Sanjit Sarkar’s Post

Gobal and Indian market : 1. first time in last 22 years bonds are yielding more the stock in us 10 year treasury yield 4.1% S&P 500 earning yield 3.8% 2. Most FPI is shifted money to Taiwan and Japan ( part in China) 3. Large Cap valuation 11 % premium of historical average , mid cap 29% and small cal 32% 4. Strong dollar, FPI out flow , it's significant pressure in rupee which is record low of 84.41 and can see another 10% degrow. That leads to high inport cost and prices will be higher and high inflation.

🔴 BREAKING: Why Your Investment Returns May Not Be Enough in 2024 Did you know that even a 12% return on your investments might actually mean you're losing money? With the Indian Rupee hitting all-time lows against major currencies and FIIs pulling out billions, your investment strategy needs a crucial update. Here's what's really happening: • Markets have corrected by 10.5% - but that's not the biggest concern • Foreign investors have been consistently selling since mid-2023 • The hidden impact: INR has depreciated 45% against USD since 2014 • The real shocker: You need at least 16.2% returns just to maintain your wealth! Understanding these market dynamics is crucial because: ✓ Your actual returns might be getting eaten away by currency depreciation ✓ Traditional investment advice might not account for these macro factors ✓ Without the right strategy, you could be unknowingly losing purchasing power ✓ There's a way to protect and grow your wealth despite these challenges Want to learn how to protect your investments in this challenging market? Watch Akshat Shrivastava detailed analysis where he break down: • Why FIIs are really leaving the Indian market • The truth about currency depreciation's impact on your wealth • How much return you actually need to target • Practical strategies to adapt to these market conditions 🔗 Watch the complete analysis here: https://lnkd.in/g7QqSHjp #MarketAnalysis #IndianMarkets #Investing #FII #WealthCreation Wisdom Hatch Akshat Shrivastava Preksha Chand

Rupee Hits Record Low of 84.895 as Trade Deficit and Outflows Pressure Markets The Indian rupee dropped to a record low of 84.895 against the US dollar, driven by a widening trade deficit, rising gold imports, and continued outflows of foreign funds from Indian markets. The combination of a stronger US dollar, rising US bond yields, and tight liquidity conditions added further pressure on the currency. Despite interventions by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to stabilize the rupee, experts predict the currency may weaken further and cross the 85/$1 mark in the coming days. Analysts attribute the fall to higher US treasury yields, which have led global investors to shift funds away from emerging markets like India. The US Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate cut decision is being closely watched, as it could impact global market liquidity and investor sentiment. Investors remain cautious amid rising volatility, as India’s trade deficit and capital outflows weigh heavily on the rupee’s outlook.

What's happening with Currency, with Markets? Nifty tanked nearly 2000 points from its All time high, just one month back. That's nearly 7% Index correction! 📉 But what suddenly changed in India's robust markets? 1️⃣ Intense FII selling 🤯 👉🏻 FII dumped $10 billion+ of Indian equities and probably making shift towards Chinese markets, due to fresh opportunities in China after stimulus! Sale from FII is even worse than COVID sell off in 2020 and is the Worst month ever! FII holds 17% of the $5 Trillion listed Equity space of India. So basically, FII sold nearly 1% of their holdings (10/900) 2️⃣ Rupee tanks to all time low 🤞🏻 👉🏻 The freefall of Rupee continues and is now trading below 84, with heavy short positions seen till 84.50 levels! Hey, but ain't crude the biggest import item is trading at just $72-75 range compared to $85 levels last year? That's true. But pressure is purely on account of FII selling and rise in US treasury Yields due to expectation of lower Fed rate cuts in the coming meet! The rise in US Treasury Yields is a clear sign of money leaving Indian debt markets and getting back to US bond markets. 3️⃣ And obviously Earnings! 😑 👉🏻 Market movement is nothing but the slave of Earnings, right? And Q2 results published till now for Bluechip and Midcap companies have failed to impress. ♦️ Banks are struggling from the poor CASA ratio (Below 40%) and failing to catch big deposits. ♦️ Standalone Oil refineries (MRPL, CPCL) have posted losses for the first time after the Russia Ukraine struggle. Reliance O2C numbers are not encouraging too. ♦️ FMCG companies still having muted demand from Urban areas, despite rural demand picking up. And obviously high food inflation impacts demand as well. What say, will the markets continue its freefall in October? Follow me for more such content on Energy and Finance! MRPL | Indian Oil Corp Limited | Reliance Industries Limited | Reserve Bank of India (RBI) #equities #rupee #fii #nifty

Here are the top 5 key highlights of asset classes globally and key findings in the week gone by. ↘ S&P500 index hits record high after Trump win, Fed cut ↘ Unlike against the Greenback, Rupee has not been that resilient against Sterling ↘ RBI’s clampdown on Unsecured Lending is apparent in India's Credit Growth numbers ↘ Falling Rupee leads to fall in Forward Premiums as Exporters anticipate further weakness in the currency ↘ Chinese Stock Market Loses Momentum as Earnings have not yet seen any meaningful upgrades after the Stimulus For more details & infographics please go through the "Investor's Digest Weekly Update" carousel. ------------ Found this useful? Repost 🔁 & share with your connections. Follow me Amar Ambani to learn more on Investing, Finance & Stock Markets. YES BANK YES SECURITIES #TheAmbaniAngle #WeeklyUpdate #Finance #InvestingTips

I am not among the crowd expecting a devaluation of the renminbi, but it’s reasonable to position long CNY/USD for modest weakness. Rising costs of shipping goods between Asia and the US or Europe bear watching. Costs aren’t nearly as high as they were for most of 2021-22 and may be due to temporary factors (tariff avoidance, for example). Inflation in Tokyo again ran counter to the BoJ’s narrative; watch wages this week. I don’t expect a change in RBI rates. This week's Talking Points: https://lnkd.in/gAQkwmzz

Holi Causes the Stock Market to be Closed Today Due to Holi, Monday's currency, debt, and equities markets in India will be closed. The trade will return on Tuesday, March 26. News: https://goo.su/Fhg4CY #Holi #StockMarket #BSESensex #marginaluptick #NSENifty #USdollar #equitymarkets #Indianrupee #trade

Last time we discussed about the possibility of Foreign Institutional Investors (Fiis) selling in Indian mkts post the Union budget changes, so far the selling continues, What next? In the meantime, Markets are now concerned about the US Economy slowing down. This might prompt the US Fed to cut rates earlier than expected. What happens then? Well, generally US Fed rate cuts r followed by a positive flow of Fii money into Emerging mkt stocks (currency/risk on impact). So, while US Fed rate cuts will push emerging mkt stocks positively, the declining US growth could impact Global gth and thereby the Exporters (IT sector included) negatively. 🤞 Add to this, the fact that domestic flows are now getting bigger than foreign flows into Indian Markets. And you get a heady cocktail of What could happen to Indian Mkts. 🤔 Will all the stocks move in one direction or will there be differences? How to align the portfolios? Interesting times for the Indian stock markets continue 👍

💼The sharp correction of 2.1% in Nifty yesterday was more due to the massive FII selling rather than fears of Middle East tensions escalating. 💼The last three days have witnessed huge FII selling of Rs 30614 crores in the cash market. 💼FIIs are moving money from expensive India to cheap Hong Kong on expectations that the monetary and fiscal stimulus being implemented by the Chinese authorities will stimulate the Chinese economy and improve earnings of Chinese companies. 💼It remains to be seen how this Chinese recovery hopes play out. 💼The market direction in the near-term will be influenced by the tug-of-war going on between the FIIs and DIIs. 💼The present reality is that DIIs have deeper pockets than FIIs and they have greater conviction to buy the India Growth Story. 💼Market will start responding to the Q2 results which will start flowing from next week onwards. Leading banks are posed for a recovery. . . . #StockMarket #inflation #GeojitOutlook #MarketUpdate #InvestmentOpportunity #EmergingMarkets

Market news before opening bell 1.Indian Markets Close Flat Amid Mixed Global Equities Ahead of Key Rate Decisions from BoJ and US Fed Indian markets erased most gains and closed flat, tracking mixed global equities ahead of key rate decisions from the Bank of Japan   and the United States Federal Reserve   this week. #IndianMarkets #GlobalEquities #BoJ #USFed #RateDecisions 2.Gold prices surge as Fed rate cut expectations Gold prices jumped around 1% on Tuesday, driven by investor optimism about potential interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve. Spot gold rose 0.8% to $2,403.47 per ounce by 1747 GMT, while US gold futures ended 1% higher at $2,451.90.#InvestorEducation #F&OTradeRisks #SEBI #FinanceNews 3.SEBI Invests Rs 62 Crore Over 5 Years on Investor Education and F&O Trade Risk Awareness During FY 2023-24, SEBI spent Rs 2.73 crore from its Investor Protection and Education Fund (IPEF)  , Rs 11.93 crore in FY23, Rs 6.81 crore in FY22, Rs 28.84 crore in FY21, and Rs 11.84 crore in FY20, according to Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary's written reply to the Rajya Sabha. 4.Tesla recalling more than 1.8M vehicles due to hood issue Billionaire Elon Musk's Tesla is recalling some 2021-2024 Model 3, Model S, Model X, and 2020-2024 Model Y vehicles because the hood latch assembly may fail to detect an unlatched hood after it has been opened 5.NCLT to hear on Star India and Viacom18 merger