Rich Lewis’ Post

The first round of group stage matches has just wrapped up at UEFA #Euro2024, with #Portugal getting a 92nd minute winner to avoid a shock defeat to the #CzechRepublic. That means its time to share our forecasts for the second round of group stage matches and to review how the Dectech forecasts are faring after twelve matches... We forecast the correct result in 9 of the 12 games (75% versus 33% random chance). The average probability we assigned to the actual outcome was 49% (versus 33% random chance). While most of the big teams came through their opening match as expected, the biggest upset of the round was #Slovakia's win over #Belgium - we gave that outcome just an 11% probability! In the second round of group stage matches, we expect to see #Portugal and #Germany comfortably progress to the knockout stages, but some of the other top teams face tougher tests. Two tasty fixtures to look out for are #Spain versus #Italy and #Netherlands versus #France. #England won't have an easy game against #Denmark, but I'll be keeping my fingers crossed that they do enough to win. The hardest game to forecast is #Slovakia against #Ukraine, though we think the latter just have the edge. With 2.8 goals per match so far, its been an exciting start to the tournament. Here's hoping that continues! ⚽ ⚽ ⚽ #dectech #football #prediction #Euro2024

🏆⚽️ UEFA EURO 2024 in unusual numbers❓ Here you go! Follow me this month to study the data that no one asked for but everyone can learn with. 📊⚽📈 There will be only one post more in the series so please don't miss it. Did you know that the most frequent scoreline in the history of the UEFA European Championship is the 1-1 draw? Even this year there have been 10 games ending up with this result. 🤯 But that’s not all—let’s dive into the top three most common results that keep us glued to our seats! 📺 📊 Stats Corner (without EURO 2024): 1-1 Draw: 11.6% of all matches 🤝 0-0 Draw: 8.9% of all matches 🥱 2-1 Victory: 8.6% of all matches⚔️ ✨ Whether you're a fan of nail-biting finishes or love the suspense of a well-fought draw, these scorelines are staples of Euro football magic. Here’s to many more thrilling matches and, who knows, maybe more of these familiar results to keep us on the edge of our seats! 🍿⚽️ Want to learn more about inspiring stats for EURO 2024 GmbH❓ Follow me during this tournament and visit 👉 Legia Training Center to discover the world of football data studies and innovation! #Football #Euro2024 #SoccerStats #FunFacts #SportsData #UEFA #FootballLovers

Things are hotting up at UEFA #Euro2024 with the conclusion of the second round of group stage matches. With only #Poland eliminated so far, there is everything to play for in the third and final round. So once again, its time to share our forecasts for the next round and to review how our forecasts are faring. Our second round forecasts were less successful than the first round, primarily due to the high number of draws (six out of twelve matches). Typically around 20% to 25% of matches end in a draw, so the chances of getting six or more draws is only around one in twenty. Nonetheless, we have correctly predicted 15 of the 24 games (63% versus 33% random chance). The average probability we assigned to the actual outcome was 45% (versus 33% random chance). In the third round of group stage matches, #Portugal, #Spain, #England, and #Germany should all progress and top their groups. In Group D, #France are more likely to win their final game than #Netherlands, but the group winner will likely be decided on goal difference. In Group E, #Belgium are still favourites to top the group, but with a closely balanced tie between #Slovakia and #Romania expect a nail-biting finish on Wednesday! And finally... With six own goals so far, will OG still top the scoring table at the end of the tournament? ⚽ ⚽ ⚽ ⚽ ⚽ ⚽ #dectech #football #prediction #Euro2024

🚀 UEFA Euro 2024: The Final Showdown🚀 As we approach the climax of UEFA Euro 2024, here's a concise update on the grand finale: 📅 Final Match Schedule: Date: July 14, 2024 Venue: Mercedes-Benz Arena, Stuttgart 🏆 Teams in the Final: The finalists have emerged from a thrilling tournament. The final will see 🇪🇦 Spain face off against 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England Both teams have demonstrated exceptional skill and resilience throughout the competition. 🔮 Win Probability: Current record analyses and expert predictions suggest: 🇪🇦 Spain: Known for their solid defense and creative midfield, have a win probability of approximately 39%. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 England: With a powerful attack and strong recent form, their win probability stands at about 27% As always, football is unpredictable, and anything can happen on the day of the final. Keep an eye out for more updates and insights as we countdown to this exhilarating conclusion! #UEFAEuro2024 #Football #Soccer #Euro2024Final #MatchSchedule #TeamUpdates #WinProbability

🏆⚽️ UEFA EURO 2024 in unusual numbers❓ Here you go! Follow me this month to study the data that no one asked for but everyone can learn with. 📊⚽📈 16 yellow cards and 2 🟥 red ones shown by a referee in one game at EURO 2024? Yes, it did happen during the Turkey vs Czech Republic group game but... it was not the dirtiest game ever at EUROs. Let's have a look at the numbers for matches that almost made the refs tear up their pockets at previous tournaments. 1. Portugal vs Netherlands (2006)   - 🟥 4 red cards   - 🟨 16 yellow cards   - Known as the "Battle of Nuremberg," this match saw a staggering total of 20 cards! 2. Turkey vs Portugal (2000)   - 🟥 2 red cards   - 🟨 11 yellow cards   - A fiercely contested game that resulted in 13 cards being brandished. 3. ****** vs Netherlands (2008)   - 🟥 1 red cards   - 🟨 7 yellow cards   - With 8 cards in total, this match was as much about discipline as it was about skill, - I do not mention the name of a country that has been invading another one. 4. France vs Portugal (2000)   - 🟥 1 red cards   - 🟨 6 yellow cards   - A thrilling semi-final encounter featuring 7 cards, reflecting the tension on the pitch. 5. Italy vs Germany (1988)   - 🟥 1 red cards   - 🟨 5 yellow cards   - An intense matchup resulting in 6 cards, showcasing the fierce competition between these giants. ⚽️ What are your most memorable moments from these matches? Share your thoughts below! ⬇️ Want to learn more about inspiring stats for EURO 2024 GmbH❓ Follow me during this tournament and visit 👉 Legia Training Center to discover the world of football data studies and innovation! #SoccerStats #EUROs #EURO2024 #FootballHistory #EUROHistory

Day 4 of UEFA EURO 2024 is Monday, 17. June. Here is the daily schedule: 🇷🇴 ROMANIA vs. UKRAINE 🇺🇦 (GROUP E - 15.00, MUNICH): - Romania finished first in their qualifying group, placing above a Swiss team ranked higher than them with an undefeated 6-4-0 record in qualifiers. Edward Iordănescu's side will take on a Ukrainian squad that defeated both Bosnia/Herzegovina and Iceland to book one of the final three spots at this tournament through the playoff - in qualifiers, the Ukrainians finished third in a difficult group involving England and Italy. - Romania and Ukraine have not faced each other since May 2016, which was a 4-3 win for Ukraine in a pre-EURO international friendly. Both teams made that tournament back in the day, but were knocked out in the groups (Romania had 1 point, Ukraine 0). 🇧🇪 BELGIUM vs. SLOVAKIA 🇸🇰 (GROUP E - 18.00, FRANKFURT): - Belgium finished undefeated in their qualifying group, finishing first with a 6-2-0 record and a +18 goal difference (22-4). They are heavily favoured to win this group, but it starts against a Slovak team that finished 7-1-2 in their qualifying group with a +9 goal difference (17-8), only behind a star-studded Portuguese side. - Belgium and Slovakia have not played each other in a match since 2013 - as a matter of fact, all three of their matches in history are international friendlies. Belgium are 2-1-0 against the Slovaks all-time (1-1, 1-1, 2-1). 🇦🇹 AUSTRIA vs. FRANCE 🇫🇷 (GROUP D - 21.00, DÜSSELDORF): - Austria placed second in their qualifying group, impressively going 6-1-1 in their eight matches and then following up with the fastest-scored goal in international history at just six seconds in a friendly against Slovakia. Ralf Rangnick's side has been impressive throughout the last year, but this will be their toughest test as they take on France, who have made two World Cup Finals in the last six years. France went an unbeaten 7-1-0 in their qualifying group, even defeating the second-best team in the Netherlands by a 4-0 score in one match. - Austria and France have faced each other twice in the last two years, in the UEFA Nations League; the match in Vienna ended in a 1-1 draw, but France won the reverse by a 2-0 score. Looking forward to another exciting day of football from Germany! #football #soccer #euro2024 #uefaeuro2024 #em2024 #germany #romania #românia #ukraine #україна #belgium #belgië #belgique #belgien #slovakia #slovensko #austria #österreich #france

⚽ UEFA EURO 2024 UPDATE: Teams through to the Round of 16 ⚽ 🏟 The group stage is over, and the 24 teams that started the UEFA EURO 2024 on June 14 have been whittled down to just 16 for the knockout rounds. With six group winners, six group runners-up and the four best third-place teams advancing to the Round of 16, which kicks off on June 29. The Round of 16 matches are split into two halves, and each will produce a finalist who will compete to lift the Henri Delaunay Cup 🏆 in Berlin on July 14. 🥅 Germany, Spain, Portugal, France, Denmark, and Belgium qualified for the first half of the Round of 16 bracket. The other half includes Switzerland, Italy, Austria, England, Romania, and Turkey. Netherlands, Slovenia, Slovakia, and Georgia also qualified for the Round of 16 as one of four best third-place finishers. 🥇 The Round of 16 is known as the knockout rounds because there are no points earned, just single elimination from here on out. Each knockout-round match and all subsequent matches of the championship, through to the final, must have a winner on the day. This means that if teams are tied after 90 minutes, the match will go into a 30-minute period of extra time.⏱ 📺 Here are the Round of 16 schedule dates and fixtures: Switzerland vs Italy (Sat 29 June) Germany vs Denmark (Sat 29 June) England vs Slovakia (Sun 30 June) Spain vs Georgia (Sun 30 June) France vs Belgium (Mon 1 July) Portugal vs Slovenia (Mon 1 July) Romania vs Netherlands (Tue 2 July) Austria vs Turkey (Tue 2 July) #Euro2024 #Roundof16

The second day of the round of sixteen at UEFA EURO 2024 is Sunday, 30. June. Here are the two matches taking place in Germany, involving two of Europe's powerhouses and two surprise teams with impressive styles of play. 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 ENGLAND vs. SLOVAKIA 🇸🇰 (18.00 - GELSENKIRCHEN): - England finished undefeated in the group stage, with a 1-2-0 record in a group they were expected to dominate; their only victory came 1-0 vs. Serbia, and their two draws since then were 1-1 vs. Denmark and 0-0 vs. Slovenia. Slovakia finished with one less point in a group where all four teams finished tied on points (the first time in EURO history), 1-1-1 and third in the group with a 1-0 upset over Belgium, 1-2 vs. Ukraine, and a 1-1 draw vs. Romania that saw both teams go through. - England are 5-1-0 against Slovakia in their history, with a 2-1 win in 2017 being the most recent encounter. These two teams did play at UEFA EURO 2016 however, and it was a 0-0 draw; Slovakia are looking to count on that and England's recent record to pull off a possible extra time upset here. - England are the heavy favourite, with Google predicting them to have a 67 % chance of winning in the ninety; there is a 22 % chance of extra time and an 11 % chance of Slovakia taking the match. 🇪🇸 SPAIN vs. GEORGIA 🇬🇪 (21.00 - COLOGNE): - Spain are the only perfect team at this European Championship with a 3-0-0 record without conceding a single goal; add in the fact that they did it in the toughest group out of all of them and they are now the heavy favourite to win the tournament, with a 3-0 win vs. Croatia, 1-0 vs. Italy, and 1-0 vs. Albania. They take on Georgia, who defeated a similar tiki-taka tactic used by Portugal in their first win in EURO history, a 2-0 result that saw them advance with a 1-1-1 record and third in Group F after losing their opening match with Türkiye and drawing their previous match 1-1 with Czechia - they are looking to count on that to defeat a Spanish squad that plays much the same way. - Spain and Georgia were drawn in the same World Cup qualifying group and EURO qualifying group in the last four years, and the results were this: 2-1 to Spain away, 4-0 to Spain at home (WC), 7-1 to Spain away, 3-1 to Spain at home (EURO). A 7-1 result in a knockout match is almost impossible, but recent history is on Spain's side for this one to score at least three goals, possibly even in one half like they did with Croatia. - Google says there is an 81 % chance of Spain winning, a 13 % chance of a draw, and a 6 % chance of Georgia making it in their already history-making tournament. If Georgia defy the odds, it would cause great joy across their country; they have 90 + another possible 30 difficult minutes to get through first before quarterfinal football is considered. Should be a great day of football as the knockout stage is underway! #football #soccer #euro2024 #uefaeuro2024 #em2024 #germany #england #slovakia #slovensko #spain #españa #georgia #საქართველო

Now that all the games of the first matchday in the UEFA EURO 2024 groups have been played, we can finalise our summary. Group D: The Netherlands won their opening match 2:1 against Poland. In the second match of the group, we saw a close battle between Austria and France. The match was hard fought, but always fair. The number of yellow cards in Austria's favour may tell a different story, but this was down to the referee's line, who could have given the French 1 or 2 more yellow cards. The game was overshadowed by the injury to Kylian Mbappe, who had an unfortunate collision with Danso's shoulder. Austria deserved a draw. Unfortunately, this result was cancelled out by an own goal. France were certainly hoping for a better performance. In any case, it remains exciting in this group, as all four teams are roughly on an equal footing. Group E: Belgium unexpectedly lost to Slovakia and are therefore already under pressure. Based on recent results, a defeat was not to be expected, as Belgium were among the favourites before the tournament. Ukraine did not live up to their own expectations and rightly lost to Romania by a clear 3:0. The Romanians' performance was exceptionally good and if they can build on this game, they will also reach the knockout round. Ukraine must improve considerably and their goalkeeper in particular should try to forget his mistakes as quickly as possible. Group F: Turkey put on a great performance and won clearly against the newcomers to the European Championship. Georgia managed to equalise in the meantime, but were otherwise unable to put up much of a fight against the Turks. The Turkish fans, who whistled loudly during the Georgian national anthem, were a negative factor before the game. This has nothing to do with fair play and a team that has reached the finals for the first time in its history deserves more recognition and respect. We saw what we expected to be a close match between Portugal and the Czech Republic. Even though there was an unpenalised foul before the winning goal, I think the victory was justified based on the final phase of the second half. It's nice to see that Portugal are no longer solely dependent on the performance of Cristiano Ronaldo. I'm looking forward to seeing how the second group match day develops and what we can conclude before the final group matches. #euro2024 #football

Cristiano Ronaldo’s Late Goal Secures Portugal’s 2-1 Win Over Scotland, Denying Visitors First Nations League Group A1 Point Cristiano Ronaldo delivered yet another moment of magic to guide Portugal to a thrilling 2-1 victory over Scotland in a fiercely contested UEFA Nations League Group A1 match. The late… #christianoRonaldoLateGoalsecuresPortugal >>> Read more