Tony Sztypuljak’s Post

https://lnkd.in/etpNRWiY Ukraine forward self defence auch mit US Waffen! Nicht lange fragen - machen! Ukraine - wirkungsorientierte Operationsführung mit Ziellisten gegen russische Schwachstellen. Hoffnungsschimmer. Wenn damit auch die „centers of gravity“, d.h. „conditiones sine qua non“ der gegnerischen Kriegsführung empfindlich getroffen und neutralisiert werden können, wäre es Zeit für Putin, seine Ambitionen zu reflektieren und zu kapitulieren. Das Recht der Ukraine zur „forward self defence“ schließt selbstverständlich gezielte Gegenangriffe und letale Schläge auf russisches Territorium ein. Warum müssen ukrainische Bravehearts sehenden Auges die Armada von Kriegsverbrechern und Soldateska zuerst auf ihr Territorium einladen, um sich erst dort abschlachten zu lassen und - wenn noch möglich - selbst gegen die Horden zu verteidigen? Eine völlig sinnentleerte Selbstzerstörung, und dies nur, weil eine Gruppe deutscher Kriegsdienstverweigerer an der Regierungs- und Parteispitze als Friedensengel Russland nicht schaden will? An Absurdität nicht zu überbieten. Die Mützenichs und Stegners dieser Gruppe würden, ohne mit der Schulter zu zucken, ein russisch besetztes Schleswig-Holstein im Status „einfrieren“ und mit den Kanzlerberatern und Putin am Verhandlungstisch Wodka schlürfen. Das pseudodiplomatische „Eskalations“-Geschwafel ist nicht mehr zu ertragen. Es geht um Wirkung im Ziel, nicht um den Popanz wirrer Reichweitendiskurse. Eine wesentliche Ursache für das Scheitern in Afghanistan war das wuchernde Krebsgeschwür von „Caveats“ (Einsatzbeschränkungen) einzelner Nationen mit eigener Agenda; diese Erkenntnis sollte nun als bittere Lehre die Synapsen von stets wohlgesinnten Provinzstrategen neu sortieren. Es geht ums Überleben in einem Vernichtungskrieg gegen ein ganzes Volk. Würde ein kleiner Spezialtrupp den soziopathischen Verursacher nebst Kartellschergen dieses ganzen Debakels ausschalten, wäre der Krieg schnell vorbei. Die Ukraine muss diesen Krieg gewinnen! Victory at all costs! 🇺🇦

Ukraine offshoot in making : For the first time since the Cuban Missile Crisis, we are dealing with a direct threat (meaning Putin) with the use of nuclear weapons if the situation actually develops as it has so far, President Biden said in early October 2022, warning of nuclear Armageddon. In the meantime, the situation has evolved, as Ukraine has attacked the Russian radar early warning network against attacks with intercontinental strategic nuclear missiles at least twice: on May 23 the Voronezh system in Armavir in the Krasnodar region and on May 27 in the Orsk region near Orenburg. The Russian early warning system against ICBM attacks has no significance for the Ukraine war. There may be another attack on an early warning radar near St. Petersburg. The goal of these attacks is obviously to limit Russia's ability to detect and respond to intercontinental strategic attacks. The intention to destabilize and weaken Russia's intercontinental strategic nuclear forces can only be described as the work of irresponsible gamblers. Are our politicians really incapable of recognizing that the European continent is being deliberately exposed to an existential threat? European politicians staggered "like sleepwalkers" into the First World War, which became the seminal catastrophe of the 20th century.  Apparently, it is now incompetence, ignorance and ideological narrowing that are causing the Ukraine war to become the seminal catastrophe of the 21st century. VERY TRUE #Indonordicassociation(dot)org

2 Apr 13:25: ‘Thann you, Stefanie 🇩🇪👏🏻👏🏻: ‘"We want stability and predictability in relations with Russia in the Euro-Atlantic region," NATO said in its official language. Is this the strategic goal of the alliance? After more than two years of brutal war of aggression against Ukraine? Adherence to the status quo ante makes no strategic sense, mainly because Moscow has no interest in it. After all, it wants to change the status quo by force. Instead, NATO members should launch a 'constrain and contain' strategy towards Russia. 🇺🇦 https://lnkd.in/ecQPyfpW’:

It is time to wake up and stand up to the aggressor! The Steadfast Defender is a good start and I hope that lessons will be learned quickly to increase NATO's effectiveness. However, it will also be important to step up a gear in terms of ammunition production. If Russia had a Taurus production facility, it would be producing day and night. Stockpiling is prohibited here and without orders, production comes to a standstill. As the manufacturer relies on small and medium-sized businesses, it will also take time to restart production if it comes to a standstill. And the most important thing at the moment is to support Ukraine as much as possible with everything they need.

Together with the head of the KAS office in Warsaw, David Gregosz, and my colleague Benjamin Urban from our Berlin HQ, I have written the following analysis (text in German) of the current Polish security policy and Poland's possible future role. https://lnkd.in/ddB_FJjw The following is an English abstract of the text: Poland as a strong security guarantor on NATO’s eastern flank by David Gregosz, Dr. Daniel J. Lemmen, Benjamin Urban What can a successful modernization of the Polish armed forces mean for Europe and Germany? Core elements of Polish security and defense policy are a strong perception of the threat posed by Russia, strong ties to NATO and intensive bilateral relations with the USA. A hallmark of Polish defense policy is a strengthening of security resilience, which is being consistently pursued despite the change of government. The radical modernization of the armed forces is being achieved through increased funding (3.9 percent of GDP), a new concept of general defense, a planned increase in troops and new purchases of mostly US equipment. The Republic of Poland will not become a security guarantor for Eastern Europe in the medium term without foreign arms imports. This requires European and American support, coordination and scaling. If this succeeds, the eastern flank would be more secure than ever in history.

4 Apr 14:30: ‘War of annihilation against 🇺🇦 Ukraine - elements of a robust containment strategy against the Russian 🇷🇺 terror regime: 1) Explain/enforce without ifs and buts - strategic goal - "Ukraine must win this war. Restoration of territorial integrity within the 1991 borders." 2) NATO start accession negotiations with Ukraine without delay. 3) Within the framework of its legitimate self-defense, Ukraine is taking/continuing all measures, including an effective "Forward Self Defence", targeted against all forces and means, including on Russian territory, that constitute a "conditio sine qua non" (operational: "centers of gravity") of the Russian war of aggression and occupation. 4) Delivery of all necessary weapon systems, including Taurus, without delay. 5) NATO declares the will to support "coalitions of the willing" to plan and deploy forces and assets in Ukraine while maintaining "strategic ambiguity". The principle of consensus, with which friends of Russia (Hungary, Turkey, Slovakia) block, will no longer apply in this case. 6) Drastic sanctioning of any economic support by Western companies (current example: "Knauf" cement in Mariupol), including dual-use goods. 7) Keep all necessary communication channels open with those from the terror regime who are still sane, not necessarily with the sociopath Putin, in order to unmistakably and parallel to effective measures obtain Russian compliance. A deal against Putin should end in an internal Russian clarification of the situation. victory at all costs! Bundeswehr Bundesministerium der Verteidigung Deutscher Bundestag Stefanie Dr. Babst Roderich Kiesewetter NATO’: Thank you, Holger 🇩🇪:

Austria and Neutrality A clear majority of Austrians today support neutrality. NATO membership despite huge US diplomatic pressure is not in the cards. Austria will not partake in conflicts such as an eventual war between NATO and Russia/China. A small country like Austria after 1945 was occupied by foreign troops and partitioned. In 1955 Austria adopted neutrality and has remained out of international conflicts over the decades, while engaged in peacemaking at the UN and participating in peacekeeping missions. There is no need for Austria to abandon neutrality. As a member of the EU, it is practically a NATO member as well. As we know, NATO and EU are in the process of merging into one entity. Furthermore, Austria's neighbors Hungary and Slovakia turn to the small alpine country and see a successful model of non-alignment. NATO's top commanders might find this most alarming. So be it. The fact is Austria has a very capable military and domestic weapons production which is renowned worldwide. Why join NATO or abandon neutrality when Austria has the best of all world: protection from the West and pragmatic relations with the East?

22 May 07:50: With thanks to Stefanie 🇩🇪🇺🇦: ‘Why Putin is not Lord Voldemort; and why we should finally equip Ukraine militarily more robustly and faster, and consider a Western military footprint in Ukraine, which could usher in the long overdue change of strategy, today in the Pioneer Briefing. And thank you, Nikki 🇳🇿🇺🇦: