StarSpark.AI’s Post

The Monty Hall Problem: Always switch doors! 🚪🐐🚗 Here's why: Initial Choice: When you initially choose a door, you have a 1/3 chance of selecting the door with the car and a 2/3 chance of selecting a door with a goat. Host's Action: The host knows where the car is. By opening a door with a goat, they are not changing the odds, but giving you valuable information. The Switch: When you switch doors, you're essentially taking advantage of the 2/3 probability that your initial choice was a goat. The host's action has concentrated that 2/3 probability onto the remaining closed door. #MontyHall #Probability #GameTheory

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Manu Goyal, CFA

Product Management Leader | Driving FinTech Innovation | Agile Champion

4mo

If you change the doors after the host has opened the door you would lose only if the original door you picked was the door with the car. The probability of that loss making choice being 1/3 i.e. 2/3 probability of win! Choose the switch over sticking to your original choice

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