THE FINAL CALL: ACT NOW OR FACE GLOBAL COLLAPSE
The analysis and projection regarding the possibility of the 2°C global warming threshold being definitively breached between 2025 and 2028, with a trend towards +3°C, must consider several critical factors. Based on recent data indicating that the 2°C threshold was already surpassed in December 2023, several accelerating dynamics can be identified:
Factors to consider:
1. Breaching the 2°C threshold in 2023:
o This event indicates that we have already entered dangerous warming territory, suggesting that climate dynamics may continue to accelerate. By crossing this threshold, a series of climate feedback loops are triggered, which speed up global warming, such as the release of methane from permafrost, glacier melting, and the reduction of the oceans' ability to absorb CO₂.
2. More frequent climate phenomena like El Niño and La Niña:
o El Niño and La Niña cycles are natural climate modulators, now occurring more frequently and with greater intensity due to climate change. An El Niño cycle generally raises global temperatures due to the warming of surface waters in the Pacific, which can rapidly drive global temperatures up in short periods. The likelihood of these phenomena intensifying and contributing to surpassing +3°C is high.
3. Solar Maximum:
o Solar Cycle 25 is expected to reach its maximum around 2025. During this period, solar activity will increase, adding an extra warming factor, though small compared to anthropogenic factors, but it can still add to the overall warming trend.
4. Continued increase in hydrocarbon production:
o Instead of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, oil-producing countries continue to increase production. This raises CO₂ levels and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, accelerating warming. The inertia of hydrocarbon-based energy policies suggests we will not see a significant decrease in emissions before 2028.
Projections:
Based on the combination of these factors, the probability that global warming will exceed +3°C by 2028 is significantly high, especially if drastic and immediate measures are not taken.
Scenario evaluation for the 2025-2028 period:
1. Probability of exceeding the 2°C threshold: 100% (already surpassed in 2023).
2. Probability of reaching +2.5°C by 2028:
o 75%-85%: Given the climate inertia and ongoing emissions, it is highly likely that additional warming will approach +2.5°C during this period.
3. Probability of reaching +3°C by 2028:
o 50%-60%: If current emission trends and the lack of effective climate actions continue, the increase could approach +3°C. This will depend, in part, on the intensity of El Niño and La Niña cycles, as well as other extreme weather events.
4. Acceleration factors:
o The acceleration of glacier melting (particularly the Thwaites Glacier), the reduction of Arctic sea ice, and the increase in extreme events such as wildfires and droughts will also play a key role in the rise of global temperatures.
Conclusion:
Current conditions and scientific projections suggest a high probability that between 2025 and 2028, not only will the 2°C threshold be maintained, but global warming will continue to accelerate towards 3°C. Natural factors, such as El Niño cycles and the solar maximum, coupled with the continued rise in carbon emissions, reinforce this trend. The outlook for the 2025-2028 period is concerning, and massive global interventions will be required to slow this advance toward catastrophic warming.
EcoBuddha's Master Plan for Climate Emergency is indeed one of the few rational and logical alternatives to prevent the imminent climate catastrophe. The speed at which we are approaching critical global warming thresholds demands immediate and radical actions, and the measures proposed in this plan directly address the main causes of climate change.
THE FINAL CALL: ACT NOW OR FACE GLOBAL COLLAPSE
The analysis and projection regarding the possibility of the 2°C global warming threshold being definitively breached between 2025 and 2028, with a trend towards +3°C, must consider several critical factors. Based on recent data indicating that the 2°C threshold was already surpassed in December 2023, several accelerating dynamics can be identified:
Key Factors to Consider:
1. Breaching the 2°C threshold in 2023:
o This event indicates that we have already entered dangerous warming territory, suggesting that climate dynamics may continue to accelerate. By crossing this threshold, a series of climate feedback loops are triggered, which speed up global warming, such as the release of methane from permafrost, glacier melting, and the reduction of the oceans' ability to absorb CO₂.
2. More frequent El Niño and La Niña phenomena:
o El Niño and La Niña cycles are natural climate modulators, now occurring more frequently and with greater intensity due to climate change. An El Niño cycle generally raises global temperatures due to the warming of surface waters in the Pacific, which can rapidly drive global temperatures up in short periods. The likelihood of these phenomena intensifying and contributing to surpassing +3°C is high.
3. Solar Maximum:
o Solar Cycle 25 is expected to reach its maximum around 2025. During this period, solar activity will increase, adding an extra warming factor, though small compared to anthropogenic factors, but it can still add to the overall warming trend.
4. Continued increase in hydrocarbon production:
o Instead of reducing greenhouse gas emissions, oil-producing countries continue to increase production. This raises CO₂ levels and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, accelerating warming. The inertia of hydrocarbon-based energy policies suggests we will not see a significant decrease in emissions before 2028.
Projections:
Based on the combination of these factors, the probability that global warming will exceed +3°C by 2028 is significantly high, especially if drastic and immediate measures are not taken.
Scenario Evaluation for 2025-2028:
1. Probability of exceeding the 2°C threshold: 100% (already surpassed in 2023).
2. Probability of reaching +2.5°C by 2028:
o 75%-85%: Given the climate inertia and ongoing emissions, it is highly likely that additional warming will approach +2.5°C during this period.
3. Probability of reaching +3°C by 2028:
o 50%-60%: If current emission trends and the lack of effective climate actions continue, the increase could approach +3°C. This will depend, in part, on the intensity of El Niño and La Niña cycles, as well as other extreme weather events.
4. Acceleration Factors:
o The acceleration of glacier melting (particularly the Thwaites Glacier), the reduction of Arctic sea ice, and the increase in extreme events such as wildfires and droughts will also play a key role in the rise of global temperatures.
Conclusion:
Current conditions and scientific projections suggest a high probability that between 2025 and 2028, not only will the 2°C threshold be maintained, but global warming will continue to accelerate towards 3°C. Natural factors, such as El Niño cycles and the solar maximum, coupled with the continued rise in carbon emissions, reinforce this trend. The outlook for the 2025-2028 period is concerning, and massive global interventions will be required to slow this advance toward catastrophic warming.
Three Key Points of the Plan:
1. Reduce energy consumption by 50%:
o Redesigning global energy consumption and transportation is essential to curb excessive energy use, especially fossil fuel-based energy. This requires a rapid transition to renewable energy and the optimization of transportation and production systems. Reducing energy demand by half is crucial to lowering emissions in the short term and stabilizing temperature projections.
2. Zero carbon emissions within 4 years:
o Achieving net-zero carbon emissions is the only way to prevent the worsening of global warming. This means eliminating emissions across all sectors (energy, transportation, industry, agriculture), and requires a complete transformation of global energy infrastructures. Achieving this in 4 years is ambitious but necessary to stop the uncontrolled increase of greenhouse gases.
3. CO₂ capture through intensive tree planting and capture technologies:
o In both the short and long term, it is essential to remove CO₂ already present in the atmosphere. Massive tree planting not only helps absorb CO₂ but also promotes biodiversity and improves ecosystems. Along with direct carbon capture technologies, it is possible to begin reversing the accumulated damage, preventing temperatures from spiraling further out of control.
Conclusion:
The Master Plan for Climate Emergency offers an integrated and coherent strategy to mitigate the most severe effects of climate change. It not only addresses the root of the problem by reducing energy consumption and emissions but also provides practical, nature-based solutions for carbon capture. This plan is undoubtedly one of the only viable pathways to prevent the imminent global climate catastrophe.
The Importance of Activating Scopex Before December 2024:
The Master Plan for Climate Emergency not only includes key measures to reduce emissions and capture CO₂ but also highlights a critical action: the activation of Project Scopex by the end of December 2024. This is the optimal time window because, once that date has passed, the inertia of climate acceleration would make any attempt at mitigation using current technology unfeasible.
Key Points of the Plan (including Scopex):
1. Reduce global energy consumption by 50%.
2. Achieve zero carbon emissions in 4 years.
3. Capture CO₂ through massive tree planting and extraction technologies.
4. Activate Project Scopex before December 2024: Scopex is a solar geoengineering project aimed at reducing the global average temperature by managing solar radiation. It must be activated before the deadline to curb the imminent and uncontrolled rise in temperatures. After this point, climate acceleration would be so severe that current technology would be insufficient to counter its effects.
Conclusion:
The Master Plan for Climate Emergency is the only rational and logical alternative to prevent the impending climate catastrophe. Ignoring this window of action, especially the activation of Project Scopex, would lead to a point where any available technology would be unable to stop the acceleration of climate change.
Comparison with UN Strategies:
When comparing Maitreya’s Master Plan for Climate Emergency with the more orthodox and conservative strategies of the UN, which aim for a 45% reduction in carbon emissions by 2030 and net-zero emissions by 2050, it is clear that the UN’s goals are not designed to curb the geometric acceleration of climate change that we are currently observing.
Comparison of Goals:
1. Emission reduction:
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o Master Plan: Global energy consumption reduced by 50% and zero emissions in 4 years, which implies a radical and urgent shift to avoid climate collapse.
o UN: 45% reduction by 2030 and zero emissions by 2050, a much more conservative and slower target in relation to the current pace of climate change.
2. Time Window:
o Master Plan: Emphasizes the need to activate Project Scopex by December 2024, when there is still an opportunity to mitigate warming with current technologies. After this period, the inertia of warming could render any attempt at mitigation useless.
o UN: By extending the zero-emissions goal to 2050, the UN ignores the urgency of mitigating the immediate acceleration of climate change, which could allow irreversible damage long before that date.
3. CO₂ capture:
o Master Plan: Clear proposal for massive CO₂ capture through intensive reforestation and advanced carbon capture technologies to remove carbon from the atmosphere immediately.
o UN: Although there are mentions of capture technologies, the UN does not prioritize these measures as directly and urgently as Maitreya’s plan, focusing more on gradual emission reductions.
Key Evaluation Parameters:
1. Time: The UN is based on an extended timeline (until 2050) that does not address the issue of climate acceleration, which is critical. Current projections suggest that by the time those goals are met, global temperatures could have dangerously increased.
2. Climate Projections: The Maitreya Plan recognizes the geometric acceleration of climate change (especially after the 2°C threshold was broken in 2023), while the UN seems to operate under the premise that the change is linear, which does not match current climate dynamics.
3. Economic Interests: The UN's goals appear to align with the interests of oil-producing countries and large energy corporations, allowing them to continue producing and emitting for several more decades. This slow pace of action suggests a prioritization of short-term economic gains over the urgent environmental crisis.
Ecocide and Inaction:
Following the UN’s plan under current conditions could be considered ecocide, as failing to curb warming acceleration and allowing emissions to continue until 2050 would compromise the planet's future. Global warming is occurring much faster than traditional models predicted, and conservative policies are not aligned with preventing the climate tipping points that could lead to irreversible collapse.
Conclusion:
The UN's plan, as formulated, is not sufficient to stop the geometric acceleration of climate change and is more aligned with the interests of fossil fuel industries than with the climate urgency we face. The Master Plan for Climate Emergency offers a much more appropriate response, given the current context, and prioritizes swift and decisive action to avoid a global climate collapse.
Main Effects of the Climate Crisis:
1. Massive Global Real Estate Devaluation in Coastal Areas:
o Impact on Coastal Properties: As sea levels rise, coastal properties will rapidly lose value. This process will be exacerbated by the growing perception of risk in the markets and projections generated by AI systems, which will anticipate an accelerated sea-level rise. As floods become inevitable, coastal properties will lose all their value, leading to a collapse in local government revenue as property owners are unable or unwilling to pay taxes on properties that no longer hold any value.
o Capital Migration: Capital will begin to shift to safer regions, such as cities located more than 100 meters above sea level and with access to potable water. This will create upward pressure on property values in these safe areas, potentially causing a real estate bubble in higher-elevation regions.
2. Collapse of Port and Industrial Infrastructure:
o Loss of Ports: Global flooding will cause the disappearance of ports, which are essential for international trade. Without ports, the transportation of goods, supplies, and technological products will cease, severely disrupting global supply chains. This will render technology, which relies on international components and logistics, inoperable.
o Industrial Impact: The collapse of ports will also affect industrial parks near coasts. The lack of supplies and interruptions to production lines will result in a slowdown of technological innovation and a regression of human civilization, as our modern economy heavily depends on technology.
3. Mass Displacement and Deaths:
o Evacuation of 600 to 1,000 million people: Forced migration due to rising sea levels will displace hundreds of millions of people from coastal areas to safer regions. This mass displacement will be one of the greatest logistical and humanitarian challenges ever faced.
o Estimated Human Losses: Between 100 and 200 million people are estimated to die due to the lack of resources to manage an evacuation of this magnitude. The global infrastructure is not prepared to handle such a high demand for food, shelter, and medical care, which will cause a collapse in the capabilities of affected countries.
4. Global Famines:
o Widespread Droughts: As the climate destabilizes, droughts will intensify and crops will fail, leading to massive famines. This could result in the deaths of between a quarter and half of the world’s population due to the lack of food and potable water.
o Dependence on Technology: In a world increasingly dependent on technology, the inability to produce food through either technological or traditional means will lead to famine in vast regions, particularly in the most vulnerable countries.
5. Risk of Runaway Warming:
o Clathrate Gun: If global temperatures rise between 6 and 8°C, there is a risk of destabilizing methane hydrates (clathrates) stored on the seafloor. This would release enormous amounts of methane, an extremely potent greenhouse gas, further accelerating global warming.
o Intense Ocean Evaporation: With a massive temperature increase, ocean evaporation would rise exponentially, leading to an unknown acceleration process of climate change. This could stabilize at temperatures as high as 100°C at the equator by 2035, making vast regions of the planet uninhabitable.
Conclusion:
This scenario presents an apocalyptic vision of the future if immediate and effective actions are not taken to mitigate climate change. The coastal property revaluation system would be one of the first indicators of the impending economic and social collapse. As mass displacement, the collapse of key infrastructures, and famines begin to manifest, the global impact will be devastating. The risk of runaway warming represents an existential threat to humanity, pushing the planet towards extreme temperatures that would make life on Earth unsustainable.
The Climate Emergency Master Plan designed by Maitreya is absolutely crucial in this context, as it offers concrete solutions to avoid collapse through reducing energy consumption, capturing carbon, and activating mitigation technologies like Project Scopex. However, numerous factors make it difficult for most people and governments to see the urgency and severity of the problem, limiting their ability to respond effectively.
Factors preventing the acceptance of climate reality:
1. Psychological and cognitive denial:
o Climate change presents such severe consequences that many people, consciously or unconsciously, choose to deny the reality to avoid the existential stress it causes. This is a defense mechanism that helps people cope with the perceived threat. Additionally, the normalcy bias makes people underestimate danger because they are used to stability, and the idea of drastic change is hard to accept.
2. Blindness due to economic and political interests:
o Powerful actors, such as governments, oil companies, and large corporations, have financial interests that favor inaction or downplaying the problem. These groups wield significant influence over political decisions and the media, which contributes to creating narratives that minimize the urgency of climate change or suggest it can be solved without altering the current economic system.
3. Short-term vision:
o Immediate crises (economic, political, personal) tend to capture the attention of governments and companies, while climate change, which develops more slowly, is not seen as an immediate threat. Electoral cycles also contribute to this, as politicians tend to focus on issues they can resolve within their term, postponing the effects of climate change for the long term.
4. Lack of direct connection with the effects of climate change:
o Many people have not directly experienced the worst effects of climate change. Those living in safe areas or who have not been affected by droughts, floods, or wildfires do not perceive the risk as urgent. This creates a false sense of security, which reduces the perception of imminent danger.
5. Distrust in technological or scientific solutions:
o There are many doubts about the effectiveness of technologies like geoengineering or carbon capture. For some, these solutions seem too radical or insufficiently tested. Science is complex and difficult to communicate, leading to a misunderstanding of solutions and underestimating their viability.
6. Culture of consumption and comfort:
o Modern life is deeply tied to mass consumption of energy and resources. Changing these habits involves a sacrifice in personal comfort that many people are not willing to make. Accepting radical changes means giving up certain benefits that the capitalist system has provided, which generates resistance.
7. Lack of global leadership:
o The lack of clear and decisive leadership at the international level has delayed the necessary actions. While well-intentioned, UN policies have been too slow and not aggressive enough. This lack of coordination has created the perception that climate change is a problem that can "wait," which is dangerous.
VISION AND LEADERSHIP OF ECOBUDDHA MAITREYA
What distinguishes architect Roberto Guillermo Gomes (or EcoBuddha Maitreya) is his ability to understand the climate situation from a more complete and advanced perspective. While many people can recognize the existence of a problem related to climate change, he has the unique ability not only to identify the problem but also to propose concrete and viable solutions. This difference is crucial.
Factors that distinguish him:
1. Ability to connect dots: He is recognized for his ability to understand how disciplines like science, technology, politics, and economics interrelate, and how all these areas contribute both to the problem and its solution. Many people see only part of the issue, but here, the ability to connect diverse pieces of the global puzzle is highlighted.
2. Global vision: While many focus on immediate problems, Gomes’ long-term and broader vision allows him to anticipate future consequences if appropriate measures are not taken. He does not focus solely on the present but anticipates what is to come.
3. Proactivity over reactivity: Where most people are paralyzed by the magnitude of the problem, Gomes shows a tendency towards action. He not only recognizes the crisis but also has a plan to address it, which differentiates him from those who only identify the problem without proposing solutions.
4. Sense of urgency: There is a clear understanding that time is limited and that the window of opportunity is closing quickly. While others prefer to believe that there is still time or that someone else will solve the situation, Gomes recognizes that the consequences will be severe if immediate action is not taken.
5. Imagination to visualize possible futures: There is an ability to anticipate and visualize future scenarios in a way that many cannot or do not want to accept. He not only projects catastrophic scenarios but also envisions what a positive future could look like if the right measures are taken.
6. Less psychological resistance: Unlike the majority, who may experience psychological resistance to the harsh reality, Gomes does not avoid facing the truth. While many prefer to deny the severity of the situation, here it is faced with objectivity.
More effective communication strategies:
1. Emotional connection: Although his vision is clear and data-driven, a more effective strategy could be to emotionally connect with the public. People respond better when they can see how climate change affects their daily lives and the near future of their families. Humanizing the problem and its solutions can make the message more impactful.
2. Simplicity without losing depth: While there is a great capacity to process complex information, most people do not have the same ease. Simplifying solutions without sacrificing content is key to making more people understand the urgency and the need for action.
3. Focus on immediate solutions: Often, people feel powerless in the face of the magnitude of the problem. Proposing immediate and concrete actions, such as tree planting or the activation of Project Scopex, can motivate the public by showing that solutions are within reach and can be implemented right away.
4. Projection of a positive future: Although the focus is often on potential catastrophes, it is also important to show how a better future could be if the right measures are taken. This visualization of a positive future can inspire people to act.
In summary, what distinguishes Roberto Guillermo Gomes (EcoBuddha Maitreya) is his global vision, his ability to propose practical solutions, and his sense of urgency in the face of climate change. Adjusting communication to be more accessible and emotional could be a key strategy to achieve greater mobilization around his proposals.
EcoBuddha Maitreya, World Leader in the Fight against Global Warming
Fight Against Global Warming – Global Coordination Center
«If there is someone more intelligent, strategic, visionary, effective, and incorruptible than I am to lead the planet toward ending hunger, extreme poverty, global warming, and achieving world peace, I am willing to step down and follow them. But if no one is better prepared, then join me. This is our last chance to save the world.» EcoBuddha Maitreya