The era of super-exponential growth

As artificial intelligence and software become the backbone of every field, we expect to see rapid digitalization, refinement, and scaleout in the speed of innovation and quality of life.

While good, this will shorten the lifespan of businesses from roughly 15 years to 7 years before it’s time to move onto the next business and require hyper-personalization of marketing as people fragment out to work on problems.

With efficiency gains though come a flattening of mega-cap and large-cap companies with a boom in the number of small and mid-market companies.

Because of this, we’ll need to rely on each other more as we enter the new economic era.

The buildup of AI and software

AI & software has gotten to the point where engineers are contributing to similar tooling, thus shortening time to market in an already fast-moving field.

With similar technologies being used in the foreground and background, it’s become very quick for newer or learning engineers to get up to speed as opposed to a time when folks would take longer to become better experienced.

As we start to hit a critical mass, we’ll notice a number of similar solutions in the marketplace competing for the same audience or niching down into a target audience more.

This in turn allows our customers to work faster, produce higher quality work with less effort, & overall just work less hours as we build the business.

“The A.I. Dilemma” by the Center of Humane Technology, a nonprofit dedicated to keeping technology controllable, said it best:

Multimodal collapse part 1

Multimodal collapse part 2

Multimodal collapse part 3

The AI Double Exponential

Multi-modal collapse is the phenomenon of the convergence of multiple fields into unified tooling via LLMs or, as the clips call them, GLLMs (pronounced Golem).

On top of this, AI can feed into and strengthen itself to make better AI, so we get into a super-exponential growth and this doesn’t account for other layers of the economy.

What does this mean for business?

For businesses, this is surfaced in tools allowing us to work much faster and focus on more creative problems as is the common refrain, thus allowing for more innovation.

However, it is possible, not assured, that businesses will choose to do more with less and save money while maximizing profits; this already has been shown decently well.

Thus, companies who have always run a bit efficiently now gain just that extra edge with increased business efficiency.

Take this and apply it across a number of fields in the economy a bit at a time and we’ll either be solving new problems or finding new jobs.

Where I see this contributing in a beneficial way though is how quickly we can solve the number of problems facing humanity and we just have to dig in or solve use cases in front of us to understand what this means.

This will invigorate the number of small and mid-cap companies to grow which can consolidate into fewer large and mega-cap companies appropriately through M&A.

With how fast this world will move going forward, it’s important we rely on each other to survive & thrive.

Increased number of businesses in the market would then require hyper-personalization of marketing and repeatable playbooks, so it’s important we apply the understanding that much quicker to gain traction.

Thriving in the super-exponential era

The amount of innovation that will happen in the next 5-7 years is intense and the amount of wealth created and destroyed will be huge.

For those who want to participate, jump in with both feet, ride the wave, and don’t look back.

For those who don’t feel comfortable, folks like Codie Sanchez can teach others how to acquire an existing “boring” business for little money through M&A.

This is an easy route for the highly-educated who want a shorter route to success or re-stabilization.

For myself, I’ll be building new businesses to address world problems and sure could use the help. I hope to see you there! 

Please reach out through my LinkedIn profile if any issues happen so we can keep everyone protected as we go through this difficult stage.

Plugs

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