Saudi Arabia Shifts Gears: Abandoning USD$100 Crude Target to Regain Market Share Saudi Arabia is set to abandon its unofficial USD$100 crude target, opting to increase production and reclaim market share, even if it means lower prices. This strategic shift comes as OPEC+ faces reduced market share due to increased supply from the US and other producers. Saudi Arabia is reportedly considering abandoning its ambitious goal of achieving 12 million barrels of crude production per day (MBD). This potential change in strategy could be driven by a focus on regaining market share and responding to market dynamics, rather than solely maximizing output. Key Highlights ✅ Project: Shift in oil production strategy ✅ Resource: Crude Oil ✅ Potential Reasons: - Regaining market share - Responding to market conditions - Moving away from a volume-focused production strategy ✅ Details: Saudi Arabia's Production Increase: 2.2 million barrels per day will be brought back online over 10 months starting December 2024 ✅ OPEC+ Market Share: Slipped to all-time lows due to output cuts and increased supply from US and other producers. ✅ Global Oil Demand: Weak growth in China and increased non-OPEC+ production impact oil prices. ✅ Saudi Arabia's Funding Options: Foreign reserves and debt will help withstand potential lower prices. Food for Thought: - What are the potential consequences of this shift on oil prices and the global energy market? - How might other major oil producers react to this change in strategy? - Could this signify a broader move towards a more market-driven approach to oil production? - How will OPEC+ members adapt to changing market dynamics? #SaudiArabia #Aramco #OPEC #EnergyShift #MarketShare #CrudeOil #OilMarket #EnergyMarket #OPEC #OilPrices
Juan Carlos Beltran’s Post
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I wrote this article at the peak of the last oil price war in 2020— game theory applied to oil producers. If Saudi Arabia were to ditch output discipline, the last scenario may repeat itself. The numbers would need to be adjusted for the new base-load demand, but in principle things are more same than they are different. And if there were to be another price war, it could be quite bad. I don't think 2020 lows are in sight as that needed a COVID-associated crash in demand. But oil prices could certainly see $50 levels. Not sure what else Saudi can do considering the slow erosion of its market share, but oil majors need to be more disciplined in the rush for more barrels. Article link: https://lnkd.in/e4EU7Kj Disclaimer: opinions represented here are mine only and do not represent my employers (past or present). https://lnkd.in/d2H4auqW
Saudi Arabia may abandon $100 crude target to take back market share
ogj.com
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Saudi Arabia's crude production was slightly down by 17 kb/d in September m/m while oil exports were up by 80 kb/d. #JODIData #JODIOil #OOTT #SourceJODI https://lnkd.in/gDqugjH
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𝐒𝐚𝐮𝐝𝐢 𝐀𝐫𝐚𝐛𝐢𝐚 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐬𝐥𝐚𝐬𝐡 𝐉𝐚𝐧𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐲 𝐜𝐫𝐮𝐝𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐀𝐬𝐢𝐚 Saudi Arabia, the world’s top oil exporter, is likely to cut crude prices for Asian buyers in January to their lowest levels in years, according to traders. The January official selling price (OSP) for Arab Light could drop by 70 to 90 cents per barrel from December, marking at least a four-year low, a Reuters survey of six Asian refinery sources revealed. Read More: https://lnkd.in/gy9GUdJc #AsiaOne #AsiaOneMagazine #CrudeOilPrices #SaudiOil #EnergyMarket #OilIndustry #OilAndGas #EnergyNews #OilPrices #GlobalEconomy #EnergyUpdate #OilTrade #SaudiArabia #AsiaEnergyMarket #Economy
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Earlier today on CNBC , Jaap Meijer our Head of Research shared key insights into the evolving #oil market. With #Saudi Arabia planning to unwind production cuts by December, the global market could see a period of lower prices. OPEC+ is set to increase production by 2.2 million barrels per day by Q4 2025, while Saudi faces the potential of fiscal austerity if prices dip below $90/bbl. However, higher production offsets the impact—every $10 drop in oil prices can be revenue neutral with a 1 mb/d production increase. This signals significant shifts for both Gulf economies and global oil markets. Check out the full interview here: https://lnkd.in/d8bPKVWU #oil #MENA #GCC #bonds #sukuks #investors #riyadh #jeddah #stockmarket #opec #trading #us #dollar #UAE #Egypt #Libya #Oman #Bahrain #Qatar #Jordan #Bahrain
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Saudi Crude Oil Exports Hit Nine-Month High In a notable surge, #SaudiArabia's crude oil exports reached a nine-month peak in March, increasing for the second month in a row, as per data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI). Amidst global energy market fluctuations, the Kingdom's export volume rose to 6.413 million barrels per day, despite a slight dip in production. For more insights on Saudi's strategic oil exports and production data, read the full analysis on Saudi Business News, link in bio! #SaudiBusiness #SaudiNews #Vision2030 #SaudiArabia #OilExports #EnergyMarket #OPEC #JODI #CrudeOil #GlobalEconomy
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Saudi Arabia exported 7.0 million b/d of crude oil in 2023, down 5% from 7.4 million b/d in 2022, because of decreased oil production. Crude oil and petroleum product exports from Saudi Arabia represented 34% and 26%, respectively, of OPEC exports in 2023. Asia is Saudi Arabia’s primary export market for crude oil, receiving 75% of Saudi Arabia’s total annual crude oil exports in 2023. China, Japan, South Korea, and India were its top crude oil importers. (Country Analysis Brief: Saudi Arabia – EIA (U.S. Energy Information Administration) – October 4th 2024) #SaudiArabia #SaudiArabiacrudeoilexports #OPEC #CrudeOilMarket
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Saudi Arabia raised its main oil prices for buyers in Asia amid heightened volatility in the crude market as traders watch developments in the Middle East conflict. State producer Saudi Aramco increased the official selling price of its main Arab Light crude grade by 90 cents to a premium of USD 2.20 a barrel against the regional benchmark for buyers in Asia, according to a price list seen by Bloomberg. The company was expected to boost the premium by 65 cents a barrel. At the same time, Aramco cut the price of all grades to the US and Europe. To read more, check out the latest Saudi Arabia news: https://lnkd.in/dk_jk_yi Subscribe here to receive our daily newsletter & publications: https://lnkd.in/grae-vTJ #zillacapital #research #kingdompulse #saudi #arabia #ksa #saudiarabia #saudinews
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Saudi Arabia raised its main oil prices for buyers in Asia amid heightened volatility in the crude market as traders watch developments in the Middle East conflict. State producer Saudi Aramco increased the official selling price of its main Arab Light crude grade by 90 cents to a premium of USD 2.20 a barrel against the regional benchmark for buyers in Asia, according to a price list seen by Bloomberg. The company was expected to boost the premium by 65 cents a barrel. At the same time, Aramco cut the price of all grades to the US and Europe. To read more, check out the latest Saudi Arabia news: https://lnkd.in/dk_jk_yi Subscribe here to receive our daily newsletter & publications: https://lnkd.in/grae-vTJ #zillacapital #research #kingdompulse #saudi #arabia #ksa #saudiarabia #saudinews
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2. **Global Oil Market**: The global oil outlook faces challenges due to a softening demand from China, which is affecting prices. Additionally, Saudi Arabia has pledged significant oil cuts starting this month . #GlobalOilMarket #businesssnews
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Saudi Arabia’s crude oil exports fell to a 10-month low in June, with shipments reaching approximately 168 million barrels, or 5.6 million barrels a day. This decline, the lowest since the early pandemic, highlights increased competition from Russia, Iran, and Venezuela, particularly in China and India. Seasonal domestic demand also contributed, as high temperatures boosted oil consumption for power generation. Saudi Arabia appears willing to concede markets to maintain OPEC+ alliances, but this strategy may be reconsidered if output cuts need to be extended beyond October. #OilMarket #SaudiArabia #CrudeExports #OPEC+ #EnergyDemand https://lnkd.in/gs9UVTgX
Saudi Crude Shipments Plummet to Pandemic-Era Levels
bloomberg.com
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