Topgolf Callaway Brands just announced their intent to separate into two independent companies. Here's our hot take 👇 - The public markets have struggled to value a golf business - there are essentially only two of them, Acushnet and Topgolf Callaway (the 3rd is Sacks Parente which is a stock with a $4.19M market cap). - Each independent company should go private (we would expect this to happen, although the press release states the goal is to maintain two stand-alone publicly companies). - Callaway and Topgolf may share "golf" as a commonality, but the businesses couldn't be more different. Topgolf exists at one end of the spectrum (golf-curious) and Callaway on the other (golf-active). - Topgolf does have a retention problem (which is why same venue growth is down), but there is absolutely an opportunity to make the Topgolf ecosystem stickier for consumers (additional Topgolf concepts into short-courses, par 3s, leagues, and other green-grass, to advance them from golf-curious to something more). - Both Callaway and Topgolf are bluechip golf companies and have huge potential to rise back from the public woes (down 50% from mid-July and 72% from mid-2021). What do you think about this announcement? View the press release: https://lnkd.in/gprs3Hih #golfbusiness #topgolf #callaway #topgolfcallaway
Agree, they should both be taken private. TopGolf is not a good product. The Top Tracer technology is the best part and has the most upside. Spending 50-70-100 million to build out an event space for birthday and corporate parties is crazy. No one that takes there golf game serious is going to Topgolf to get better it was not built for that. One time use for some sort of party or gathering.
Boutique indoor golf will ultimately usurp demand for the Top Golf experience, which is wholly unique from Callaway's business AND the indoor simulator-based business. Boutique is easier to get to, cheaper and more practical for solo or partner outings.
Golf will be around forever...Golf entertainment is a fad. Ten years at best and its back to being little or nothing. Sim businesses almost never last in fair weather states. No matter what golfers want to golf. Not hit indoors or pay big money for silly games.
Great take on this , Chasing Aces Golf bridges the gap from golf curious to golf active with tiered offerings We are the future of sport entertainment 👊🏻💯🇺🇸To God Be The Glory
Most definitely a growth area to bridge golf-curious and golf-active. Retention could be achieved with strategies aimed at the appropriate consumers. There needs to be less time consuming, easier access facilities and businesses to bring in golfers that are craving more golf but have limited time. I’m ready to share my ideas and build something great. To reach more potential golfers and create interest any new venture needs to be more interactive throughout daily life. Also needs to be more easily accessible to triggered positive associations with golf. Achieving this hybrid needs to aim at where society currently interacts most frequently…
What an expensive mistake they made. Clear to many of us for a long time. VERY hard for TG to pivot existing venues. Solid brand which is a plus and minus.
I think the stock is being hurt from Topgolf, so the decrease in value is not necessarily reflective of Callaway’s success independent of Topgolf. I do think it’s smart to separate the two brands and I’d say the only reason Topgolf would stay public is to raise funds by selling additional shares because it will be costly to pivot on their model to increase retention by adding additional entertainment options at new venues and renovating old venues. BUT It’s not like this type of pivot is rare but I could see it being very costly comparatively. Brick and mortar businesses have been doing it a lot to provide a better experience and increase retention. Chik-Fil-a has a new drive thru concept that is fast, efficient, and on-brand. It makes me want to go back because it was a good experience versus the traditional drive thru. Different industry, similar concept to combat competition and maintain a forward thinking customer expereince. One thing I will say that shocked me when they first merged was the lack of callaway branded items at Top Golf. I always felt like it made sense to use Callaway branded clubs at every bay and have a fitting expereince for new golfers. Easy way for callaway to grow brand equity and sales with new golfers.
Old Tom Capital The split between Topgolf and Callaway could be a smart move, allowing each to focus on their distinct markets - Topgolf targeting casual, experience-driven consumers and Callaway Golf focusing on serious golfers. The separation could unlock shareholder value and enhance operational efficiency. However, their futures may diverge further, with potential for private ownership down the line to drive long-term strategy. Retention and consumer stickiness will be key for Topgolf’s growth, while Callaway remains a strong player in the premium equipment space. This move could set the stage for significant innovation and market repositioning.
In 2017, as I was getting into golf, my first regular lessons were at a Topgolf. I noticed just how full it was in the evenings of families, young people and especially women. The demand seems to be there from all the groups of people that golf is so desperately trying to attract so perhaps there’s some tweaking to be done on the overall offering and pricing model because I still see so much potential there…
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5moThis move was inevitable. Time became of the essence when the public markets recognized the combination of the TopGolf's debt and retention problems was a concrete shoe on the MODG equity share price. What is especially noteworthy is Callaway keeping the smartly-growing Toptracer business under its tent (was originally developed by and for TopGolf). IMO, this speaks volumes for the future of both entities. Yes, taking Callaway private makes sense (it has reliably steady FCF with relatively low cap-ex needs), however I disagree with those who believe taking TopGolf private (unless of course it is a take-under, not a take over). The mountain of debt becomes more costly, and effectively larger once the real estate financiers currently fueling the company's expansion no longer have a publicly-listed company credit rating to lean on. Surely, the recent rapid growth of private-credit funds may fit the profile for future lending to this kind of business, but those costs won't be attractive. Trying to sell existing facilities at an attractive cap-rate will be exceedingly difficult. Furthermore, the market for expensive single-trick ponies looks very vulnerable to smaller, more nimble competitors. We see that opportunity quite clearly.