Pranav V Nair’s Post

Western-led interventions in Libya, Iraq, and Afghanistan demonstrate the pitfalls of imposing democratic frameworks without addressing the unique historical, social, and political dynamics of the regions. Unless the paradigm of security-led intervention as a solution is critically reassessed, the pattern of instability and failed state-building will persist. The fall of Assad mirrors the consequences of Western interventionist policies seen in Libya and Iraq. These efforts often prioritize regime change over long-term stability, ignoring the complexities of local power structures. Without a strategic shift in approach, repeated failures in nation-building are inevitable.

#Ukraine is seeking to make a deal with #Russia to stop the #conflict, according to #Trump. In a post on #TruthSocial, #Trump called for an immediate ceasefire and negotiations regarding #Ukraine. U.S. President-elect Donald Trump stated that, according to his information, the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) have lost approximately 400,000 soldiers since the beginning of the conflict. He also noted that #civilian casualties in Ukraine are even more significant. Trump emphasized the urgent need for a ceasefire and the start of negotiations. Earlier, in July 2024, Trump estimated the combined losses of Ukrainian and #Russian soldiers at 500,000. Discrepancies in casualty estimates between Ukrainian President Volodymyr #Zelenskyy, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, and American intelligence highlight significant differences in narratives regarding the ongoing conflict. #Zelenskyy's reported figure of 60,000 casualties differs substantially from #Trump's claim of 400,000 Ukrainian military losses and even greater civilian casualties. This discrepancy raises questions about transparency and the flow of information during wartime. Accusations have emerged that the #Ukrainian government is concealing or falsifying the true scale of losses. The inability to provide accurate data risks eroding trust, strengthening alternative narratives, and ultimately weakening #Ukraine's position during #negotiations. #UkraineConflict #CasualtyReports #TransparencyMatters #ZelenskyyStatements #TrumpClaims #ConflictNarratives #CeasefireNow #NegotiationUrgency #WartimeInformation #CivilianCasualties #MilitaryLosses #UkraineWarFacts #InternationalTrust #WarImpact #GlobalDebate

https://lnkd.in/dGwdEGTj A well-crafted, pre-planned conspiracy between the military and civilian components Israel . Only naive and inexperienced persons buy this corrupted narrative and plot . The notion that significant political events might be orchestrated performances, designed to serve specific national interests, is a complex and controversial one. When a nation faces a crisis, it is often tempting to seek simple explanations. However, it is equally important to consider the possibility that the crisis itself might be a carefully constructed narrative. A military-political alliance, with its unique combination of power and resources, could potentially orchestrate a series of events to garner public sympathy, justify increased security measures, or influence international relations On the whole , the unilateral Israeli Army declaration of cessation of armed operations in Gaza prove this #Israel #gaza #deal #Hostages #hamas

The world has faced the horrors of ideologies that thrive on destruction and hate before. The Nuremberg Trials set a precedent for bringing those responsible for atrocities to justice, ensuring that accountability prevailed over impunity. Today, we face a similar moral imperative. Hamas and those who support its terror must be held accountable—not only for the violence they perpetuate but for the countless innocent lives shattered in the process. Civilians coerced or manipulated into compliance deserve liberation, but those who willingly aid and abet such crimes must face justice (see "unaffiliated civilians" in image by Firstpost). The international community cannot turn a blind eye again. Justice is not optional; it is the foundation of a lasting peace. Before any healing can take place, the wound needs to be thoroughly cleaned. 2 states? Maybe, but not without the Palestineans handing over their war criminals. #Accountability #NoToTerrorism #JusticeForAll #MiddleEast

🧠 COMMON SENSE Love him or hate him his plans are common sense to every decent, honest and sane person on earth. 🔴 PRESIDENT TRUMP: When I’m president, we will DEPORT the foreign jihad sympathizers and Hamas supporters. If you hate America, if you want to eliminate Israel, then we don’t want you in our country. 🔴 PRESIDENT TRUMP: Most egregiously of all, Kamala Harris and Joe Biden delivered over $100 BILLION in sanctions relief to Iran, which the regime used to expand its terror brigades and fund Hamas. Unsurprisingly, Iran is now trying to tilt this election in Kamala’s favor. 🔴 Kamala Harris is the candidate of the forces who want to destroy western civilization—I am the candidate of those who want to defend western civilization, defend Israel, and defend the United States of America. If Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are elected, the radical-left flag burners and Hamas-sympathizers will not just be causing chaos in our streets; they will be running U.S. foreign policy in the White House, and Israel will be gone. 🔴 PRESIDENT TRUMP: When I am back in the Oval Office, I will support Israel’s right to win its war on terror. I will give Israel the support it needs to WIN FAST. We will restore stability and PEACE to the Middle East—and it will be peace through strength. 🔴 Unsurprisingly, Iran is now trying to tilt this election in Kamala’s favor. Kamala Harris is the candidate of the forces who want to destroy western civilization—I am the candidate of those who want to defend western civilization, defend Israel, and defend the United States of America. #trump #iran # #election #islam #terror

❗ Russians lined up and 𝐞𝐱𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐭𝐞𝐝 16 Ukrainian soldiers who surrendered near Pokrovske, #Ukraine. This is the biggest and worst POW 𝐞𝐱𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 of the war known so far. 💔 Invaders lined the surrendered Ukrainians up, shot them all down, and then finished off those 𝐝𝐲𝐢𝐧𝐠 on the ground. You can see the bodies drop one by one as russians open fire. The full footage was caught by a drone. It is too horrifying to post. When some sneaky character says 'Ukrainians just need to surrender," - show them this. This is what will happen if Ukraine "just surrenders" to Russia, whose 𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐨𝐜𝐢𝐝𝐚𝐥 regime practices war crimes as state policy. 𝐄𝐱𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 prisoners of war is a purposeful #policy of the Russian #military and political leadership, as emphasized by Prosecutor General Andriy Kostin. ❗ This is why Ukraine cannot surrender, which is what all the so-called "peace negotiations" and "compromise" deals actually mean. If you reward war criminals you incentivize more war crimes. #Intelligence #Ethics #StandWithUkraine 🇺🇦

Focus on Hamas War Crimes (Jennifer Rubin, The Washington Post) The Israel Defense Forces' daring operation that rescued four Israeli hostages held for more than eight months provided new context for the war. Hamas committed war crimes on Oct. 7 by killing, raping and abducting civilians. It has continued to commit war crimes by holding civilians hostage and, again, by treating them inhumanely. And in making military targets of civilian homes by turning them into hostage cells, Hamas has again committed war crimes. Any civilian death is regrettable, but in this scenario, Hamas is solely responsible for the casualties resulting from the rescue mission.    To the extent civilians become participants - including hostage-holding - they lose the protection of international law. Hamas has committed a grave legal and moral wrong in erasing the line between civilians and combatants. Hamas wants more civilians to die. It's incumbent on Israel's harshest critics to dissociate themselves from Hamas enablers and antisemites. If not, they have no claim to the moral high ground. https://lnkd.in/eFy5ED4u

After two and a half years of Russia’s full-scale war on Ukraine, there are now four main scenarios for its outcome, writes John Lough: ▪️Long war ▪️Frozen conflict ▪️Victory for Ukraine ▪️Defeat for Ukraine Read our latest report: https://lnkd.in/erG86Ujg

Douglas London served 34 years as a CIA operations officer, multiple times as a chief of station and ended his career as the agency’s counterterrorism chief for South and Southwest Asia. London is author of "The Recruiter: Spying and the Lost Art of American Intelligence", and teaches intelligence studies at Georgetown University’s School of Foreign Service. My comments interspersed. "....The Israeli leader decided...it suited him to expand the conflict with #Iran, particularly if it forces the U.S. to join.... What could President Joe Biden really do to exact any costs on #Netanyahu weeks before the presidential elections? Any punitive actions would be a gift to Republicans who already claim the president has been soft on Iran and its proxies. Only the Democrats’ progressive wing might take solace, but at the potential costs of votes among the party’s majority, not to mention independents...." Let's be clear that the US is not "forced" to follow Israel into war with Iran. "Emotion, vengeance and keeping face, not logic and pragmatism, often drive the region’s cycle of violence. #Tehran’s repressive, clerical regime requires imposing fear at home and maintaining a commitment toward Israel’s destruction and resistance against the U.S. for its legitimacy and political survival." First point is important, second point is debatable, insofar as it implies that the IRI is incapable of moderating its policy toward Israel. Under #Khamenei this is admittedly highly improbable--all the more so after events over the last year--but Khamenei (85) is unlikely to remain in power for very much longer. "This regional war also has implications for the U.S. in another area: global strategic competition. The war could yet draw in Iran and the U.S., setting the stage for a major power confrontation via proxy with intervention, direct or covert, by #Russia and #China as well. Moreover, the inability of the U.S. to influence #Israel is already undermining American credibility and utility with other Arab states, which extends well beyond the conflict and across a host of issues that include strategic competition, energy, the economy and climate." It is not "inability", it is unwillingness. "....And while [military force] is at times a necessary tool to assure a country from an external threat, bloodshed is always an unfortunate consequence, which brings with it visceral, generational grudges. And when done to excess, such carnage comes with diminishing returns. During my long CIA service, I witnessed, supported, and participated in U.S. wars in #Afghanistan, #Iraq, #Syria, Somalia, Libya and the Balkans, not to mention occasional American strikes against Iran in the late 1980s. The U.S. won most of the battles, but arguably, with the exception of the first Gulf War that liberated Kuwait, and American leadership in ending the onslaught against Bosnian Serbs, we lost most of the wars — despite possessing superior military capabilities." #Lebanon #Palestine