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April 2024 Insights #insights #storkcapital #april2024

April – Inflation Return

April – Inflation Return

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Frank Thompson

Professor of Finance at University of Northern Iowa

8mo

Inflation appears to be relatively tame in comparison to past periods in the US following the monetization of national debt (I.e., 1977-1982), but the recent trend towards unwinding the inverted yield curve is worth monitoring. If you get a reversion to the mean with respect to long-rates in the bond market, there could be significant repercussions in mortgage rates and the financial institutions holding long fixed income instruments booked over the last 15 years. There are real limits to how much and how long an institution can hold onto an interest rate hedge.

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