Spire Capital’s Post

Thank you to those in the network able to join our recent discussion with Howard Marks (Co-Chairman, Oaktree Capital Management, L.P.) and Stuart Haigh (Head of Investments, Spire Capital). The recent public market rally reminds investors of the risks of ‘goldilocks’ thinking. Inflation is yet to be fully tamed so attempting to time the Fed pivot is fraught with difficulty. Even with the expected easing cycle, we may see the Fed's medium term settings in the 3.00 to 3.50% range. This is meaningfully higher than the 0.25% back in 2020. This means a broad range of good companies with highly leveraged balance sheets, who arranged debt at these levels, will struggle to refinance. In between, the weight of additional interest costs on unhedged loans is seeing debt service coverage ratios on the decline. Companies are running out of cash. Spire Capital is pleased to be partnered with Oaktree to help Australian investors (Qualified Purchasers) capitalise on what Howard calls the ‘Sea Change’. Please email investorrelations@spirecapital.com.au to learn more or to receive a recording of our recent webinar with Howard. #privatecredit #distresseddebt #diversification #privatedebt #privatemarkets

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