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Hello, and trust that this month of October has been fruitful and fulfilling for you, thus far. It's our pleasure to welcome you, afresh, to the last quarter of 2024; and our delight to introduce a new, very informative, and highly engaging series on Armourgate Radio Communications titled, "Trendy Issues in the Geopolitical Economy." This will be anchored by Business Management expert and Political analyst, Abiodun Abari. Do join this very interesting broadcast every Wednesday, by 5:00pm WAT/12:00 noon ET as Mr. Abari shares expert geopolitical insights, as they relate to economic growth and development. The geopolitical economy is a complex interplay between political power, international relations, and global economic systems. Historically, this field has been shaped by the actions of dominant nations, the formation of alliances, the exploitation of resources, and the quest for economic supremacy. However, in recent years, the landscape of geopolitical economy has become increasingly dynamic, driven by emerging economies, technological advancements, and unprecedented global challenges, such as climate change and the pandemic's impacts. As the global economy recovers from the COVID-19 pandemic, new geopolitical trends have emerged. These trends reflect the shifts in power dynamics, the realignment of trade relations, and the rise of multipolarity, where multiple countries are asserting economic and political influence, disrupting traditional global hierarchies. Key issues such as trade wars, energy transitions, supply chain disruptions, and financial decoupling are, increasingly, central to understanding today’s geopolitical economy. Thus, in this dynamic series laid upon the foundation of expert perspectives, Mr. Abari will be exploring the current issues shaping the geopolitical economy, supported by relevant statistics and recent examples. He will, critically, discuss how these issues in the global landscape have a profound impact on economic structures, political alliances, trade policies, and market dynamics. Recent and ongoing cases such as the U.S.-China Trade Relations, Technological war and Decoupling, the Global Energy Crisis and the Russian-Ukraine Conflict, the BRICS expansion, the Decline of the Dollar, and the push for the Chinese Yuan will be considered, alongside other geopolitical trends. This program is rich, robust and enlightening, as it turns our focus on the interplay of wits and politics in the global scene, and the effect on the international market. We look forward to you joining us, every Wednesday. See you there!

To navigate the future, it can help to anticipate the unlikely. The World Ahead 2025 is a useful guide to the coming year, whatever surprises await. Read now https://lnkd.in/eZ7jKa3m

To navigate the future, it can help to anticipate the unlikely. The World Ahead 2025 is a useful guide to the coming year, whatever surprises await. Read now https://lnkd.in/eKyaRcaa

We’re excited to share our Annual Outlook: Building on Strength, which highlights the resilience and opportunities within the global economy. From rate policy and AI advancements to accelerating capital investments, dive into the key themes that we think will drive growth in 2025. https://bit.ly/4g0LKBn

A Thought-Provoking Conversation with a Retired Economist Yesterday I had an eye-opening conversation with a retired economist who previously taught at the London School of Economics. We discussed the state of the world today, - wars, political turmoil, and how advanced technology is changing the game. One of the most striking ideas was how just around 1,000 people, - politicians, warlords, and power players, - make decisions that impact hundreds of millions of lives. Their actions shape economies, influence global stability, and affect our future in ways most of us can’t control. What’s even more concerning is the role of advanced war technologies like AI and drones. These tools make conflicts faster and more devastating, raising the stakes of every decision. A single mistake or act of aggression could have consequences far beyond what we’ve ever seen before. The economist shared a simple yet powerful takeaway: humanity needs to focus on collaboration. Economic policies, fairness, and cooperation can be tools for peace, but only if those in power prioritise long-term stability over short-term interests. This conversation left me thinking: are we doing enough to hold leaders accountable for the future they’re shaping? It’s a question worth asking as we navigate these uncertain times.

My optimistic forecast for the U.S. presidential election results did not pan out.  Trump’s victory and the Republican Party’s win in the vast majority of states, along with a substantial shift in the preferences of various social groups toward the Republicans, reinforce my concerns about a significant increase in risks: 1. The collapse of the generative AI bubble in 2025. (I’m still considering what event could trigger it). It’s clear that this bubble will lead to a broad decline in tech stock values. 2. A sharp deterioration of the domestic political climate in the U.S. (potentially even leading to unrest and worse) amid a market downturn. 3. An intensification of all active global conflicts, as the U.S. shifts focus from foreign policy to domestic issues. These scenarios are reminiscent of the turbulent transitions at the turn of the 18th to the 19th centuries, which ultimately led to the formation of the global economic system we’ve lived in for the last 200 years.  The global economy never fully recovered from the 2008 crisis.  This suggests that the mechanism that worked for 200 years is now broken.  What will replace it?

Our economic scenario-planning kicks off tomorrow! Join us for our November Spark salon, where we will be diving into how the global economy will react in the next couple of months and scenario-planning the impacts of a Trump presidency once he takes office. This is a conversation you won’t want to miss – so RSVP today! RSVP Here: https://bit.ly/3UKgXko Thursday, November 21, 12-1pm PT / 3-4pm ET We encourage you to read the two following Global Reports in preparation for our conversation: We'll start with our most recent GR, by Berit Anderson, "Trump vs. the Market: The Q4 Economic Outlook," which focuses on the next couple of months revving up to a Trump economy. To read the full report, follow this link: https://bit.ly/4fr8j2p We'll also be taking a look at points covered in Mark Anderson's July 28 report, "If Trump Wins: A Deep Dive into the Decadal Financial and Geopolitical Consequences of a Trump Regime," which looks at the likely impacts of Trump's policies once he's in office. To read his full report, follow this link//bit.ly/3V2UhvQ We have read all of your messages and know this is an important conversation to everyone. Remember: You may invite friends and colleagues to participate in this conversation – non-SNS members are welcome to join one Spark conversation on the house. We can't wait to hear your thoughts, so don't forget to RSVP! RSVP now! (🔗 in bio) . . . #spark #globaleconomy #sns #braintrust #Q4 #economy #tariffs #trumpeconomy

Are you ready to boost productivity and tackle economic challenges head on? 🌟 The global economy continues its post-Covid-19 recovery amid challenges posed by conflicts and climate change. Embracing technology, AI and skills development is vital for addressing these major issues and fostering economic growth. Join our webinar to gain insights from global experts on leveraging technology and skills to overcome economic challenges and drive growth! 📈 Sign up for free! https://rb.gy/lm8iet

Looking for the New Year A huge quantity of financial analysts said the next year could be the worst in decades, with the war in the Middle Orient, the Russian war going to an unpredictable end, the European continent going through a dark age of their culture, identity crises of their people, and a new government in the USA. It's time to be stronger and realize how important the base of the health economy, the works, and the quality of our products are. Create an internal consumer is the stone of the countries that anchor their economies. Investing in education and high technology could be the way to not just survive but improve the power face the world scenery. Image by Free Vector 11-10-2024

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