Rockson Advisory’s Post

"When will the the Fed cut rates in 2024? Prior to Wednesday's inflation report, most economists had penciled in the Fed's June 12 meeting as the likely date for its rate cut in four years. Economists had also predicted several cuts over the rest of 2024. But due to the latest inflation reading, those experts are pushing back their forecasts. 'June is probably off the table' for a rate cut, noted Elyse Ausenbaugh, global investment strategist at J.P. Morgan Global Wealth Management, in an email. If the Fed doesn't cut in June, policy makers are unlikely to reduce rates until September because little economic data is released between their June and July meetings that could alter their thinking, noted Ryan Sweet, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, in a research note on Wednesday." Bottom line: interest rates won't be substantially lower in this Spring market 2024, and probably not even until late this year. If you find a house in a price range you can afford, you should go for it! Other factors: low inventory, strong buyer competition, rising prices... let's talk strategy! #LetCJhelp #househunting2024 #buyeragent #interestrates #hireapro #Realtoradvice®️ https://lnkd.in/enu3JSUk

What could March’s inflation numbers mean for the Federal Reserve’s thinking? Our latest Weekly Brief looks at the likely outlook for US interest rates.  https://lnkd.in/eEDB66WD #marketinsights #inflation #monetarypolicy

U.S. Core Inflation Surges Again, Exceeding Forecasts for Second Consecutive Month, Prompting Caution from Federal Reserve. #InflationSurge #FederalReserve #EconomicIndicators #InterestRates #USCPI #EconomicPolicy #FedWatch #MonetaryPolicy #Finance #Markets #Economy

The expectation for July’s data on inflation was to see a significant change in the Shelter Index as the effect of monetary tightening is presumably lagging. The current reading does not provide evidence that the Inflation is approaching the 2% target set by the Federal Reserve. #datascience #reports #automated #rprogramming #economy #us #inflation

𝐔𝐒 𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐑𝐢𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝟐.𝟕% 𝐚𝐬 𝐅𝐞𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐑𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐫𝐯𝐞 𝐄𝐲𝐞𝐬 𝐃𝐞𝐜𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐂𝐮𝐭 📈 US inflation rose to 2.7% in November, stirring expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month. Analysts predict a quarter-point decrease, aiming to balance economic growth with inflation management. Stay informed on how this could affect your finances! 💸📊 #USinflationrate #NovemberCPIincrease #FederalReserveratecut #ConsumerPriceIndex #inflation #BE #BusinessEconomy Read More 👇 https://lnkd.in/g4WdYiTx

Best case scenario on inflation is a LONG tailed recovery to 2%. Getting from the current 3.5% to 2.0% is going to take 1-2 years or more. Worst case we're going to see a resurgence of inflation, but this post isn't about that. So, the MOST IMPORTANT THING you can do in business is get really good at pricing and including index-based inflation escalators in any multi-year contract. New numbers come out on Wednesday, May 15th. For inflation to get back to 2%, the bars on this chart need to be an average of 0.166% for a year... We're nowhere near that. #pricing #inflationproof #forecasting

April's cooler inflation readings mitigate economy's re-acceleration concerns... https://lnkd.in/etr6W8Ah .⁠ . .⁣⁣⁠ #nycrealestate #newyork #newyorkcity #manhattanrealestate #multifamily #newyorkrealestate #nycbuildingadvisors #realestatebrokernyc #stewartgroup #marcusmillichap #commercialrealestate #research #economy #researchbrief #inflation

Apparently the 2% inflation target was made official in 2012 after arguments about whether having a range was better. In the end, the preferred number by members of the Federal Reserve ranged from 1-2%. The argument against 1 or 1.5% was that it would be too close to 0%. The problem is that the lower bound limit which would cause interest rates to go toward 0% which would limit the effectiveness of monetary policy since the Fed cannot go below 0% on rates. Thus 2% became an arbitrary but official inflation target for the US economy.

US inflation ticks up 2.7% in November 'clearing the way' for third Fed rate cut. Inflation in the US increased 2.7% in November, in line with economists’ expectations, laying the groundwork for a third rate cut from the Federal Reserve next week (18 December). Whitney Watson, Ronald Temple, Preston Caldwell. Check out Linus Uhlig's latest article 👇 https://incm.pub/4fe9KQL #investment #wealthmanagement #assetmanagement #finance

Hotter Inflation Pushes Back Expected Fed Rate Cuts https://lnkd.in/emXNtPGM #CPI #Inflation #Economy #InterestRates #EnergyCosts #HousingCosts #FederalReserve #Investing #Channelchek #MarchCPI #EconomicData