I recently had the privilege of attending a guest lecture by Mathew Jonston on Monte Carlo simulation, which included a dynamic in-class activity using tennis balls. This engaging approach not only deepened my understanding of Monte Carlo Simulations but also demonstrated their application in quantitative risk assessments. We explored various scenarios and probabilities that these simulations generate, essential for effectively assessing and mitigating risks according to P50 and P90 probability thresholds. It was an enlightening experience that expanded my knowledge of how these tools function in real-world risk management. Special thanks to Paulo Vaz Serra for organizing this insightful session. It highlighted the significant impact of such analytical tools in risk mitigation and the importance of industry insights in our academic journey. #MonteCarloSimulation #RiskManagement #QuantitativeAnalysis #IndustryInsights
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Monte-Carlo Simulation A brief step-by-step guide. Monte Carlo simulation Is one of the Risk Quantification methods. It help in converting Risks from Color rating. To numbers that you can build a decision on. In those slide you can get an idea of how it works. --- If you are a Risk Manager Who want to master quantitative Risk assessment. Comment or DM me "Monte" ♦️ I will send you the details. #riskbyrami Institute of Qualified Risk Managers
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Chess and risk management share a common principle: The right move at the right time changes everything. Congratulations to Gukesh Dommaraju on becoming the youngest-ever Chess World Champion at just 18 years old! 🏆♟️ His calculated risks and unwavering focus remind us of the importance of strategic decisions, both in chess and in detecting and mitigating risks in real-time. Here’s to brilliance, precision, and staying ahead of the game—on the board and in business. #WorldChessChampion #GukeshDommaraju #RiskManagement #AmukhaTechnologies
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Click here if you want to learn about #QRA! https://lnkd.in/esXzN2kd Yes, The Ferryfield Group announces a new edition of its public QRA Training masterclass, on 28th October. During this class we will talk about why is QRA important, common uses for probabilistic distributions, what is Monte Carlo simulation, and how to interpret results from different use cases. Everything you need if you are adopting QRA or if your company adopted and you need people in your team to really understand it. Plus, we will have a 30-minutes bonus about the use of GenAI in Risk Management with a prompt package. Save the Date! #savethedate 🗓️ October 28th, 2024, from 12:00 to 16:00 BST. 💰 Cost is 349£ 👉 Secure your spot today! [Registration link in the comments] ⛑ Bring a colleague for Free!
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9 Steps to Build any Risk Model. A go-to guide. I have tried to write the principal steps, To build any Quantitative Risk Model. Using Monte-Carlo Simulation. Either this model is built for - Decision support. - Alternative Selection. - Project cost estimate/Schedule. - Business investment or others. Doing Quantitative Risk Assessment, Using Monte-Carlo Simulation. Is an Art, that I can teach you. --- If you want to learn Quantitative Risk assessment. If you want to learn Monte-Carlo Simulation. Comment or DM me "Monte" 🔶 Course Price increase 21st of April 2024. 3 of 6 Seats are only available. I will tell you the details. #riskbyrami Institute of Qualified Risk Managers
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Join us for an eye-opening webinar on the power of probabilistic cost estimation presented by Manuel Carmona, Risk and Decision Analysis Specialist, MBA PMI-RMP, EdyTraining Ltd. Discover why probabilistic models outperform traditional deterministic methods by capturing cost uncertainties for more effective risk management. We’ll explore Monte Carlo simulations—a key technique for modeling a range of outcomes and accounting for variability in cost drivers. Learn how to use parametric models and expert insights to estimate cost ranges and probabilities that better reflect project complexity. Don’t miss out on actionable insights to improve project planning, calculate contingency reserves, and elevate your cost estimation strategies! Register today: https://lnkd.in/eW8-NH3D #RiskManagement #MonteCarloSimulations #AACEI #ProbabilisticCost #CostEstimation #Strategies #atRISK #Lumivero
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Unlock your team's potential with specialized courses designed to deepen their knowledge and sharpen their skills. From risk management to underwriting, we've got a comprehensive curriculum tailored to your team's needs. Reach out to us for more information to get started. #mrdtraining #insuranceeducation
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Monte Carlo method is one of the most famous and important tools in risk assessment. Monte Carlo method has a wide range of applications in many areas that have a level of uncertainty. In this video a brief about this method is introduced. Fruitful watching, Please share your thoughts with us. #MetaSights
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Excited to share my latest research publication in the KUBIK journal titled 'Value at Risk of Gold Futures Trading with Log-Normal Distribution Assumption Using Monte Carlo Simulation Method.' This study explores risk management in gold investments. #RiskManagement #ValueAtRisk #ResearchPublication #GoldFutures #MonteCarloSimulation
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Steps to Quantify a Risk Register. The Main Steps. Instead of putting Colors we Put Numbers. Instead of Scores we put Ranges. Instead of Risk Matrix we Do Monte-Carlo Simulation. I will send the Step-by-Step guide to IQRM Newsletter Tomorrow. Join from the Link below https://lnkd.in/daaZE7NZ 🔶 Institute of Qualified Risk Managers
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Build your strategic foresight with our latest Crossing Thin Ice episode "Scenario Planning in 10 Steps." Learn how you can use scenario planning to road test your strategies to ensure your organization is prepared for future challenges. Whether you're a seasoned risk manager or new to scenario planning, this episode offers valuable insights to enhance your strategic planning process and fortify your risk management framework. From Max Rudolph and Dave Ingram. https://lnkd.in/edhhWTJk
Scenario Planning in 10 Steps | Crossing Thin Ice
crossingthinice.podbean.com
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