Paradigm Capital’s Post

Small caps led the way this week as the Russell 2000 posted its best performance week of the year. The prospect of a soft-landing economic scenario and strength in energy supported the outperformance. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite also traded higher, capping off the week with record highs. Lower Treasury yields and continued momentum in artificial intelligence

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Buy & Sell Signals (BUL) Investment Report: Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method.  This methodology [...] Look at the Charts

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While we did see a large rebound from 5218-5135 after yesterday’s large sell off, the weekly timeframe has not closed, solidifying a rejection off this area. We could see a potential range for the remainder of the week seeing as there is not much significant planned news releases. More daily & below price action is needed to build up a bullish sentiment, even in the short run. While there may be many reasons leading up to this large sell off, if I were to be asked to summarise what I thought caused it, this is what I would say: For 30 years, the yen had low or negative interest rates, allowing large funds to borrow yen cheaply and invest in higher-risk assets like the S&P 500, repaying only the principal. With the yen’s rate now at 0.25%, even a small increase can impact over-leveraged investors, who may be forced to sell assets and manage their risk. This has led to declines in the S&P 500 and other indices. U.S. government bond sales by these investors could lower bond prices and raise yields, potentially triggering a credit crisis. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add further complexity to the situation.

06/21/24 - View tonight's #MarketOutlook from Market Scholars here: https://wp.me/p9upfx-el9 Discussed: $SPY $IWM $VIX $DIA $QQQ $EEM $EFA $GLD $TLT $USO $UUP $BTC $XLE $XLP $XLRE $XLU $XLI $XLV $XLC $XLY $XLK $CSCO 🐂📈 #howto #bonds #investing #stockmarket #equitymarkets #markets #financialmarkets #investment #trading #investments #options #invest #gold #oil #finance #economy #economics #stocks

Buy & Sell Signals (FXB) Investment Report: Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method.  This methodology [...] Look at the Charts

CBOE Options Equity Put/Call Ratio ($CPCE) shows the ratio between total put option volume and total call option volume for CBOE equity options only. By adding Bollinger bands, we can observe that the ratio has broken out the upper band 13 times in the last five years, which coincides with the price decline in the Index (S&P500) 11 times. The previous breakout occurred on July 29th and is now entering back within the bands. Let's see if this high level of bearishness among traders will activate the buyers in the short run. 📈 Co-author: Gustavo Jaimes, PMP, CFTe #technicalanalysis #marketsentiment #financial #stockmarket

The gap on the CME Emini S&P500 futures hourly chart between the August 2nd close and August 4th open has become an indecision point for the market. Gaps in the CME Emini S&P500 futures are quite rare, with this one taking about three days to complete (which is an unusually long period). Since there was little follow through past that gap fill on Wednesday, my guess there were a lot of sell orders at or near the gap that acted like a magnet and with little buying momentum past the gap fill, the market naturally fell. Yesterday, the market rallied right to this resistance point. With the market trending sideways today on low volume (as of 2PM CST Friday August 9) what’s next for the #s&p500 #sp500?? (PS: I’m still pretty bearish on equities.) I’m happy to have a deeper discussion on the stock market (and commodities, which are my normal wheelhouse) in private. – Chris (Chart courtesy CME Group) #commodities #trading #markets #metals #economy #economics #hedgefunds #hedgefund #money #investing #investment #business #familyoffice #oil #energy #finance #stockmarket 

Historically, $COPPER prices have often moved ahead of the broader market. Investors sometimes look at copper as a leading indicator to gauge future market trends and adjust their equity positions accordingly. This usually results in a good rotation to $XLU $XLP $XLV