Well it begins. As the clown show takes shape, it makes it really hard to stay in positions that are ripe to get a glare from the Mad King and his minions. Sold my position in Novo Nordisk, a high quality company with a best of breed product for 13% loss (net forex). With the nut job coming in as Health Sec, it makes it really difficult to hold positions in companies that could get slammed like Thanos. This is like China when they took down their tech co's.
No surprises for me. This is what happens when you're willing to vote to sacrifice rule of law for personal gain. It's hard to commit capital under this cloud. So basically reviewing positions and reducing where makes sense, let the "s" hit the fan and see what comes out of it. With bond market right now the only guardrail against all this, can lock in rough 3-4% to wait.
As investors we're willing to pay a premium to hold US$ assets for security/stability of rule of law. That's all out the window now, so as investors some now, some slowly (e.g. Wall Street) will have to process this and ask if they want to own risk assets in this environment. I don't think you can quit US cold turkey, but you can reduce and diversify further.
Also sold position in Canada Goose for 16.6% loss. I've been torn on this as I thought it was a good turnaround play. But some observations recently made me wonder. They no longer sell in high-end retailers. I was in one over the weekend that used to sell a lot of Goose, but no longer. They are focussing on their own stores. It could work out going more elusive and controlling the distribution. Then again, also I don't hear the same buzz about them like before.
Stock was near my loss threshold so I figure cut the loss and move on. I just don't have the same conviction now. As things are evolving, it's just hard for me to want to own individual companies. I'm feeling more compelled to own a basket of low cost ETF's heavily diversified. We're in a tough period now and I'm doing a bit of rethink on how to move forward.
The rethink definitely involves reconnecting and validating my investing playbook and making sure my investing ideology is intact and will frame my decisions going forward. I'll probably dive deeper into this in a future podcast/video. Speaking of which, check it out! https://lnkd.in/gazUSp95
Economist, entrepreneur (AI and Financial Services), author, teacher
2mowhen I started my career on Wall Street back in 2004, value investing was the gold standard. We were all trained in value investing, reading Graham and studying financial statement analysis. Central banks and constant QEs between 2007 and 2022 kind of annihilated the edge associated with companies analysis adn individual valuation. But this edge is poised to come back once monetary policy fades in the background once again