝗼 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝘀𝗮𝘆 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝘄𝗶𝗹𝗹 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗲 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗛𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗶𝘀, 𝗯𝘂𝘁 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗻 𝗱𝗼𝗻’𝘁. They might think it’s the socially desirable thing to say, depending on who’s asking. They might not have fully made up their mind, or they may have a preference, but last-minute mood shifts can lead them to vote for the opposite candidate. 💬 𝗣𝗼𝗹𝗹𝘀 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝗯𝗮𝘀𝗲𝗱 𝗼𝗻 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗳-𝗿𝗲𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗮, 𝗻𝗼𝘁 𝗼𝗻 𝗮𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗮𝗹 𝗯𝗲𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗼𝗿. 𝗜𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗮 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝘄𝗮𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗲𝗱𝗶𝗰𝘁 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗯𝗲𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗼𝗿? 🔍𝗘𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗔𝗹𝗹𝗮𝗻 𝗟𝗶𝗰𝗵𝘁𝗺𝗮𝗻’𝘀 𝟭𝟯 𝗞𝗲𝘆𝘀 𝘁𝗼 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗪𝗵𝗶𝘁𝗲 𝗛𝗼𝘂𝘀𝗲 Lichtman, a historian, has correctly predicted 9 out of the last 10 elections. His approach taps into structural and societal factors—like the economy, leadership, and social unrest—rather than relying on what people say. 𝗧𝗵𝗲𝘀𝗲 𝗳𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗼𝗳𝘁𝗲𝗻 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝘃𝗶𝗱𝗲 𝗮 𝗯𝗲𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿 𝗽𝗶𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗵𝗼𝘄 𝗽𝗲𝗼𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗮𝗰𝘁𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝘃𝗼𝘁𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘂𝘀𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝘆 𝗿𝗲𝗳𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁 𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗹, 𝗹𝗮𝘀𝘁𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝘀𝗵𝗮𝗽𝗲 𝗯𝗲𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗼𝗿. 🌍 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁’𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘁𝗮𝗸𝗲𝗮𝘄𝗮𝘆? If we want a deeper understanding of behavior, both in elections and in life, we need to look beyond intentions. Models like Lichtman’s remind us that behavior is deeply influenced by context and conditions. 𝗧𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝘀𝗰𝗶𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗼𝗳 𝗯𝗲𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗶𝗼𝗿 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗴𝗲 𝘁𝗵𝗿𝗶𝘃𝗲𝘀! #BeSci #elections #USA ________________________________________________________ 🧠 I am Laura. ⏩ I help you and your organization overcome psychological barriers and create green change. ⏩ How? With workshops & consulting offers inspired by Be-Sci, environmental psychology, and creative communication. Did you like this post? Do you want to see more? 🔔 Ring the bell on my profile 🔝 Leave a like, DM, or follow me. Looking forward to hearing from you!

At great way to get a consice and insightful look at weekly global political developments and their impact on business.

Here’s what to consider and a few tips for running your company effectively during an election year. https://lnkd.in/gTf9KaYM Written by Kathleen Lucente of Red Fan Communications

Calling out to all you #InternationalDevelopment and #MediaDevelopment experts: Challenge Extended! Check out my recent takes below on the perils of #misinformation and impact on #governance – and bring it on: Why I am wrong? What am I missing? • As #disinformation shapes voter choices in #elections around the globe, delivering information to audiences is more important than ever. If you are shouting from the rooftops, and no one is listening, your audience is getting their information elsewhere. Those audiences are seeking out content that excites, engages, and connects with their lives. If you are not learning from your audience – You lose elections, you lose revenue, you lose consumers. • Media is a business. Quality #journalism –essential to democracies and making space for opposition voices – is part of the business of creating content that engages with audiences. If one side of the news spectrum is less effective at content production, audience outreach, and brand promotion… demonizing audiences and outlets on the other side is not the solution. • Only when news consumers are convinced of the benefits to digesting accurate content – for example, when #elections have consequences on government decisions, or when foreign malign actors push for change in government policies – will people change their consumption behaviors. Invest to understand 1) if messages resonate with audiences and motivate them to act; and 2) if content that addresses your issues is at all attractive to audiences, and why. If you are shouting from your soap box, but no one is listening, you lose. • Elected politicians in Washington are a generation behind the rest of the country in understanding the technical capacity of digital content creation and dissemination. Meanwhile, legislators and candidates spend vast resources to push out content – often including disinformation – to social media consumers (including on TikTok, which many of the same lawmakers voted to ban or force a sale). Candidates do not “fact-check” – instead most often attacking opponents with equally exaggerated or false information, or inaccurate talking points, in response. • Social media platforms should play a key role in countering disinformation, yet the US government response is haphazard, lacking - and in the case of TikTok, disingenuous. 1) The US Congress has failed to modernize Section 230 to address responsibility for content moderation and platform liability shields. 2) As long as social media platforms generate significant revenue from advertising placed near viral, click-bait, conspiracy-theory content, there is no financial incentive for firms to change their approach to the algorithmic promotion of disinformation. 3) The same politicians that promote legislative banning of TikTok are investing millions of dollars as candidates to TikTok content and advertising to reach young audiences. #medialiteracy #AI #journalismmatters #fakenews

Here’s what to consider and a few tips for running your company effectively during an election year. https://lnkd.in/ewPDpr5C Written by Kathleen Lucente of Red Fan Communications

Unpopular opinion alert - I don't think newspapers should be endorsing candidates. Jeff Bezos screwed up here by not making that decision until the last minute, keeping his staff out of the loop, and pulling the rug out from under them. All strategic mistakes. But I don't think the Washington Post or anyone else should be getting behind candidates at any level. We are currently living through a massive information crisis. Lies and rumors are running rampant on social media. The only tool that I know of that can heal that and bring people back together is local news. The old idea about readers being aware of a wall separating editorial and opinion is gone. People see something coming from The Washington Post and they view it, perhaps correctly, as being on behalf of an organization. If your paper endorses Kamala Harris, it will color all of your reporting about Donald Trump before, during, and after the election. The same is true at a local level. The stakes of this election are incredibly high. But the days, weeks, and months after matter too. Whether you like it or not, millions of people will vote for both candidates, and we can't have a functioning information ecosystem when people believe major news institutions are on or against their side, with nothing in between. Having trusted messengers that people, no matter who they vote for, can turn to for accurate information is essential. And news organizations throwing their weight behind a candidate is a dated practice that should die. Information, trust, and credibility are too important, and I'm hoping more news organizations take that mission seriously in the elections to come. Cancelling your Washington Post subscription won't hurt Jeff Bezos, he's too rich to notice. But it will definitely hurt the Washington Post, its readers, and the journalists that are doing their best to uncover government corruption, who is pulling the strings in our elections, and what our elected officials are up to. https://lnkd.in/gK8Em5P7

Running a successful presidential campaign requires mastering critical skills like Communications, Production, Information, Analysis, Technology, Interpersonal, and Time Management. These skills help manage operations, engage voters, build a path to 270 electoral votes, and respond effectively to "October surprises." This essay also highlights the dangers of information manipulation, where misleading "alternative facts" can sway public opinion. These essential skills ensure effective navigation through the unpredictable dynamics of a national election. #criticalskills #criticalthinking #communicationskills #technology #timemanagement #interpersonalskills

https://lnkd.in/gvNkSstv #Heres538PredictiontodsyBidenny3pointsinznovember might not seem like it based on the panicked reaction to Biden’s poor debate performance nearly two weeks ago, but the election is still a considerable ways away. This means there is a lot of uncertainty about where the polls will end up on Nov. 5. In turn, the 538 election model puts a healthy amount of weight on non-polling factors such as economic growth and political indicators. Today these indicators suggest an outcome closer to a 3-point Biden win — clear in the opposite direction of national polls.