Luis Arturo Muñoz Ponce’s Post

Very interesting read looking into the future of work, AI, and the possible issues surrounding advanced technology #futureofwork #futureofai #predictingfuturework

Predictions about the future of work vary widely, and this Harvard Business Review study demonstrates just how much background can influence forecasts.  Do you agree with the optimists, skeptics, or pessimists when it comes to automation and AI? Share your thoughts with us!  https://lnkd.in/ghcujYg3 #AIPredictions #Upskilling #FutureOfWork #TechPredictions 

Want to know what the future of work might look like? Harvard Business Review reached out to 570 business leaders to find out. Check out the results below. Overall, I agree, but I think a few areas will happen quicker, like job task automation (happening now), and some later, like automation leading to shorter work weeks and more leisure time (this has traditionally not been the case with other technologies). What do you think? Shout out in the comments! #AI #futureofwork #newwaysofworking https://lnkd.in/dc9H3pZy

Experts disagree on what AI and automation will bring — some predict efficiency and growth, while others foresee job losses and inequality. One thing is clear: the future depends on the decisions we make today. Share your thoughts in the comments below, how are you shaping the future you want to see!

A recent study explores the future of work, showing that expert opinions fall into three camps: optimists, skeptics, and pessimists. Tech entrepreneurs tend to be optimistic, believing AI and robotics will drive prosperity, while economists are skeptical, seeing incremental change, and authors and journalists express concern about automation’s potential harm. The study reveals that these expert groups have deeply entrenched views, shaped by their disciplines, making collaboration challenging. However, the researchers argue that the future of work is not set in stone—it's something we can shape together. By engaging in dialogue, embracing diverse perspectives, and making informed decisions, we can steer the future toward more desirable outcomes. https://lnkd.in/ghcujYg3 #AI #Robotics #IP #VC #Patents #DeepTech

A fascinating study by researchers Nicky Dries, Joost Luyckx, and Philip Rogiers reveals three distinct viewpoints on the future of work:Optimists (mostly tech entrepreneurs): Envision accelerated progress and a post-scarcity age driven by AI and robotics. Skeptics (primarily economists): Expect gradual change with new technologies boosting productivity and creating better jobs. Pessimists (authors and journalists): Warn of mass unemployment and the need for degrowth in the face of automation. Key takeaways: • Experts' predictions align closely with their professional backgrounds and personalities. • A "consensus" timeline suggests major changes, from AI augmentation to potential societal upheavals. • The future of work isn't predetermined – it's shaped by our choices and values.The researchers urge us to critically examine predictions, consider their sources, and actively participate in shaping the future we want to see. After all, the future of work is what we collectively make it.What's your vision for the future of work? Let's discuss! #FutureOfWork #AI #Innovation #WorkforceTrends Link for the HBR Article Thanks Tim Rumbaugh for sharing the article

I recently came across an insightful Harvard Business Review article that highlights the diverse and often conflicting views on how AI will shape the future of work. Here are my key takeaways: 1. Diverse perspectives on the Future of Work with experts tending to fall into three categories: optimists (often tech entrepreneurs), skeptics (typically economists), and pessimists (authors and journalists) 2. No clear consensus as each group uses different data and holds different viewpoints making it challenging to predict whether work will move towards progress, degrowth, or a middle ground. 3. The importance of public debate as it relates to "the future of work will be whatever we make it" - the best way to shape the future of work is through a wide-ranging, inclusive public debate involving all stakeholders.

Predicting the future is one of the least accurate things you can attempt. Let's go back to science fiction from the 1950s. It was full of flying cars and rockets that looked like the WWII German V-2 rockets. They completely missed massive revolutions in computers, communications, and genetics. That said, the best future prediction method I've seen in a long time was just published in the Harvard Business Review. The authors pulled together future predictions from hundreds of people. They found that there were three groups of futurists who agreed with others in their group, but not with the other groups. * The optimists are mostly technology entrepreneurs, who think great things will happen soon. * The pessimists are mostly authors and journalists, who think terrible things will happen soon. * The skeptics are mostly economists, who think things will happen but it will take much longer than the other groups are predicting. The authors of the article averaged out the predictions to come up with predicted dates. My guess is that predicting "when" is even less accurate than predicting "what will happen". For example, we know that pandemics are inevitable, but they might be 20 years apart or 500 years apart, and there is no way to predict "when" the next one will occur. Some of the things the article puts prediction dates on are; * Technology requires constant reskilling by workers. * Job tasks are partially automated. * New technologies create new jobs and industries. * More occupations are augmented by AI. * Major ecological disasters occur. * Economic inequality increases. * Third world war. * Surveillance societies world wide. The U.S. and Russia are moving toward this, while the European Union is passing more stringent privacy laws. * Shorter work weeks * Mass unemployment. * Humanity depends on technology for everything. * Longer life spans, at least for some elite group. * Colonize other planets * AI is more intelligent than any human * AI becomes intelligent beyond our comprehension, thus becoming the new god Which of these do you think might happen? When do you think they might? Here is a link to the article https://lnkd.in/ea5CtaVg

I highly recommend reading/listening to this interview with Daron Acemoglu, an economics professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and author of "Power and Progress: Our Thousand-Year Struggle Over Technology and Prosperity". My key takeaways: 1. There is significant hype around large language models as game-changing technology. 2. IT industry giants hold too much power. 3. Governments should support technologies that empower workers rather than replace them. Source: Financial Times Link to the interview/podcast :https://lnkd.in/d9jUQbeU

A very interesting (and somewhat terrifying) timeline predicting the next 50 years, although 2046 sounds quite good: "Automation leads to shorter workweeks, increased leisure time, and a renaissance of human craftwork." What it doesn't call out though is advances in Quantum Computing, and if anything is going to bring about Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) that will truly leave humans behind it'll be this. The debate around the future of work is likely to get even more polarized in the years to come. One person’s utopia is another’s dystopia. Customer Science Group https://lnkd.in/gVCdSi-v https://cxai.au