Association of Certified Sanctions Specialists’ Post

New FILTERLABS.AI newsletter is out! We used #FilterLabsTalisman to analyze online discourse in Chinese media regarding the threat of secondary sanctions due to China's partnership with Russia. While outrage toward the US was palpable, anxiety over economic implications shifted the conversation from the US to China's future. Follow FILTERLABS.AI and subscribe to our weekly newsletter at newsletters.filterlabs.ai!

In 2013 I warned the EU (and beyond) that they needed techno-economic intelligence to be able to deal with the technological ambitions of China. To support my statement, I had data on state-funded FDI, and R&D subsidies with spelled out goals to “break the foreign monopoly”. Alas, my warnings fell on deaf ears. In 2013. What do you do then? You make it your own mission. A mission that is still important to this day -- once again confirmed after reading the below article. https://lnkd.in/ec_9hUu8

When de-risking from China and navigating the U.S.-China geopolitical competition knowledge of the EU-Indo-Pacific conditions is increasingly important for European companies. "This report seeks to compare the approaches of the European Union and Indo-Pacific states with regard to four aspects of the global digital order: national approaches to protecting critical infrastructure; national AI-strategy development; national approaches to protecting national innovation ecosystems through export controls and investment screening legislation; and national approaches to countering disinformation campaigns." #globaltrade #internationaltrade #EU #IndoPacific #China

This week, I started a blog about international business, trade, and compliance! In a world where geopolitical tensions seem to be increasing, where value chains and supply chains are global, and actors (both governments and private firms) have to partner effectively, it seemed right to share my (unclassified, public) knowledge and experience in these domains with you all through weekly publications. Check it out: https://tradespeak.blog/

Ready to dive into more insightful discussions on #GATTC24! Our speakers will delve into the complex interplay between trade, technology, and geopolitical issues, influenced by Russia’s war against Ukraine. Learn more about the repercussions on export controls, foreign investment reviews, and the strategic shifts like “nearshoring” and “friendshoring” in response to geopolitical uncertainties.    Recent developments have seen U.S. Congress tightening export controls and reforming its investment review process, with President Biden expanding some measures. China’s role as a vital trading partner, particularly for the EU and Germany, poses challenges such as technology theft, prompting a collective reassessment. Germany has responded with multiple tightening of investment controls in 2020-2021, reflecting the global need for adaptation.    The Transatlantic Trade Council (TTC) has emerged as a pivotal forum for transatlantic partners to synchronize efforts on export and investment controls, fostering a united front against potential barriers and reinforcing their position in relation to China. Despite this, disparities in China policy persist, sparking discussions on the most effective transatlantic cooperation strategy. Nikolas Keßels, Claudia Schmucker 

Looking forward to this conversation on EU economic security next month (lined to the Borderlex Academy on the same subject that I'll be Chairing) https://lnkd.in/eN_9bsTk

📢 EVENT: What role for trade in buttressing the EU’s international security? With us to discuss how the EU conceives its economic security in today’s geopolitical & trade environment is Marie-Pierre Vedrenne, David Henig & Iana Dreyer Registration👇 https://lnkd.in/ePXAstiU

Our new report for the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) looks at the state-of-play of the United States' approach to economic security. The development and publication of foreign partners’ economic security strategies—which are in some ways doctrine and in some ways economic engagement guides—makes conspicuous the absence of a U.S. counterpart. But, the United States maintains arguably the most robust toolkit for promulgating an economic security and statecraft agenda. Our report recommends fine-tuning these capabilities in two main ways: 1) Obtain more tech resources and establish additional economic security teams, and 2) reimagine what should be included in trade arrangements of the future. Overall, we argue in favor of an annual increase of roughly $30 million that would bolster capabilities at Treasury, Commerce, State, USTR, and the NSC. We also argue that a reimagined approach to trade and investment engagement should focus on deals that include: 1) greater tariff cooperation with close partners; 2) a pricing in of geopolitical risk; 3) a joint investment fund for acquiring strategic firms in distress; 4) continued pursuit of sectoral supply chain arrangements; 5) cooperation on trustworthiness standards for technology; 6) advancements on anti-coercion cooperation; and 7) deepened research cooperation arrangements, particularly on emerging technologies. With an expanded offensive and defensive tool kit, greater international cooperation through an expanded Group of 7 (G7+) framework can work to stabilize an international economic security doctrine. h/t Andrea Leonard Palazzi and Catharine Mouradian for the exceptional work to get this written in just a month, following an entire year of work! https://lnkd.in/eDWHM9QG

💡 Insights on Russia-China Trade Dynamics: What It Means for Global Markets The recent shift towards barter trade between Russia and China, highlighted in Business Insider, is a critical development. As Russia faces increasing economic isolation, its deepening ties with China through non-monetary exchanges could reshape global trade dynamics. For Australia, this evolving partnership might influence commodity markets and trading strategies, especially in sectors where China is a key player. Businesses should monitor these changes closely, as they could signal broader shifts in global economic alliances. 🔗 Read more here: https://lnkd.in/gcG7YZ8P