riskthinking.AI’s Post

1/2.Title: The Anthropological Examination of Oriental Despotism and Climate Change: The Role of Radicalism and Extremism in Shaping Environmental Outcomes 4. Extremism and the Weaponization of Climate Change Extremists often exploit climate change as a means of exerting political pressure on governments, particularly in regions governed by despotism. By destabilizing the environment, radicals aim to weaken the state’s control over resources, creating chaos that they can exploit for political gain. This strategy can take many forms, from direct attacks on critical infrastructure to the manipulation of weather patterns through techniques such as cloud seeding, as previously discussed in the context of thermodynamics and magnetic resonance fields. The weaponization of climate change can also manifest in psychological interventions aimed at influencing public perception. For example, extremist groups may spread disinformation about climate science, convincing populations that climate change is a hoax or that the government is responsible for environmental degradation. These tactics are designed to undermine public trust in government institutions, further destabilizing authoritarian regimes. Scientific Reference: • Stern, N. (2007). The Economics of Climate Change: The Stern Review. Cambridge University Press. • Oreskes, N., & Conway, E. M. (2011). Merchants of Doubt: How a Handful of Scientists Obscured the Truth on Issues from Tobacco Smoke to Global Warming. Bloomsbury Press. 5. Thermodynamics and Extremist Manipulation of Weather Patterns As explored in previous sections, thermodynamics plays a crucial role in the manipulation of weather patterns and cloud dynamics. Extremist groups may attempt to harness the principles of thermodynamics to create artificial weather patterns that serve their political objectives. For example, the use of heat techniques to manipulate clouds and induce rainfall could be employed as a form of environmental warfare, disrupting agricultural production or flooding critical infrastructure. The law of conservation of mass ensures that the total amount of water in the atmosphere remains constant, but its distribution can be manipulated through engineering techniques. Extremist groups with access to such technology could alter the course of storms, direct rainfall toward specific regions, or exacerbate drought conditions, all in an effort to destabilize the state’s control over natural resources. Scientific Reference: • Bejan, A. (2016). Advanced Engineering Thermodynamics. Wiley. • Emanuel, K. (2005). Divine Wind: The History and Science of Hurricanes. Oxford University Press.

PhD Position on Modeling Arctic Aerosol-Cloud Interactions using WRF-Chem Specifics of position: This position is funded by the joint PhD program between Imperial College London (ICL) and Centre national de la recherche scientifique (CNRS). Title: QUANTIFIcation of the rolE of aerosol-clouD interactions in Arctic climate (QUANTIFIED) Scientific Context: The Arctic is experiencing rapid warming, with temperatures rising four times faster than the global average. Sea ice decline, a reliable indicator of climate change, underscores the urgency of understanding Arctic atmospheric dynamics. Aerosols, though mitigating some warming effects, remain a significant uncertainty in climate projections, particularly in the Arctic. Our project aims to address this gap by integrating satellite observations and modeling techniques, focusing on aerosol-cloud interactions in the Arctic using the Weather Research and Forecasting model with Chemistry (WRF-Chem).  Host Institutes: This position is a joint position and can be located at LATMOS Laboratoire Atmosphères, Observations Spatiales and/or IGE depending on the preference of the candidate with regular visits between the two labs.  Objectives: The primary objective of QUANTIFIED is to determine whether Arctic aerosols contribute to warming or cooling compared to pre-industrial levels. Specific objectives include characterizing aerosol and cloud properties using satellite observations, integrating aerosol and cloud physics into WRF-Chem, validating model simulations, quantifying direct and indirect aerosol effects on regional Arctic climate, and fostering collaboration to enhance understanding of Arctic aerosol-cloud interactions. Timing:  The PhD is funded for 3 years with a start date of 1 September 2024. This PhD position presents an exciting opportunity to contribute to cutting-edge research addressing critical uncertainties in Arctic climate dynamics. If you are passionate about climate science and eager to explore aerosol-cloud interactions using advanced modeling techniques, we encourage you to contact us to apply: louis.marelle@latmos.ipsl.fr, jennie.thomas@univ-grenoble-alpes.fr, and jean-christophe.raut@latmos.ipsl.fr www.certainty-aci.eu

The scientific basis of the climate change phenomenon is crucial for understanding its impact. Have you ever wondered what type of superconducting matter the Earth is - Type 1 or Type 2? Quantum physics offers insights into why the largest glaciers are found at the poles. The ice of glaciers influences atmospheric pressure and the Earth's constant gravity. Looking ahead, what are the potential consequences if the polar glaciers melt between 2028 and 2030? How would altering the planet's gravity or magnetism affect our environment? It's essential to rely on science, not speculation, to comprehend global warming and climate change. Every second counts as the planet experiences a subtle shift. Let's delve deeper into the science behind these phenomena for a clearer understanding. Empere® advanced, we understand the climate problem scientifically. If you have any questions, call us for a free consultation. Data: (https://lnkd.in/e9r6QTPH)

The scientific basis of the climate change phenomenon is crucial for understanding its impact. Have you ever wondered what type of superconducting matter the Earth is - Type 1 or Type 2? Quantum physics offers insights into why the largest glaciers are found at the poles. The ice of glaciers influences atmospheric pressure and the Earth's constant gravity. Looking ahead, what are the potential consequences if the polar glaciers melt between 2028 and 2030? How would altering the planet's gravity or magnetism affect our environment? It's essential to rely on science, not speculation, to comprehend global warming and climate change. Every second counts as the planet experiences a subtle shift. Let's delve deeper into the science behind these phenomena for a clearer understanding. Empere® advanced, we understand the climate problem scientifically. If you have any questions, call us for a free consultation. Data: (https://lnkd.in/e9r6QTPH)

Interesting that, in the 1820's, Joseph Fourier put forward the theory of the greenhouse effect & associated global warming. This was confirmed, in the 1850's, to be linked to certain complex molecules in the atmosphere by Irishman, John Tyndall... #globalwarming #climatechange #greenhousegas

Researchers around the world are advancing and refining climate models to predict the effects of #climatechange. These models use information about our planet's chemical, physical, and biological processes to create simulations of potential climate pathways. An international collaboration known as the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (#CMIP) enables teams to compare and combine various models according to standardised frameworks, strengthening climate predictions and illuminating paths for further model advancement. The most recently released phase of CMIP, #CMIP6, includes a component called the Detection and Attribution Model Intercomparison Project (#DAMIP). DAMIP focuses specifically on the relative contributions of various drivers of climate change, such as #greenhousegas concentrations, aerosol emissions, and volcanic eruptions. In a new paper published in the Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Gareth Jones and colleagues outline how the United Kingdom's #MetOffice Hadley Centre—a climate change research center home to the climate model HadGEM3-GC3.1—has contributed to DAMIP. Following DAMIP's standardised experimental framework, the researchers used HadGEM3-GC3.1 to simulate how air temperatures just above Earth's surface respond to different human and natural drivers around the world. Then they compared these temperatures with those simulated by other climate models that are part of DAMIP and CMIP6. Overall, the near-surface air temperatures predicted by HadGEM3-GC3.1 were consistent with combined predictions from other CMIP6 models. However, HadGEM3-GC3.1 simulated unusual patterns of air temperature over just the #SouthernOcean. Its simulations—most prominently those focusing on the atmospheric effects of aerosols—showed occasional warming caused by deep, warm ocean waters rising to the surface. In these simulations, high southern latitudes heated up while the rest of the globe cooled, a pattern that was not reflected in simulations from other climate models. These findings could help inform future efforts to combine model simulations that feature different human and natural drivers of climate change. The authors also encourage other institutions to contribute model simulations to DAMIP, all with an eye toward high-precision climate forecasting.

Amongst many other effects on the environment we live in, #globalwarming is also slowing down the #Earth's rotation. How come? The melting #glaciers and ice shields at the poles cause a shift of the water distribution and thus its mass as ice melts and moves from the poles to a broader distribution in the oceans. So the moment of inertia of our home planet is changing (in this case, increasing) and, due to conservation of angular momentum, the angular speed with which the Earth rotates, decreases. It's not that big of a thing, but still an interesting factoid to what extent human activity can influence our planet. The Earth's rotational speed varies also due to other factors such as geological events when large masses are shifted and in 1972 the concept of leap seconds (https://lnkd.in/eg2kr_6u) was introduced to adjust atomic clocks to account for such differences and make sure that the timing difference between these clocks and the observed solar time as the planet rotates around the Sun do not get larger than 0.9 seconds. So far, 27 leap seconds have been added since 1972. Inserting leap seconds is not free of side effects especially for computers and globally connected systems where the "loss" of a second causes severe problems with synchronization of transactions where milliseconds count, so the concept of leap seconds has been challenged and will be abandoned latest in 2035. #physics Scientific American 26 https://lnkd.in/eh2UFigR

In a recent commentary by activist David Pepper during an eclipse event, an inadvertently profound point was made regarding the perception of science and its impact on policy. Pepper highlighted the precision with which scientists can predict astronomical events such as eclipses and questioned why the same trust isn’t extended to climate science predictions. However, the discourse around “trusting the science” often neglects the inherent complexities of scientific research, especially within the scope of climate change. While astronomical predictions rest on longstanding and relatively straightforward principles like gravity and momentum, climate science deals with a far more intricate system. The Earth’s atmosphere contains numerous gases, and climate patterns are influenced by an array of factors, including oceanic temperatures, landmass heat absorption, and even geophysical occurrences like volcanoes and earthquakes. The fallacy identified here is the oversimplification of climate science compared to the predictions of celestial mechanics. Although both fields of study are scientific, their complexity and the unpredictability involved vary dramatically. Climate models, while advanced, cannot yet forecast with the certainty that we have with solar and lunar events, due to the myriad variables in play. Pepper’s argument implies that climate science should dictate policy-making, such as fossil fuel regulations and the promotion of alternative energy sources. However, the science itself does not endorse any particular policy – it merely presents data and potential outcomes based on that data. In the context of political debates, what is often perceived as a denial of science may actually be a disagreement with suggested policies. Acknowledging the nuanced difference between understanding scientific findings and endorsing specific policy measures is crucial. This discernment underlines that engagement with scientific discourse should be tempered with the recognition of its complexities and uncertainties, rather than brandished as a definitive guide for policy. https://lnkd.in/gfZJSipQ

Tipping points abound. That goes both for negative planetary ones on the one hand, and also for positive socio-economic ones. Milken Institute Review gave me the space to try to make sense of it all. The result: “Tipping carbon” (24 July 2024). https://lnkd.in/eEesswc2 It is the second in a mini-series; the first: “Taming Carbon” (23 October 2023). https://lnkd.in/eNbThVNm

I found this video very interesting - It details some of the potential problems with the Climate Science Models!! Don't watch, if you are of a nervous disposition 🙈🙉 Sabine Hossenfelder has a PhD in Physics, has written a few books & papers, so hopefully, knows a thing or two 🤯 https://lnkd.in/eC8q6RAx