Rodolfo Dumas’ Post

What does America's presidential election mean for world trade? As the U.S. gears up for the 2024 elections, the outcome could significantly influence global trade policies. Key issues include tariffs, multilateral agreements, and relations with major trading partners like China. The next U.S. administration will play a pivotal role in shaping international trade, impacting both global markets and businesses worldwide. Stay informed, as these decisions may affect industries across the globe! #TradePolicy #USElection #GlobalEconomy #InternationalTrade #Investing

With President-elect Donald Trump returning to the White House, China faces a familiar yet unpredictable challenge. During his first term, Trump’s hardline stance reshaped U.S.-China relations, pivoting to a more confrontational approach centered on trade imbalances, tariffs, and restrictions on technology. In the third installment of our three-part series on the U.S. election outcome, Basilinna Chair of Asia-Pacific, Gracie Sun, explores how a second Trump presidency could reshape China's economic strategies and its approach to international engagement. Read more here: https://lnkd.in/eQU8JC3d #Geopolitics #USChinaRelations #InsightsByBasilinna

With Election Day upon us, here’s a quick breakdown of how U.S.-China trade relations might shift based on the outcome. Both parties are focused on addressing trade imbalances, but their approaches vary significantly in scope and impact. Read my article giving a breakdown of both the Democratic and Republican parties strategies here, to allow your business to strategically prepare: https://lnkd.in/eEjyDhNu Regardless of the outcome, the next president will play a crucial role in shaping the future of U.S.-China trade relations. #Election2024 #USTrade #ChinaTariffs #GlobalTrade #USChinaRelations #TariffPolicy #TradeWar #Economy #BusinessStrategy #InternationalTrade #EconomicPolicy #Manufacturing #SupplyChain #TradeImbalance #PolicyUpdate

For those who fear continued American domination, a protectionist America is a weak America. Perhaps we should be supporting the clown? Excerpt: "In the 1990s presidential hopefuls fought over how much America should open itself up to commerce with other countries. Nowadays, the trade debate revolves around how much America should close itself off. Donald Trump is the more radical of the two candidates, with a vision for tariffs that would turn the clock back nearly a century on economic strategy. Kamala Harris is less extreme but still sees a world in which America is best served by soft protectionism, featuring subsidies for favoured industries." (Subscription may be required) #worldtrade #ustariffs #usprotectionism #presidentialelection What America’s presidential election means for world trade https://lnkd.in/g8nzVMQs from The Economist

Election day! What does today's election mean for the European industry? I would say buckle up - nothing great for an export orientated union like the EU 🇪🇺 Why? --> The U.S. is Europe’s largest trade partner, accounting for nearly 20% of all exports 🚨 --> Trump has proclaimed his plans to impose a 10% to 20% tariff on imports across the board ⬆️ --> Last week alone he said things like: "US trading partners would be losing their jobs to America” and promised a “new American industrialism” as well as “American workers will no longer be worried about losing your jobs to foreign nations. Instead, foreign nations will be worried about losing their jobs to America" and about trading with the EU "They don’t take our cars. They don’t take our farm products. They sell millions and millions of cars in the United States. No, no, no, they are going to have to pay a big price.” 😱 But it is also a massive opportunity to come together closer, we need --> A stronger capital markets union to create a common market for companies to raise capital in Europe --> The full implementation of the European Single market and kill all exemptions --> A European Industrial and Energy strategy --> Accelerate innovation and re-focus again on growth If we act jointly the EU is still a global superpower even if we often downplay ourselves! 🌍 There is also a super interesting analysis by The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) on what Trump tariffs would mean for the European Union: https://lnkd.in/d8ZXApdE More also here: https://lnkd.in/dPhsv-Am cc Speedinvest #europe #trump #uselections

Trump 2.0: A New Era of Trade Policy? The Chinese View ...🚨 As Donald J. Trump prepares for an unprecedented return to the White House, his second term promises bold moves, especially on #TradeWithChina. With Republican control of both the Senate and House, Trump has a rare opportunity to push forward an aggressive tariff policy. This piece from #CaixinGlobal explores how his second term—and a cabinet selected for loyalty—could reshape U.S. trade relations and redefine America’s global stance. Remember, the article below if from China's preeminent economic publication, Caixin, and though Caixin is aggressive in its reporting, it still remains in the bounds of what the government considers acceptable. Hence, consider this a pseudo-official perspective. Read on for insights into the impact of Trump’s comeback on the future of U.S.-China trade and the economy. Note, viewing article requires a Caixin subscription. For summary click this link https://bit.ly/48NjsIh. #Trump2.0 #TrumpSecondTermTradePolicies #ChinaReactionToTrump #TrumpTariff #TrumpCabinetOfficials #ChinaMFNStatus

With the 2024 election on the horizon, trade policy is back in the spotlight. Here's a breakdown of what the next president’s trade decisions could mean for the US economy and global partnerships. Get the facts before you vote!

The fast-approaching November presidential election has opened up questions about the future of global trade. With President Joe Biden stepping down as his party’s nominee, the American electorate and the country’s many industries have been left to read tea leaves when it comes to his prospective replacement’s trade policies. Where will a Harris-Walz ticket land on China tariffs and free-trade agreements? And should team Trump-Vance prevail, will the administration move forward with that controversial “All Tariff Policy”? There’s no way of knowing, of course, until these issues are potentially laid out during a series of September debates—and really, until the incoming administration settles into the White House. #trade #freetradeagreements #FTAs #tradelaw #china #agoa #tariffs #usmca #akin #publican #e2open

One popular version of the case for industrial policy goes like this: free markets and free trade are great. These policies are the best means of promoting economic growth and widespread prosperity at home except when foreign governments don’t follow these policies. https://lnkd.in/gPRra--k #industrialpolicies #freemarkets #freetrade #policies #promoting #economicgrowth #widespread #prosperity #foreign #governments

“…the United States is fully abandoning its commitment to promoting peace and prosperity by building economic ties with other nations.” -> tariffs are like a tax on U.S. consumers, they force partners to reorient their economic relations, US businesses will loose market shares, they will provoke countermeasures, reduce US exports and thereby employment … weakening some partners’ economies. Only strong partners are efficient partners and confidence & trust are lost quickly but take long time to rebuild - still time to think! There is no protection in protectionism.