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‼️ 2024 is set to be the hottest year on record! Average global temperature for the year is expected to reach 1.60°C above preindustrial levels. November's average temperature was 1.62°C above preindustrial levels. 📌 Significance of surpassing the 1.5°C threshold: -2024 will be the first year to exceed 1.5°C, but this does not mean the Paris Agreement has been breached, as it measures averages over decades. -This underscores the urgency of ambitious climate action to limit long-term global heating. 📌 Challenges to limiting heating: -Fossil fuel emissions continue to rise, counteracting global pledges to transition away from coal, oil, and gas. -The COP29 climate summit failed to make significant progress in advancing this transition. 📌 Escalation of extreme weather: -Heatwaves, fiercer storms, and intense wildfires are increasingly frequent and severe. -Particularly destructive wildfires occurred in North and South America, affecting the Amazon, Pantanal wetlands, and parts of the U.S. and Canada. 📌 Economic consequences: -Estimated global economic losses from extreme weather in 2024 reached $320 billion, 25% higher than the 10-year average. https://lnkd.in/dmqintYZ

June 2024 marked the twelfth consecutive month with global temperatures reaching 1.5°C above pre-industrial averages. This concerning trend signals that we are straying from the Paris Agreement's limits, but it's not too late. Long-term averages over 2-3 decades are what matters, so there's still time to act decisively. Reducing and removing emissions is critical to halting planetary warming. Key insights from 2023: - Greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) emissions continue to increase in Earth's atmosphere - Global energy consumption increased by 2.6% to 619 EJ - Fossil fuels still dominate with 81% of global energy use - Renewables are rapidly growing but account for only 8% of global energy consumption This article, written for Euronews, leverages Copernicus's climate data to explain the Paris Accord and project future scenarios if current temperature trends persist. Writing this was a challenge and I welcome your thoughts and comments. Stephen Cornelius #euronewsgreen #copernicus #ClimateChange #Sustainability #RenewableEnergy #ParisAgreement #GlobalWarming #ClimateAction https://lnkd.in/e9gPGY7i

State of the Climate: 2024—First Year Above 1.5°C of Global Warming 2024 is poised to set a significant and troubling milestone in climate history, with global temperatures surpassing 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for the first time across most observational records. Carbon Brief's analysis reveals this year as the hottest on record, eclipsing the previous high set in 2023. Here are the key highlights from their latest "State of the Climate" quarterly update: Unprecedented Temperature Records Record-Breaking Warmth: 2024 has already seen record-high temperatures for seven of the nine months analyzed. Long-Term Warming: The planet has warmed approximately 1°C since 1970 and 1.2°C to 1.4°C since the mid-1800s. Impact of El Niño: While a strong El Niño event drove temperatures earlier this year, records persisted even as El Niño conditions faded. Global Warming in Context Regional Impacts: Many regions, including Central America, South America, Eastern Europe, and Asia, experienced their warmest year to date. Notably, no region recorded unusually cold temperatures. Alignment with Projections: Current temperature trends align closely with climate model predictions, highlighting the accuracy of scientific forecasting. Sea Ice at Record Lows Global sea ice extent has reached record lows in 2024, with Antarctic sea ice experiencing its second-lowest levels after 2023. This decline reflects the profound impact of warming temperatures on polar ecosystems. What 1.5°C Means While exceeding 1.5°C in a single year does not breach the Paris Agreement's threshold—focused on long-term averages—this milestone underscores the urgent need for climate action. Short-term fluctuations like El Niño amplify human-induced warming, bringing devastating consequences to ecosystems and communities. Why It Matters This year's temperature records are not isolated. They are part of a broader, long-term trend driven by greenhouse gas emissions. The impacts of such warming include extreme weather, rising sea levels, and ecosystem disruptions that disproportionately affect vulnerable populations. What Lies Ahead Projections suggest that 2025 might see slightly cooler conditions due to neutral ENSO conditions. However, the trend of rising temperatures remains clear, driven by persistent emissions and warming oceans. The data serves as a stark reminder: immediate and transformative actions are essential to mitigate the worst impacts of climate change. Global cooperation, robust policies, and innovations in renewable energy and conservation are critical to charting a sustainable path forward. Source: CarbonBrief #ClimateChange #GlobalWarming #ActOnClimate #ClimateCrisis #SustainabilityNow #NetZero #ParisAgreement #ClimateAction #GlobalImpact #RenewableEnergy #ClimateEmergency

"Screaming into the void" pretty accurately sums up how I feel these days. For about 40 years, scientists have been warning us about global warming. For about 30 years, global officials have convened the Conference of Parties (COP), intended to drive global collaboration on decarbonization. For about 20 years, corporations have gotten in the decarbonization game, with thousands now committed to net zero, science-based targets. For about 10 years, renewable energy adoption has surged, growing from a tiny fraction of our overall energy supply to the dominant new generation source all over the world. And yet, global emissions haven't fallen. In fact, they've significantly grown. Now we're seeing predicted impacts about 10 years early. We have about 20 years to more than halve a number we have yet to even slow down. What does that future hold for us and our descendants about 30 and 40 years from now? As Rita Mae Brown once wrote, insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. https://lnkd.in/guw9Thn3 #climateinsanity #heatwave #climatecrisis #climateemergency

While on one side of the world, the Pre COP discussions are taking place in Baku and on the other side, we see the loss and damage left by Milton; this insightful paper concludes with the following paragraph: “As a consequence of ever-delayed emission reductions, there is a high chance of exceeding global warming of 1.5 °C, and even 2 °C, under emission pathways reflecting current policy ambitions1. Even if global temperatures are brought down below those levels in the long term, such an overshoot will come with irreversible consequences. Only stringent, immediate emission reductions can effectively limit climate risks.” Hence, there is a need to reframe the overshoot discussion as it can: 🔸Amplify climate risks, considering our low adaptive capacity. 🔸 Have profound consequences for achieving climate-resilient and equitable development outcomes, especially for the most vulnerable countries, communities, and peoples. 🔸 Impact countries' economic performance and growth, particularly developing countries. 🔸Entail deeply ethical questions of how much additional climate-related loss and damage people, especially those in low-income countries, would need to endure.

In the future, this summer will be referred to as the "Summer of Consciousness," the months in which ordinary people finally realized that #climatechange is real, that #globalwarming is real, and its effects will not only never go away, but will only get worse, year after year, for the rest of their lives. No one alive today will live to see a cooler planet. The new #temperature records cited in this article are not surprising at all. The #Paris Agreement is obviously dead and unachievable. #Oil companies are expanding production, not decreasing. This is easy to research and read. I write this with no pleasure, only as a (mostly) dispassionate observer of facts. Climate change is a time problem, not a technology problem. What is surprising in the article is this statement: "While the new findings are troubling, the report stresses that the 1.5 C and 2 C limits are targets for the planet over a 20- to 30-year period — meaning the pledges haven't been officially broken just yet." How absurd. In 20-30 years, global temperatures will be nowhere near +1.5-2C, they will be much higher. It's time to accept that most of the prevailing #climate models are wrong. In particular, they insufficiently account for the positive--in our case, unfortunately, more appropriately called "negative," but, alas, that is the convention!--feedback cycles that global warming is catalyzing: warmer temperatures beget warmer seas, beget less ice, beget lower albedo, beget more atmospheric reflected heat, beget more emitted methane from thawing permafrost, beget higher temperatures, etc., etc., etc. What is also surprising is how passively young people are experiencing this dynamic. I expect this to change. In the chilling words of the great Dr. James Hansen: "Current political crises present an opportunity for reset, especially if young people can grasp their situation." #energy #climatecrisis #renewableenergy

"A new study published today in Nature warns that, while it may be possible to reverse global #temperature increases after a temporary overshoot of 1.5°C, some climate impacts, such as #risingsea levels and other damages experienced at peak warming, will be irreversible. The study is the culmination of a three-and-a-half-year project, backed by the European innovation fund HORIZON2020, looking at so-called ‘overshoot’ scenarios where temperatures temporarily exceed the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C limit, before descending again by achieving net-negative #CO2 emissions. “This paper does away with any notion that overshoot would deliver a similar #climate outcome to a future in which we had done more, earlier, to ensure to limit peak warming to 1.5°C,” explains Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Integrated Climate Impacts Research Group Leader in the IIASA Energy, Climate, and #Environment Program and scientific advisor at Climate Analytics, who led the study. “Only by doing much more in this critical decade to bring emissions down and peak #temperatures as low as possible, can we effectively limit damages,” he adds." (...) 👉 https://lnkd.in/e6VDwgrH And guess what... 🔥🌡️🙄 "This year is on track to become the first full year of 1.5°C of global warming above pre-industrial (1850-1900) levels, smashing last year's record jump in temperatures already, which was 0.60°C above the 1991-2020 average. This finding is supported by data from Copernicus, Berkeley Earth and the UK Met Office released for the United Nation's COP29 climate change summit which is currently underway in Azerbaijan. While an El Niño fueled the warming at the start of the year, the excessive heat has persisted even after its dissipation a few months ago." (...) 👉 https://lnkd.in/ez4uzNk9

Welcome to climate hell! To mark #WorldEnvironmentDay today, the UN chief called #fossilfuel companies "the Godfathers of climate chaos", and the EU’s climate change monitoring service said each of the past 12 months ranked as the warmest on record in year-on-year comparisons. And global sea surface temperatures remain at a record, too. "The fossil fuel industry rakes in record profits and feast off trillions in taxpayer-funded subsidies," UN Secretary-General António Guterres said in a speech on June 5. He said coal, oil and gas companies have distorted the truth and deceived the public for decades and should be banned from advertising. “And I urge news media and tech companies to stop taking fossil fuel advertising.” Guterres called on fossil fuel companies to boost their clean energy investments and for financial institutions “to stop bankrolling fossil fuel destruction and start investing in a global renewables revolution.” And in a message to officials at the ongoing UNFCCC UN climate talks in Bonn, he urged world leaders to take “an exit ramp off the highway to climate hell". The EU's Copernicus Climate Change Service said the average global temperature for the 12-month period to the end of May was 1.63 deg C above the pre-industrial average - making it the warmest such period since record-keeping began in 1940. This 12-month average does not mean that the world has yet surpassed the 1.5 C deg C global warming threshold, which describes a temperature average over decades, beyond which scientists warn of more extreme and irreversible impacts. But other research just published says we might burn through the remaining carbon budget by 2029. The researchers say the world could only emit around 200 billion more tonnes of carbon dioxide for a 50/50 chance of keeping warming to 1.5 deg C - down from 500 billion tonnes at the beginning of 2020. BBC story here: https://lnkd.in/giT8WP4K Copernicus ECMWF #climatechange #CO2 #greenhousegasemissions #oilandgas #coal #science #advertising #renewableenergy World Meteorological Organization #climatetalks #Bonn Reuters story here: https://lnkd.in/gFZt-v3g

Last month set a new precedent - the hottest April in history, according to the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S). This isn't just another statistic. It marks a critical moment in our ongoing climate crisis. 🌞 11 months of unparalleled warmth. 🌞 1.61°C above pre-industrial levels. 🌞 A potential climatic tipping point. Scientists are sounding the alarm louder than ever. "We're witnessing a fundamental shift," says Julien Nicolas, C3S senior scientist. The culprits? 🌞 Greenhouse gas emissions and an intensifying El Niño. The consequence? 🌞 We're edging closer to crossing the 1.5°C global warming threshold — a line in the sand drawn by the 2015 Paris Agreement. Immediate, significant CO2 reductions are non-negotiable. The time to act is now. The window for change is closing fast. Check below for the full report 👇

Should we mess some more with Mother Nature? “The global community’s efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions are faltering and the world is getting hotter. On its current trajectory, the world is unlikely to meet the limits it set for itself in the 2015 Paris Agreement to halt global warming. According to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, average global temperatures have already increased by 1.3 degrees Celsius (2.3 degrees Fahrenheit) relative to preindustrial levels, are likely to exceed the 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) Paris goal by as soon as 2040, and could reach an increase of between 3 and 4 degrees Celsius by 2100. That level of warming would be catastrophic… As this reality sets in, once fringe ideas about how to artificially cool the planet are gaining traction. One such idea is lowering global temperatures by effectively shading the planet, a process known as solar geoengineering.” #ClimateChange #environment #sustainability #GHG #geoengineering #globalimpact